Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Chiefs vs Browns Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 15

ByUSA Wager

The Chiefs are favored on the road in their week 15 matchup against the Browns at 1:00 ET. The game, played at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, will be aired on CBS. The Chiefs are -219 on the money line, and the Browns’ money line odds are +182. Kansas City is favored by -4.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 45.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Browns vs Chiefs

  • We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 25 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chiefs -4.5 | Browns +4.5
  • Total: 45.5
  • MoneyLine: Chiefs -219 | Browns +182

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chiefs vs. Browns Prediction: MoneyLine

Patrick Mahomes has been interception-free in his last three games, posting a passer rating of 88 in week 14, with 210 yards and one touchdown on 24/37 passing. He threw for 306 yards in week 13 and had a 120 passer rating in week 12. However, he has been sacked 13 times in this stretch, including three times in week 14.

In week 14, the Chiefs converted 8 of 15 third downs and scored once in three red zone trips. They rank 20th in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 4th in red zone attempts. Kansas City leads the league in third-down conversion percentage, converting 52% of their attempts.

Heading into week 15, the Browns rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (39.4), averaging 224.5 yards through the air, which ranks 15th. In week 14, Jameis Winston threw for 212 yards (24/41), with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jerry Jeudy had 5 receptions for 64 yards, while Nick Chubb rushed for 48 yards on 11 carries.

On the ground, Cleveland ranks 30th in rushing yards per game, with 88.5, on 23 attempts per game. They are 29th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion rate, at 28.3%. In week 14, they converted just 2 of 13 3rd-down attempts and scored 1 touchdown on 3 trips to the red zone.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chiefs -219 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Browns Prediction: Total

The Chiefs’ defense played well in their most recent game, coming up with three sacks and holding the Chargers to 194 passing yards in their 19-17 win. The Chiefs’ run defense was also solid, allowing just 94 yards on 24 attempts. Overall, they gave up 288 total yards and 17 points.

Despite allowing the Chargers to convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts, the Chiefs limited big plays and didn’t give up many points. The Chiefs’ defense also won the tackles for loss battle and held the Chargers to just one touchdown.

The Browns’ defense gave up two passing touchdowns in their 27-14 loss to the Steelers, allowing them to complete 15 passes for 147 yards. Cleveland’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Steelers to convert 42.9% of their third down attempts. They also managed just one sack in the game.

On the ground, the Browns held the Steelers to 3.4 yards per attempt, giving up 120 yards on 35 carries. Despite their struggles against the pass, Cleveland’s defense limited Pittsburgh to 267 total yards in the game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 45.5 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Browns Prediction: Spread

The Chiefs are 12-1 and sit atop the AFC standings, with our projections giving them a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning the AFC West. Kansas City has won three straight games since their week 11 loss to the Bills, including a 19-17 victory over the Chargers in week 14. Before that, they narrowly defeated the Raiders (28-27) and Panthers (30-27) in weeks 13 and 12, respectively.

Heading into week 15, the Chiefs rank 6th in our NFL power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +4.3 points per game and are 4-8-1 against the spread, including seven straight ATS losses. Their O/U record is 6-7, with the under hitting in two consecutive games.

  • Kansas City has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. But, they did not perform well vs the spread in these games, going 0-3. Their over-under record in these matchups was 1-2.
  • Through their last five road games, Kansas City has an ATS record of just 1-3-1. However, their overall record was 4-1 while averaging 24 points per game.

The Browns have dropped two straight games, including a 27-14 loss to the Steelers in week 14, bringing their record to 3-10. Cleveland is 4th in the AFC North and has a 2-2 division record. Our power rankings have the Browns 21st heading into week 15, and they have a -7.9 scoring margin this season.

Against the spread, the Browns are 4-9 and have failed to cover in two straight games. They are 0-4 as favorites and 4-5 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-7, with their games averaging 43.6 points per game.

  • Cleveland will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
  • Through their last five home games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 0-5 while averaging 17 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Chiefs -4.5 (Bet Now)

Chiefs vs. Browns Pick: Chiefs -4.5

Our pick vs. the spread in this Chiefs vs. Browns matchup is to take the Chiefs to cover as 4.5-point road favorites. We have the Chiefs winning by a score of 24-19, making them a good pick to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 45.5 points, we have a projected combined score of 43 points, making the under our recommended pick.

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