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Buccaneers vs Cowboys Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 16

ByUSA Wager

On December 22nd, the Buccaneers and Cowboys will face off at 8:20 ET on NBC. The Buccaneers are the road favorite with a money line of -207, while the Cowboys’ money line sits at +172. Tampa Bay is favored by -4 points, and the over/under line is 49.5 points. The Buccaneers are looking to add to their record, while the Cowboys need to add their record as well. This week 16 matchup is an NFC showdown.

Prediction at a Glance for Cowboys vs Buccaneers

  • We have the Buccaneers winning this one by a score of 23 to 21
  • Even though we like the Buccaneers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Cowboys at +4
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Buccaneers -4 | Cowboys +4
  • Total: 49.5
  • MoneyLine: Buccaneers -207 | Cowboys +172

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 16, the Buccaneers rank 8th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game (28.8) and passing yards per game (244), despite ranking 13th in passing attempts. Tampa Bay is also 3rd in the league in 3rd-down conversions and leads the NFL in 1st-quarter scoring.

Baker Mayfield is coming off a 4-touchdown performance in week 15, going 22/27 for 288 yards against the Chargers. Mike Evans had 9 catches for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Bucky Irving rushed for 117 yards on 15 carries.

Heading into week 16, the Cowboys are 25th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 16th in both points per game (21.3) and yards per game (328.9). Dallas is 2nd in the NFL in passing attempts per game, with 38.5, and they are 12th in passing yards, averaging 229.1 per game. On the ground, they rank 22nd in rushing attempts and 25th in rushing yards, with 99.8 per game. The Cowboys are 23rd in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage, but they are 7th in red zone conversion percentage.

Cooper Rush had a strong performance in week 15, throwing for 214 yards and 3 touchdowns with a passer rating of 119. CeeDee Lamb caught 9 passes for 116 yards and a touchdown, while Rico Dowdle rushed for 149 yards on 25 carries. Dallas scored 30 points against the Panthers, with 10 in the 2nd quarter, 14 in the 3rd, and 6 in the 4th.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Buccaneers -207 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Prediction: Total

Despite allowing two passing touchdowns, Tampa Bay’s defense was able to hold the Chargers to just 32 yards rushing on 11 attempts in their 40-17 win. The Buccaneers also gave up just 174 yards passing, with a good chunk of that coming on a few big plays. The Chargers finished with a completion percentage of 64.7% and were 0% on third down.

The Buccaneers’ defense recorded three sacks and came up with one interception. They also won the quarterback hit battle by eight and limited the Chargers to just 206 total yards.

In their 30-14 win over the Panthers, the Cowboys’ defense allowed just 175 passing yards. They picked off two passes and held Carolina to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. The Cowboys also had six sacks and forced the Panthers to run the ball just 16 times, finishing with 60 rushing yards.

Dallas’ defense limited Carolina to 235 total yards and 6.2 yards per attempt in the passing game. Despite giving up one passing touchdown, they made it difficult for the Panthers to sustain drives, especially with their success on third downs and their ability to pressure the quarterback.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 49.5 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Prediction: Spread

With four straight wins, the Buccaneers now sit atop the NFC South at 8-6. After a week 10 loss to the 49ers, Tampa Bay has bounced back with victories over the Giants, Panthers, Raiders, and Chargers. In week 15, they took down Los Angeles 40-17, easily covering the 3-point spread as underdogs. This puts their ATS record at 9-5, and they’ve covered in two straight games.

Our projections give the Bucs a 79.7% chance of winning the division and an 81.8% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 8th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 16. Their O/U record is 9-5, with their games averaging 52.1 points per contest.

  • Through their last three games, the Buccaneers have a record of 3-0. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
  • The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.

Heading into week 16, the Cowboys sit 29th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.1% chance of making the playoffs. Dallas is 6-8 this season, including a 3-1 record in division games. They are currently 3rd in the NFC East. The Cowboys have struggled at home, going 1-6, but they are 5-2 on the road.

Dallas bounced back from two straight losses with a 30-14 win over the Panthers in week 15. The Cowboys were 2.5-point underdogs but covered the spread with a 16-point victory. The O/U line was 42 points, and the teams combined for 44. Dallas’ O/U record is 9-5 this season, and they are 5-9 against the spread.

  • Dallas has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). In these contests, the team went just 1-2 against the spread, while going 2-1 on the over-under.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Cowboys +4 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Pick: Cowboys +4

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Cowboys to cover as home underdogs in this week 16 matchup against the Buccaneers. Currently, the point spread lines have the Cowboys at +4, and we have the Buccaneers winning 24-22, making the Cowboys our pick vs. the spread.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 49.5 points, we have this one finishing with 46 combined points, making the under our pick for this matchup.

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