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Chargers vs Chiefs Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 14

ByUSA Wager

The Chargers and Chiefs will face off on Sunday, December 8th at 8:20 ET at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The Chiefs are favored on the money line at -204 and are -4 point favorites on the point spread. This AFC West matchup is being televised on NBC, with the over/under line set at 43 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Chiefs vs Chargers

  • We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 29 to 21
  • Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 43 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chargers +4 | Chiefs -4
  • Total: 43
  • MoneyLine: Chargers +170 | Chiefs -204

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 14, the Chargers sit 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are currently 17th in the NFL in points per game (21.7) and 24th in passing yards per game, averaging 198.4 yards. Despite ranking 30th in passing attempts, they are 5th in red zone conversion percentage. On the ground, they rank 18th in rushing yards per game, with 112.9, on 27.3 attempts per game.

In week 13, Justin Herbert threw for 147 yards (16/23) without a touchdown or interception, but he was sacked 5 times. Ladd McConkey led the team with 9 catches for 117 yards. The Chargers scored 8 points in the 3rd quarter but were shut out in the 4th. They converted only 3 of 11 third-down attempts and failed to score on 2 red zone trips.

Heading into week 14, the Chiefs are 7th in our offensive power rankings. They are 10th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.1 points per game, and rank 15th in total yards with 341.6 per game. Kansas City has been excellent on 3rd down, leading the league with a 51.8% conversion rate. However, they have struggled in the red zone, ranking 22nd with a 14.6% conversion rate, despite being 6th in red zone attempts.

Patrick Mahomes threw for 306 yards (26/46) and 1 touchdown in week 13 against the Raiders, posting a passer rating of 84. He was sacked 5 times in each of his last two games. DeAndre Hopkins led the team with 4 catches for 90 yards, while Isiah Pacheco had 44 rushing yards on 7 carries.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chiefs -204 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction: Total

The Chargers’ defense came up with four interceptions in their 17-13 win over the Falcons, despite allowing 350 yards of offense. Atlanta struggled on third down, converting just 21.4% of their chances. Los Angeles held the Falcons to 116 yards rushing on 37 attempts and limited them to 61.5% completions.

Even though the Falcons had some success moving the ball through the air, the Chargers kept them out of the endzone and allowed just 13 points. Los Angeles gave up 234 passing yards and recorded one sack in the game.

In their 19-17 win over the Raiders, the Chiefs’ defense allowed 434 total yards. The Raiders had a good day throwing the ball, with 318 yards on 23 completions, averaging 9.1 yards per attempt. However, Kansas City limited their third down conversions to just 25%. On the ground, the Raiders rushed 25 times for 116 yards, averaging 4.6 yards per attempt. The Chiefs’ defense also recorded three sacks and won the tackles for loss battle.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 43 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction: Spread

With a 94.6% chance of making the playoffs, the Chargers are in good shape heading into week 14. They currently sit at 8-4, which puts them 2nd in the AFC West and 5th in the conference. Our power rankings have them 14th in the league. Against the spread, the Chargers are 8-3-1, including an 8-1 record as the favorite.

After losing to the Ravens in week 12, the Chargers bounced back with a 17-13 road win over the Falcons. They were 0.5-point favorites and covered the spread. The combined 30 points fell short of the 47-point line. Their O/U record is 4-8 this season, with their games averaging 37.3 points.

  • Los Angeles has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.

The Chiefs bounced back from their week 11 loss to the Bills with two straight wins, bringing their record to 11-1. After a narrow 30-27 victory over the Panthers in week 12, Kansas City held off the Raiders 19-17 in week 13. The Chiefs were 13.5-point favorites at home but couldn’t cover the spread, ending their ATS losing streak at six games.

Despite the win, the Chiefs rank 6th in our power rankings heading into week 14. They have a +4.5 scoring margin and are 4-7-1 against the spread. Kansas City has a 96.3% chance of winning the AFC West and is a lock to make the playoffs.

  • Over their last three games, the Chiefs have gone 3-0 straight up. Across these games, they have put together an ATS mark of 0-3 as well as an over-under record of 1-2.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Kansas City has an ATS record of 1-3-1 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Chiefs -4 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Chiefs Pick: Chiefs -4

For this week 14 matchup between the Chiefs and Chargers, we have the Chargers as 4-point favorites. Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as home favorites. We have the Chiefs winning this one 27-20.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 43 points, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 47 points.

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