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Chargers vs Broncos Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 6

ByUSA Wager

The Chargers are favored on the road as they take on the Broncos at 4:05 ET on Sunday, October 13th. The Chargers’ money line odds are -158, while the Broncos’ money line odds are +133. The Chargers are -3 point favorites, and the over/under line is 35.5 points. This week six AFC West matchup is being televised on CBS.

Prediction at a Glance for Broncos vs Chargers

  • We have the Chargers winning this one by a score of 18 to 16
  • Even though we like the Chargers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Broncos at +3
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 35.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Chargers -3 | Broncos +3
  • Total: 35.5
  • MoneyLine: Chargers -158 | Broncos +133

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Chargers vs. Broncos Prediction: MoneyLine

The Chargers are currently 24th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 17 points per game, which ranks 26th in the NFL. They are 27th in passing yards per game (136) and 26th in passing attempts. However, they have been strong in the red zone, ranking 2nd in conversion percentage, and they are 18th in 3rd-down conversions.

Justin Herbert threw for 179 yards (16/27) and 1 touchdown in week 4 against the Chiefs, with Ladd McConkey leading the team with 5 catches for 67 yards and a touchdown. J.K. Dobbins had 32 rushing yards on 14 carries. The Chargers scored 10 points in the 1st quarter but were shut out in the final three quarters.

Heading into week 6, the Broncos are 29th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 21st in points per game (19.2) and 26th in passing yards per game (163.8), despite being 11th in pass attempts. Denver is 16th in rushing attempts and 21st in rushing yards per game (106.8). They are 28th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 24.6%.

Bo Nix had a strong week 5 performance, posting a passer rating of 117 with 206 yards and 2 touchdowns on 19/27 passing. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing with 61 yards on 13 carries and also had 5 catches for 50 yards. Denver scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against the Raiders.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chargers -158 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Broncos Prediction: Total

In the Chargers’ 17-10 loss to the Chiefs, their defense allowed 228 passing yards on 19 completions. The Chargers also defended the run well, allowing just 101 yards on 26 attempts. They recorded three sacks and came up with one interception in the game.

Despite their efforts, the Chargers allowed the Chiefs to convert on 56.2% of their third down attempts. The Chargers’ defense also gave up one touchdown and allowed a 65.5% completion rate to Kansas City.

In their 34-18 win over the Raiders, the Broncos’ defense came up with three interceptions and held Las Vegas to 46.7% on third down. They allowed just 215 passing yards on 22 completions, and the Raiders managed just 115 yards on 25 rushing attempts. Despite this, the Broncos did give up 330 total yards.

Denver’s defense also forced three interceptions, while allowing just one passing touchdown. They held the Raiders to a 59.5% completion percentage and recorded three sacks in the game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 35.5 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Broncos Prediction: Spread

After two straight losses, the Chargers are now 2-2, putting them 3rd in the AFC West. They rank 21st in our power rankings and have a 45.1% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 0-4, with their games averaging 29.5 points compared to an average line of 39.1.

LA is 2-1-1 against the spread, with a +4.5 scoring margin. They are 2-0 as favorites and 0-1-1 as underdogs. In week 4, they lost 17-10 to the Chiefs, resulting in a push as 7-point underdogs. In week 3, they lost 20-10 to the Steelers, failing to cover the +2.5 spread.

  • Los Angeles has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Against the spread, Los Angeles went 1-1-1 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 0-3.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Chargers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 14 points per game in this stretch.

After starting the season with two straight losses, the Broncos have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 34-18 victory over the Raiders in week 5. Denver was a 3-point favorite in this matchup and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 4-1 this season. They have covered in three straight games, including two as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is +4.6 points per game.

Despite their winning streak, the Broncos rank 28th in our NFL power rankings and have a 34.2% chance of making the playoffs. They are 6th in the AFC and 2nd in the AFC West with a 1-0 division record. Their O/U record is 2-3, with their games averaging 33.8 points compared to an average line of 39.

  • Denver will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 1-2 on the over/under.
  • Across their last five home contests, Denver has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 17 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Broncos +3 (Bet Now)

Chargers vs. Broncos Pick: Broncos +3

For this week six matchup between the Chargers and Broncos, we have the Broncos coming in as 3-point favorites. Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chargers to not only cover but win this one 18-17. This would make the Chargers our pick to cover as 3-point road favorites.

As for an over/under pick, we like the under with a projected combined score of 35 points, and with the line sitting at just 35.5 points, we think there is some good value in taking the under.

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