Browns vs Steelers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 14
The Browns and Steelers are set to kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. The Steelers are favored by -6 in this week 14 AFC North matchup, with the Browns at +222 on the money line and the over/under line is 43 points. You can catch this one on CBS.
Prediction at a Glance for Steelers vs Browns
- We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 23 to 18
- Even though we like the Steelers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Browns at +6
- We see this game finishing below the line of 43 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Browns +6 | Steelers -6
- Total: 43
- MoneyLine: Browns +222 | Steelers -280
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Browns vs. Steelers Prediction: MoneyLine
Heading into week 14, the Browns are 31st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 18.2 points per game, which ranks 28th in the league. They are 22nd in passing yards per game with 314.1, despite ranking 2nd in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 25th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards per game, with 87.2. Cleveland has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 29.2% of their attempts, which ranks 31st, but they lead the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 13, Jameis Winston threw for 497 yards and 4 touchdowns, but also had 3 interceptions. Jerry Jeudy had 9 catches for 235 yards and a touchdown. Jerome Ford led the team in rushing with 41 yards on 9 carries. Cleveland scored in every quarter in week 13, after being shut out in the 1st and 3rd quarters in week 12 and the 2nd and 4th quarters in week 11.
Heading into week 14, the Steelers are 16th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 24.7 points per game, which ranks 9th in the NFL. They are 14th in yards per game (344) and 20th in passing yards per game (210.9), despite ranking 28th in passing attempts. Pittsburgh relies heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards per game (133.1). They are 13th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, converting 39.2% of their attempts.
Russell Wilson threw for 414 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 13, completing 29 of 38 passes. Najee Harris had 75 rushing yards on 16 carries, while George Pickens led the team with 74 receiving yards. Pittsburgh scored 44 points in week 13, with 20 coming in the 2nd quarter and 10 in the 4th.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Steelers -280 (Bet Now)
Browns vs. Steelers Prediction: Total
In their 41-32 loss to the Broncos, the Browns’ defense gave up 294 passing yards on just 18 completions. Cleveland’s defense struggled to pressure the quarterback, as they didn’t record any sacks and lost the QB hit differential by -8. Despite this, they did manage to come up with two interceptions. Overall, the Browns allowed the Broncos to gain 400 yards, with 106 of those coming on the ground over 26 rushing attempts. The Browns also allowed Denver to convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts.
In their 44-38 win over the Bengals, the Steelers’ defense allowed 375 total yards. Cincinnati found some success through the air, completing 73.7% of their passes for 282 yards, with four of their 28 completions resulting in touchdowns. Pittsburgh defended the run well, as the Bengals managed just 93 yards on 15 attempts.
Despite giving up some big plays, the Steelers’ defense made key plays of their own, including four sacks and one interception. They also held the Bengals to a 50% conversion rate on third down, and their pressure resulted in a positive differential in quarterback hits and tackles for loss.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 43 (Bet Now)
Browns vs. Steelers Prediction: Spread
With a 3-9 record, the Browns are 4th in the AFC North and 19th in our power rankings. They have a 2-1 division record and are 3-4 in conference play. After beating the Steelers in week 12, Cleveland couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 41-32 to the Broncos in week 13. The combined 73 points easily cleared the 41.5-point line, marking the third straight game the Browns have hit the over.
Against the spread, Cleveland is 4-8, with all four of their wins coming as underdogs. They are 0-4 as favorites. Their average scoring margin this season is -7.5 points per game.
- Across Cleveland’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 3-0.
- In their last five games away from home, the Browns have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 18 points per game in this stretch.
With a 9-3 record, the Steelers sit atop the AFC North and rank 3rd in the conference. Our projections give Pittsburgh a 99.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 71.2% chance of winning the division. Heading into week 14, they are 9th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, the Steelers are 9-3, including a 5-0 record as underdogs.
After losing to the Browns in week 12, the Steelers bounced back with a 44-38 win over the Bengals in week 13. Pittsburgh was a 3-point underdog in this game, but they came away with the win to cover the spread. The 82 combined points easily went over the 46-point line.
- The Steelers have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. Against the spread, the team is 3-0 in these same games while going 2-1 on the over/under.
- Pittsburgh has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 29 points per game while allowing 25. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Free Spread Prediction Browns +6 (Bet Now)
Browns vs. Steelers Pick: Browns +6
Our prediction for this week 14 matchup between the Browns and Steelers is to take the Browns to cover as road underdogs. Even though the Browns are +6 point underdogs, we have the Steelers winning by a score of 23-18. With the point spread sitting at 6 in favor of the Browns, the Browns are our pick to cover.
As for the over/under, we like the under, with our projections coming in at 41 combined points, just two points below the O/U line of 43.
