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Chargers vs Falcons Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 13

ByUSA Wager

The Chargers are favored on the road in their week 13 matchup against the Falcons. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 1st at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, is being televised on CBS. The Chargers’ point spread is -1.5, and their money line odds are -122. The Falcons’ money line odds are +101, and the over/under line is set at 47 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Falcons vs Chargers

  • We have the Chargers winning this one by a score of 21 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Chargers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 47 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chargers -1.5 | Falcons +1.5
  • Total: 47
  • MoneyLine: Chargers -122 | Falcons +101

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chargers vs. Falcons Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 13, the Chargers rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 17th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 22.1 points per game, and sit 21st in yards per game with 322.6. Despite ranking 29th in passing attempts, they are 20th in passing yards per game, averaging 204.5. On the ground, they are 12th in rushing attempts and 13th in rushing yards, with an average of 118.1 per game. The Chargers are 16th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 38.5%, and they rank 6th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring touchdowns on 42.9% of their trips.

Justin Herbert threw for 218 yards in week 12, completing 21 of 36 passes, but he didn’t throw a touchdown after posting passer ratings of 94 in week 11 and 123 in week 10. Ladd McConkey led the team with 6 catches for 83 yards in week 12, while J.K. Dobbins had 40 rushing yards on 6 carries. Dobbins is questionable for week 13 with a knee injury.

Heading into week 13, the Falcons rank 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in points per game (22.2) and 8th in yards per game (361.5). Atlanta has been strong in the passing game, ranking 5th in passing yards per game (243.6) on 33.3 attempts per game. On the ground, they rank 14th in rushing yards per game (117.9) on 26.4 attempts per game. The Falcons have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 37.4% of their attempts, which ranks 20th in the league, but they are 9th in red zone conversion percentage.

Kirk Cousins had a rough outing in week 11, throwing for 173 yards and an interception with a passer rating of 68. Bijan Robinson was held to 35 yards on 12 carries, and Drake London led the team with 61 receiving yards on 3 catches. The Falcons scored just 6 points in the first half and were shut out in the second half against the Broncos.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chargers -122 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Falcons Prediction: Total

In their 30-23 loss to the Ravens, the Chargers’ defense gave up 212 rushing yards on 37 attempts, including a long 76-yard touchdown run by Lamar Jackson. Despite this, they held Baltimore to 177 passing yards on just 16 completions. The Ravens’ two touchdowns came through the air, and they converted on 53.3% of their third down attempts.

The Chargers’ defense managed just one sack in the game and allowed the Ravens to complete 72.7% of their passes. Additionally, the Chargers’ offense allowed 389 total yards, and they lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -2.

In their most recent game, the Falcons’ defense gave up 295 passing yards to the Broncos, with Denver completing 84.8% of their passes for four touchdowns. Atlanta lost the game 38-6, struggling to defend the pass, as the Broncos averaged 8.9 yards per attempt through the air. The Falcons’ defense also allowed Denver to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts.

Atlanta’s defense managed just one sack in the game and allowed 105 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Offensively, the Falcons struggled to sustain drives, going just 1-of-5 in the red zone and turning the ball over twice.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 47 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Falcons Prediction: Spread

With a 7-4 record, the Chargers have a 91.4% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They rank 11th in our NFL power rankings and are 6th in the AFC. In division play, they are 2-1, but they have just a 2.9% chance of winning the AFC West. After a 3-game winning streak, the Chargers lost to the Ravens in week 12, leaving them 4-2 at home and 3-2 on the road.

Against the spread, the Chargers are 7-3-1, with a +6.2 average scoring margin. They are 7-1 as favorites but 0-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-7, with the over hitting in their last 3 games. Their games have averaged 38 points, compared to an average line of 41.8.

  • Los Angeles has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • Los Angeles has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 20 points per game while allowing 13. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.

Despite a two-game losing streak, the Falcons remain atop the NFC South with a 6-5 record, including a 4-1 mark in division play. Our projections give Atlanta a 66.0% chance of winning the division and a 69.9% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 19th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 13.

Against the spread, the Falcons are 5-6 this season, with an average scoring margin of -2.7 points. They have failed to cover in two straight games, including a 32-point loss to the Broncos in week 11. The O/U record for Atlanta is 4-7, with the under hitting in three consecutive games.

  • The Falcons have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 1-2 on the over/under.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Chargers -1.5 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Falcons Pick: Chargers Moneyline (-122)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chargers to cover as road favorites in this week 13 matchup between the Chargers and Falcons. Right now, the point spread has the Chargers at -1.5, and we have them winning 21-18 over the Falcons.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 47 points, we have a pick to take the under, with a projected combined score of 39 points.

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