Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Chiefs vs Eagles Prediction & NFL Odds For The Super Bowl

ByUSA Wager

The Eagles are the underdog with a money line of +101 as they face the Chiefs in a neutral-site matchup at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The game, which kicks off at 6:30 ET on Sunday, February 9th, is being played at a neutral site, with no TV coverage. The Chiefs are favored with a money line of -119 and a point spread of -1. The over/under line is set at 48.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Eagles vs Chiefs

  • We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 24 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 48.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chiefs -1 | Eagles +1
  • Total: 48.5
  • MoneyLine: Chiefs -119 | Eagles +101

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction: MoneyLine

Patrick Mahomes bounced back in the AFC Championship game, posting a passer rating of 111 after going 18 of 26 for 245 yards and a touchdown against the Bills. He had struggled in week 18, throwing for just 98 yards in a blowout loss to the Broncos. Xavier Worthy led the Chiefs in receiving with 6 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown, while Kareem Hunt had 64 yards on 17 carries.

Looking at the Chiefs’ season stats, they rank 12th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.2. They are 16th in passing yards per game (219.7) and 23rd in rushing, with 103.9 yards per game. Kansas City has been strong on third down, converting 48.5% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league.

Our offensive power rankings have the Eagles at 4th in the NFL heading into the Super Bowl. They are 6th in points per game, averaging 28.4, and 7th in yards per game with 367. Philadelphia leans heavily on the run game, ranking 1st in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards per game (186.6). On the other hand, they are 31st in passing yards and attempts per game. The Eagles rank 10th in 3rd-down conversions and 26th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 4th in red zone attempts.

Jalen Hurts threw for 246 yards (20/28) and had a passer rating of 110 in the NFC Championship Game. Saquon Barkley rushed for 118 yards and 3 touchdowns, while A.J. Brown had 6 catches for 96 yards. The Eagles scored 21 points in the 4th quarter and converted all 7 of their red zone attempts against Washington.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chiefs -119 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction: Total

The Chiefs’ defense gave up 147 rushing yards on 32 attempts in their 32-29 win over the Bills. Buffalo finished with 374 total yards and two passing touchdowns, completing 64.7% of their passes. Kansas City held the Bills to a 35.7% conversion rate on third down and recorded two sacks.

In their 55-23 win over the Commanders, the Eagles’ defense gave up 350 yards and allowed Washington to convert on 41.2% of their third downs. They gave up 30 completions on 49 attempts for 251 yards through the air. Despite the big win, the Eagles did allow 99 rushing yards on 25 attempts (4.0 yards per attempt) and one rushing touchdown.

Philadelphia’s defense did come up with three sacks and an interception in the passing game. They also forced Washington to a 61.2% completion percentage. The Eagles had a +1 advantage in the QB hit differential but lost in tackles for loss.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 48.5 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction: Spread

The Chiefs are 15-2 this season, putting them first in the AFC and our power rankings. They went 5-1 in the division and 12-2 in conference play. Kansas City is 10-0 at home and 7-2 on the road.

KC has an average scoring margin of +3.7 points per game and is 8-10-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-11, with the under hitting in two straight games.

  • Over their last three games, the Chiefs have gone 2-1 straight up. Against the spread, they have gone 1-2 and logged an over-under record of 1-2 in these games.
  • Across the Chiefs last five road games, the team averaged 20 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 3-2 straight-up.

After finishing the regular season 14-3, the Eagles have won two straight games, including a 32-point victory over the Commanders in the conference championship. Philadelphia was a 6-point favorite in that matchup and easily covered the spread, while the 78 combined points went over the 47-point line. Before that, the Eagles narrowly beat the Rams 28-22 in the divisional round, failing to cover the 7-point spread. However, the 50 points in that game went over the 43.5-point line.

Heading into week 4, the Eagles rank 5th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +10.5 points per game and are 13-7 against the spread this season. As favorites, they are 10-7 ATS, and they are 3-0 when listed as underdogs. Their O/U record is 9-11, with their games averaging 46.3 points compared to an average line of 45 points.

  • Through their last three games, the Eagles have a record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
  • The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Chiefs -1 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Eagles Pick: Chiefs Moneyline (-119)

Our pick against the spread in this Chiefs vs. Eagles matchup is to take the Chiefs to cover as road favorites. Right now, the line has the Chiefs at -1, and we have them winning by a score of 26-20.

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 46 points and the O/U line sitting at 48.5 points.

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