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Chargers vs Raiders Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 18

ByUSA Wager

The Chargers are favored on the road with their money line odds at -232, and the Raiders are +193 to win at home. The point spread has the Chargers -5 and the over/under line is 41 points. This week 18 AFC West matchup is important for both teams, but the playoff implications are not yet available. The game is being played at 4:25 ET on Sunday, January 5th, and you can watch it on CBS.

Prediction at a Glance for Raiders vs Chargers

  • We have the Chargers winning this one by a score of 27 to 20
  • Not only do we have the Chargers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 41 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chargers -5 | Raiders +5
  • Total: 41
  • MoneyLine: Chargers -232 | Raiders +193

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chargers vs. Raiders Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 18, the Chargers are 11th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 12th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23, and are 23rd in yards per game with 314.9. Los Angeles ranks 21st in passing yards per game (205.8) and 18th in rushing yards per game (109.1). They are 13th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 10th in red zone conversion percentage.

Justin Herbert has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 116 in week 17, with 281 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Patriots. He had a 110 rating in week 16 and an 87 in week 15. Ladd McConkey led the Chargers with 8 catches for 94 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 17, while J.K. Dobbins rushed for 76 yards on 19 carries.

Heading into week 18, the Raiders rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in points per game (18.1) and yards per game (305.6). Despite being 4th in passing attempts, they are 13th in passing yards per game, averaging 223.2. On the ground, Las Vegas ranks last in the league in rushing yards per game, with 82.4, on 23 rushing attempts per game (24th). The Raiders are 25th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (35.3%) but have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 5th in the league with a 39.5% conversion rate.

Aidan O’Connell has been under center for the last two games, throwing for 242 yards (20/35) and 2 touchdowns in week 17 against the Saints. In week 16, he passed for 257 yards (24/38) without a touchdown or interception. Brock Bowers led the team with 7 catches for 77 yards in week 17, and Ameer Abdullah rushed for 115 yards on 20 carries.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chargers -232 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Raiders Prediction: Total

The Chargers’ defense was dominant in their 40-7 win over the Patriots, allowing just 85 passing yards and forcing New England to complete only 13 passes. They defended the run well, allowing just 96 yards on 20 attempts. The defense also recorded four sacks and limited the Patriots to a 20% conversion rate on third down.

For the game, the Chargers held the Patriots to 181 total yards and just 3.5 yards per pass attempt. Despite giving up a touchdown through the air, Los Angeles kept New England to a 54.2% completion rate.

In their 25-10 win over the Saints, the Raiders’ defense was outstanding, allowing just a 10% conversion rate on third down. They picked off two passes, held the Saints to 188 passing yards, and limited them to 55.6% completions. The Raiders also forced the Saints to run the ball only 13 times, but they did give up 81 rushing yards.

The Raiders’ pass rush was effective, coming away with four sacks and winning the quarterback hit battle by a margin of +5. Despite giving up a few big runs, the defense was able to keep the Saints out of the endzone for most of the game.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 41 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Raiders Prediction: Spread

With a 10-6 record, the Chargers have secured a playoff spot and are currently 6th in the AFC. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings and have a +5.4 scoring margin. Against the spread, they are 11-4-1, including two straight wins. As favorites, they are 10-2 ATS, and 1-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-9, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.

After a 23-point loss to the Bucs in week 15, the Chargers have bounced back with two straight wins, including a 33-point victory over the Patriots in week 17. They covered the 6-point spread in that game, and the 47 combined points went over the 41.5-point line. In week 16, they beat the Broncos 34-27, covering as 3-point favorites.

  • Los Angeles will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 3-0.
  • Across their last five road contests, Los Angeles has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 23 points per game.

With two straight wins, the Raiders now sit at 4-12, putting them 22nd in our power rankings. They have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs heading into week 18. Las Vegas is 0-5 in division games and 3-8 in the AFC, and they are 2-5 at home and 2-7 on the road.

Las Vegas is 7-8-1 against the spread this season, including two straight wins. They covered as favorites in their last two games, beating the Saints and Jaguars. The under has hit in five straight Raiders games, and their O/U record is 8-8 this season.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Las Vegas has a record of 1-2. Against the spread, Las Vegas went 1-1-1 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Through their last five home games, Las Vegas has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 19 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Chargers -5 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Raiders Pick: Chargers -5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chargers to cover as road favorites in this week 18 matchup between the Chargers and Raiders. The point spread line has the Chargers at -5, and we have them winning 28-21. As for the best way to bet this one, we like the Chargers to cover.

For an over/under pick, with the line sitting at just 41 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 49 points.

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