Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Buccaneers vs Saints Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 6

ByUSA Wager

The Saints are the underdog in this week six NFC South matchup against the Buccaneers, which is set to kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th. The game, being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, is televised on FOX. The Buccaneers are favored on the road with a point spread of -2. The money line odds have the Buccaneers at -133 and the Saints at +111. The over/under line is 42.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Saints vs Buccaneers

  • We have the Saints winning this one by a score of 20 to 19
  • Not only do we have the Saints winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Buccaneers -2 | Saints +2
  • Total: 42.5
  • MoneyLine: Buccaneers -133 | Saints +111

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 6, the Buccaneers’ offense ranks 6th in our power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25.4, and 17th in passing attempts, with 30.6 per game. Tampa Bay ranks 15th in passing yards per game, averaging 213, and 17th in total yards per game, with 321.8. On the ground, they are 20th in both rushing attempts and yards per game, averaging 24 attempts and 108.8 yards. The Bucs are 7th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 44.8%, and they rank 24th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 5, Baker Mayfield posted a passer rating of 137, throwing for 180 yards and 3 touchdowns on 19/24 passing. Chris Godwin led the team with 64 receiving yards on 5 catches, while Rachaad White had 72 rushing yards on 10 carries. Tampa Bay scored 30 points against the Falcons, with 10 in the 1st quarter and 14 in the 2nd. They converted 6 of 11 3rd downs and scored on 2 of 3 red zone trips.

Heading into week 6, the Saints rank 7th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 28 points per game, and they sit 3rd in 1st-quarter scoring. New Orleans is 16th in the league in yards per game (323.2) and 20th in passing yards, despite ranking 24th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing yards per game, with 30.6 attempts per contest. The Saints have excelled on 3rd down, converting 50.9% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the NFL, but they are 26th in red zone conversion percentage.

Derek Carr threw for 165 yards (18/28) and 2 touchdowns in week 5, with Rashid Shaheed leading the team with 86 receiving yards. Alvin Kamara struggled, rushing for just 26 yards on 11 carries. The Saints scored 6 points in the 4th quarter after being shut out in the 1st and 3rd quarters.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Saints +111 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction: Total

In their 36-30 overtime loss to the Falcons, the Buccaneers’ defense gave up 477 passing yards on 42 completions. They allowed four passing touchdowns and struggled to get off the field, as Atlanta converted on 42.9% of their third down attempts. Despite their struggles, Tampa Bay’s defense did manage to force one interception and recorded four sacks in the game.

Tampa Bay’s run defense held up better, as Atlanta managed just 73 yards on 18 attempts. However, the Buccaneers’ defense was tested through the air, giving up big plays and allowing the Falcons to finish with 550 total yards.

In their 26-13 loss to the Chiefs, the Saints’ defense allowed 460 yards and 139 rushing yards on 39 attempts. They gave up 321 passing yards on 28 completions, with Kansas City averaging 8.2 yards per attempt through the air. Despite this, the Saints did not allow any passing touchdowns.

New Orleans’ defense managed two sacks and came up with one interception. They also held the Chiefs to a 42.9% third-down conversion rate.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 42.5 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Saints Prediction: Spread

Following their week 5 loss to the Falcons, the Buccaneers now sit at 3-2, putting them 2nd in the NFC South. Tampa Bay has a +2.6 scoring margin and is 15th in our NFL power rankings. We give them a 48.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 30.6% chance of winning the division. Against the spread, the Bucs are 3-2, with a 2-1 record as underdogs and a 1-1 record as favorites.

Heading into week 6, the over has hit in two straight Bucs games, including their matchup with the Falcons, where the teams combined for 66 points. Tampa Bay’s games have averaged 48.2 points this season, with an average O/U line of 44.1.

  • Tampa Bay has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • The Buccaneers are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.

Heading into week 6, the Saints are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 26-13 loss to the Chiefs in week 5. New Orleans was a 5-point underdog in the game and failed to cover the spread. The O/U line was 43 points, and the teams combined for 39. The Saints’ record now stands at 2-3, putting them 3rd in the NFC South. They are 1-1 in the division and 2-2 in conference play.

Despite their losing streak, the Saints rank 10th in our NFL power rankings and have a 40.4% chance of making the playoffs. Their odds of winning the NFC South are 24.6%. New Orleans has an average scoring margin of +8.8 points per game and is 3-2 against the spread. Their O/U record is also 3-2, with their games averaging 47.2 points per contest.

  • New Orleans has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 2-1.
  • Across their last five home contests, New Orleans has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 25 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Saints +2 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Saints Pick: Saints Moneyline (+111)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Saints to cover as home underdogs. As for the point spread, the Saints are +2 point underdogs at home, and we have them winning by a score of 18-17 in this week six matchup against the Buccaneers.

For this week’s over/under pick, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 35 points, well below the O/U line of 42.5 points.

Similar Posts