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Chiefs vs Steelers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 17

ByUSA Wager

The Chiefs are favored on the road in their week 17 matchup against the Steelers. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Wednesday, December 25th, is being televised on NFLX. The Chiefs’ money line odds are -146, while the Steelers’ money line odds are +123. Kansas City is -2.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 42.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Steelers vs Chiefs

  • We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 22 to 21
  • Not only do we have the Steelers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 42.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chiefs -2.5 | Steelers +2.5
  • Total: 42.5
  • MoneyLine: Chiefs -146 | Steelers +123

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chiefs vs. Steelers Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 17, the Chiefs are 8th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in 3rd-down conversions and are 5th in passing attempts per game, averaging 225.9 passing yards, which ranks 12th. Kansas City is 11th in points per game, scoring 23.7, and they average 338.9 yards per game, ranking 13th in the league.

Patrick Mahomes threw for 260 yards (28/41) and 1 touchdown in week 16 against the Texans, posting a passer rating of 93. Xavier Worthy led the team with 7 catches for 65 yards, while Kareem Hunt had 55 rushing yards on 11 carries. Kansas City converted 7 of 13 3rd-down attempts and scored on 3 of 5 red zone trips.

Heading into week 17, the Steelers sit 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.5 points per game, and rank 19th in total yards per game with 324.9. Pittsburgh has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 11th in rushing yards per game. On the other hand, they are 25th in passing yards per game, with 198.9, and 25th in passing attempts.

Russell Wilson threw for 217 yards (22/33) and 2 touchdowns in week 16, posting a passer rating of 92, but he was sacked 3 times and threw an interception. Calvin Austin III led the team with 4 catches for 65 yards, while Jaylen Warren rushed for 48 yards on 12 carries. The Steelers scored 7 points in the 3rd quarter against the Ravens but were held scoreless in the 1st and 4th quarters.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Steelers +123 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Steelers Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Chiefs’ defense gave up 227 passing yards and 84 rushing yards on 17 attempts in their 27-19 win over the Texans. They forced two interceptions and held Houston to a 59% completion percentage. The Chiefs allowed two passing touchdowns and struggled on third downs, allowing the Texans to convert on 53.8% of their third down attempts.

Kansas City’s defense pressured the quarterback, coming away with seven more quarterback hits than the Texans and six tackles for loss. Despite their performance on third downs, the Chiefs’ defense played a key role in their victory by limiting the Texans to 19 points.

In their 34-17 loss to the Ravens, the Steelers’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 220 yards on 38 attempts. Despite allowing just 198 passing yards, they gave up three passing touchdowns and allowed Baltimore to average 8.6 yards per attempt through the air. Pittsburgh’s offense put up 418 yards in the game.

The Steelers managed just one sack in the game and lost the QB hit differential by -6. They also lost the tackles for loss battle by -2. Additionally, the Ravens were 40% on third down against the Steelers.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 42.5 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Steelers Prediction: Spread

With a 14-1 record, the Chiefs hold the top spot in the AFC. They’ve won five straight games, including a 27-19 victory over the Texans in week 16. Kansas City was favored by 3 points and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 6-8-1. They have a +5.2 scoring margin and rank 6th in our power rankings.

The Chiefs have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning the AFC West. They are 5-0 in division games and 9-1 in conference play. On the road, they are 6-1, and they are undefeated at home with an 8-0 record.

  • Kansas City will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 1-2.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 4-1 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 25 points per game in these contests.

Despite their two-game losing streak, the Steelers still hold the top spot in the AFC North with a 10-5 record. They have a 47.4% chance of winning the division and are already guaranteed a playoff spot. Pittsburgh ranks 12th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 17.

Against the spread, the Steelers are 10-5, but they have failed to cover in their last two games. Their average scoring margin this season is +3.6 points per game. Their O/U record is 8-7, with their games averaging 43.5 points (41.3 O/U line).

  • Pittsburgh has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
  • In their last five games at home, the Steelers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 24 points per game in this stretch.
  • Free Spread Prediction Steelers +2.5 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Steelers Pick: Steelers Moneyline (+123)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as home underdogs. They are currently sitting at +2.5 on the point spread lines, and we have them winning this week 24-21 over the Chiefs.

For the over/under line, we have the over as a strong play, with a projected combined score of 45 points, surpassing the O/U line of 42.5.

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