Browns vs Eagles Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 6
The Eagles are heavily favored at -436 on the money line as they host the Browns at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Eagles are 2-3, and the Browns are +338 on the money line. FOX is covering this week six non-conference matchup, and the Eagles are -8.5 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 43.5 points.
Prediction at a Glance for Eagles vs Browns
- We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 26 to 22
- Even though we like the Eagles to win, our ATS pick is to take the Browns at +8.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 43.5 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Browns +8.5 | Eagles -8.5
- Total: 43.5
- MoneyLine: Browns +338 | Eagles -436
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Browns vs. Eagles Prediction: MoneyLine
Heading into week 6, the Browns rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 28th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.8, and 30th in yards per game with 239.4. Despite being 6th in passing attempts, they are 28th in passing yards per game, averaging 142.8. Deshaun Watson threw for 125 yards (15/28) and a touchdown in week 5, posting a passer rating of 77.
On the ground, Cleveland ranks 27th in rushing yards per game, with 96.6, on 22.2 attempts per game. Jerome Ford led the team with 47 yards on 9 carries in week 5. The Browns have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 18.2% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the league.
Heading into week 6, the Eagles rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 17th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.5, and they have struggled in the first quarter, ranking 24th in the league in scoring. Philadelphia is 16th in passing yards per game, with 211.8, on 33 attempts per game. Jalen Hurts threw for 158 yards and one touchdown in week 4, completing 18 of 30 passes and posting a passer rating of 85.
On the ground, the Eagles are 5th in the NFL, averaging 153.8 rushing yards per game on 30 attempts. Saquon Barkley rushed for 84 yards on 10 carries in week 4 after a 147-yard performance in week 3. Philadelphia ranks 12th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 40.7% success rate, and they are 17th in red zone efficiency, converting 41.2% of their opportunities.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Eagles -436 (Bet Now)
Browns vs. Eagles Prediction: Total
In their 34-13 loss to the Washington Commanders, the Browns’ defense allowed 215 rushing yards on just 34 attempts, including a long run of 58 yards. Despite this, they did manage to force 3 sacks and an interception. The Commanders had a big day on the ground, averaging 6.3 yards per attempt.
Cleveland’s defense held Washington to 219 yards passing and just 15 completions, but the Commanders still managed to score 34 points. The Browns’ defense also forced Washington into a 47.1% conversion rate on third down.
In their 33-16 loss to the Buccaneers, the Eagles gave up 445 total yards and struggled to get off the field on third down, as Tampa Bay converted 46.2% of their third downs. Philadelphia allowed 334 passing yards on 30 completions, with two passing touchdowns and a 63.8% completion percentage against them.
On the ground, the Eagles allowed 111 rushing yards on 25 attempts, giving up an average of 4.4 yards per attempt. Despite generating two sacks, Philadelphia lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in this game.
- Free Total Prediction OVER 43.5 (Bet Now)
Browns vs. Eagles Prediction: Spread
Heading into week 6, the Browns are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 34-13 loss to the Commanders in week 5. This puts Cleveland at 1-4, with their only win coming in week 2 against the Jaguars. The Browns are 3rd in the AFC North and 13th in the conference, and our projections give them a 4.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.7% chance of winning the division.
In our power rankings, the Browns sit 29th, and they have an average scoring margin of -8.4 points per game. Against the spread, they are 1-4 and have failed to cover in three straight games. Their O/U record is 2-3, with their games averaging 40 points per game.
- Cleveland has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). Their record vs the spread sits at 0-3 in these matchups, while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
- In their last five games away from home, the Browns have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 15 points per game in this stretch.
Heading into week 6, the Eagles hold a 2-2 record, placing them 3rd in the NFC East. Our projections give Philadelphia a 53.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 30.1% chance of winning their division. Despite their .500 record, the Eagles rank 7th in our NFL power rankings. So far, they have an average scoring margin of -2.5 points per game and are 2-2 against the spread.
After a narrow 15-12 win over the Saints in week 3, the Eagles couldn’t keep their momentum going, losing 33-16 to the Buccaneers in week 4. Philadelphia was a 1-point favorite in that game but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 2-2. The O/U line was 42 points, with the teams combining for 49. The over hit in that game, while the under hit in the Eagles’ previous two matchups.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Philadelphia has a record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
- Through their last five home games, Philadelphia has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 13 points per game.
- Free Spread Prediction Browns +8.5 (Bet Now)
Browns vs. Eagles Pick: Browns +8.5
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Browns to cover as 8.5-point road underdogs in this week six matchup between the Eagles and Browns. Even though the Eagles are the favorite at -8.5, we have the Browns coming out on top by a score of 29-21.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 43.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 50 points.
