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Buccaneers vs Chargers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 15

ByUSA Wager

The Chargers are favored on the money line at -158 as they host the Buccaneers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The game, which is being televised on FOX, sees the Chargers as -3 point favorites. The over/under line is set at 46.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Chargers vs Buccaneers

  • We have the Buccaneers winning this one by a score of 27 to 26
  • Not only do we have the Buccaneers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 46.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Buccaneers +3 | Chargers -3
  • Total: 46.5
  • MoneyLine: Buccaneers +133 | Chargers -158

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Buccaneers vs. Chargers Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 15, the Buccaneers rank 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.9 points per game, and they lead the league in 1st-quarter scoring. Tampa Bay ranks 3rd in the NFL with 379.3 passing yards per game and 6th in passing yards, despite being 13th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game. The Bucs rank 2nd in 3rd-down conversion percentage but are 27th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 4th in red zone attempts.

Baker Mayfield threw for 295 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 14, with 2 interceptions and 4 sacks. Rachaad White led the team with 90 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Cade Otton had 3 catches for 70 yards. Tampa Bay scored 14 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters against the Raiders. Mike Evans had 118 receiving yards in week 13, and Bucky Irving rushed for 152 yards in week 13 and 88 yards in week 12. However, Irving is questionable for week 15, and Chris Godwin is on injured reserve with a dislocated ankle.

In our offensive power rankings, the Chargers sit 15th in the NFL, while they are 18th in points per game, averaging 21.3. They rank 24th in passing yards per game with 198.1, despite being 29th in pass attempts. On the ground, they are 19th in rushing yards per game, with 111.5, on 27.1 attempts per game. Los Angeles ranks 14th in third-down conversions and 7th in red zone conversion percentage.

Justin Herbert threw for 213 yards and a touchdown in week 14, completing 21 of 30 passes. He has not thrown an interception in the last three games. Joshua Palmer led the team with 6 catches for 78 yards in week 14, while Gus Edwards had 36 rushing yards on 10 carries. The Chargers scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter against the Chiefs but were held to just 3 points in the 4th quarter.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Buccaneers +133 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Chargers Prediction: Total

In their 28-13 win over the Raiders, the Buccaneers’ defense really stepped up. They allowed just 195 passing yards and held Las Vegas to 30.8% on third down. The Raiders managed just 91 yards on 25 rushing attempts, averaging only 3.6 yards per attempt. Tampa Bay also kept the Raiders out of the endzone through the air, not allowing any passing touchdowns.

The Buccaneers’ defense also came up with an interception and limited the Raiders to 62.2% completions. Despite not having a lot of sacks, they did have two and also came up with more quarterback hits and tackles for loss.

In their 19-17 loss to the Chiefs, the Chargers’ defense allowed 202 passing yards and 96 rushing yards on 25 attempts. They held Kansas City to just 3.8 yards per attempt on the ground and recorded three sacks, while also hitting the quarterback six more times than the Chiefs. However, the Chargers struggled on third down, allowing the Chiefs to convert 53.3% of their third down attempts.

The Chargers’ defense limited the Chiefs to 298 total yards and 19 points, but they did allow one passing touchdown. Despite this, the Chargers’ defense did well to limit the big plays, as the Chiefs averaged only 5.5 yards per pass attempt in the game.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 46.5 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Chargers Prediction: Spread

The Buccaneers have won three straight games, including a 28-13 victory over the Raiders in week 14. This win brought their record to 7-6, putting them in first place in the NFC South. Tampa Bay is 2-2 in division games and 6-3 in conference play. They are 4-2 on the road and 3-4 at home.

Our projections give the Bucs a 76% chance of making the playoffs and a 73.9% chance of winning the NFC South. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 15. Tampa Bay has an average scoring margin of +4.2 points per game and is 8-5 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-5, with their games averaging 51.7 points per game.

  • Tampa Bay will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
  • Tampa Bay has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 32 points per game while allowing 24. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.

Heading into week 15, the Chargers sit at 8-5, giving them a 90.5% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They rank 13th in our power rankings and 6th in the AFC standings. In week 14, they couldn’t extend their winning streak to three games, falling to the Chiefs 19-17. Despite the loss, they covered the 4.5-point spread, bringing their ATS record to 9-3-1 this season.

The Chargers have an average scoring margin of +5.4 points per game. Their O/U record stands at 4-9, with the under hitting in their last two games. Their matchups have averaged 37.2 points per game, compared to an average line of 42.3.

  • Los Angeles has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 3-0 on the over/under.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Buccaneers +3 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Chargers Pick: Buccaneers Moneyline (+133)

For this week 15 matchup between the Buccaneers and Chargers, we are leaning towards taking the Buccaneers to cover the spread. As of now, the point spread lines have the Buccaneers at +3, and our projected final score is 27-20 in favor of Tampa Bay.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 46.5 points, we have these teams combining for 47 points, making the over a good bet to take.

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