Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Chargers vs Browns Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 9

ByUSA Wager

The Chargers are favored on the road with a money line of -126 as they take on the Browns at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The Browns’ money line odds are +106, and the point spread is -2 in favor of the Chargers. This week nine AFC matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 42 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Browns vs Chargers

  • We have the Browns winning this one by a score of 27 to 22
  • Not only do we have the Browns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 42 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chargers -2 | Browns +2
  • Total: 42
  • MoneyLine: Chargers -126 | Browns +106

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chargers vs. Browns Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 9, the Chargers are 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are averaging 18.9 points per game, which ranks 24th in the NFL, and they sit 22nd in total yards per game with 311.1. Los Angeles ranks 23rd in both passing attempts and passing yards per game, averaging 194 yards through the air. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing attempts and 20th in rushing yards per game. The Chargers have been efficient in the red zone, converting 93.8% of their trips, which ranks 2nd in the league.

Justin Herbert has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 111 in week 8 after throwing for 279 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. He has gone three straight games without a pick, despite being sacked three times in each contest. Against the Saints, Herbert found Ladd McConkey 6 times for 111 yards and 2 touchdowns, while J.K. Dobbins added 57 rushing yards on 17 carries.

Heading into week 9, the Browns are 30th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 27th in the NFL in points per game (17.2) and 30th in yards per game (272.2). Despite being 3rd in passing attempts, they are 28th in passing yards, averaging 179.8 per game. On the ground, Cleveland ranks 22nd in rushing attempts and 27th in rushing yards, with 92.5 per game. The Browns have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 27.7% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the league. However, they lead the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.

Jameis Winston took over at quarterback in week 8, throwing for 334 yards and 3 touchdowns in a win over the Ravens. Cedric Tillman had 7 catches for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nick Chubb rushed for 52 yards on 16 carries. Before Winston’s start, Deshaun Watson had a passer rating of 98 in week 7, going 15/17 for 128 yards, and 90 in week 6, with 168 yards on 16/23 passing.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Browns +106 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Browns Prediction: Total

The Chargers’ defense was dominant on third downs in their 26-8 win over the Saints, allowing just a 12.5% conversion rate. They also came up with five sacks and held the Saints to 117 yards rushing on just 21 attempts. Despite giving up 366 total yards, the Chargers kept the Saints out of the endzone, as they didn’t allow a single touchdown.

On the passing end, the Chargers gave up just 249 yards through the air, and the Saints completed only 52.4% of their passes against them.

The Browns’ defense held the Ravens to a 20% conversion rate on third down in their 29-24 win. Despite this, they allowed 124 rushing yards on just 21 attempts, giving up 5.9 yards per attempt. Baltimore finished with 263 passing yards on 23 completions, with two passing touchdowns.

Cleveland’s defense also recorded three sacks and narrowly lost the quarterback hit battle. The unit will look to improve its performance against the run in the next game, even as they continue to generate pressure on the quarterback.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 42 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Browns Prediction: Spread

After a week 7 loss to the Cardinals, the Chargers bounced back with a 26-8 win over the Saints in week 8, improving their record to 4-3. L.A. was a 7.5-point favorite at home and covered the spread, but the 34 combined points fell short of the 41.5-point line. The Chargers are now 4-2-1 against the spread, including a 4-1 mark as favorites.

Heading into week 9, the Chargers rank 20th in our NFL power rankings and have a 60.4% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3rd in the AFC West with a 2-1 division record and are 2-2 on the road and 2-1 at home. Their O/U record is 1-6, with the under hitting in two straight games.

  • Los Angeles will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Through their last five road games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 16 points per game.

Heading into week 9, the Browns sit 17th in our power rankings and have an 8.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4th in the AFC North with a 2-6 record, including a 1-1 mark in division games. Cleveland is 2-2 in conference play and has gone 1-3 both at home and on the road.

Against the spread, the Browns are 3-5, with all of their wins coming as underdogs. In week 8, they covered as 7-point underdogs by beating the Ravens 29-24. The combined 53 points went over the 44.5-point line. Cleveland’s O/U record is 3-5, with their games averaging 40.5 points this season.

  • Cleveland has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Through their last five home games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 15 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Browns +2 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Browns Pick: Browns Moneyline (+106)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Browns to cover as home underdogs in this week nine matchup vs. the Chargers. The point spread line has the Browns at +2, and we have them not only covering but winning by a score of 26-21.

For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 47 points. With the line sitting at just 42 points, there is a lot of value in taking the over in this one.

Similar Posts