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Browns vs Broncos Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 13

ByUSA Wager

The Browns and Broncos will face off on Monday, December 2nd at 8:15 ET, with ESPN providing the television coverage. The Broncos are favored on the money line at -240, while the Browns’ money line odds are +197. The point spread favors the Broncos by -5.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 42 points for this week 13 AFC matchup. The game is being played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO.

Prediction at a Glance for Broncos vs Browns

  • We have the Browns winning this one by a score of 23 to 13
  • Not only do we have the Browns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 42 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Browns +5.5 | Broncos -5.5
  • Total: 42
  • MoneyLine: Browns +197 | Broncos -240

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Browns vs. Broncos Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 13, the Browns rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 28th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 16.9, and 29th in yards per game with 292.5. Despite ranking 3rd in passing attempts, they are 21st in passing yards per game (204.3). On the ground, Cleveland ranks 26th in rushing attempts and 29th in rushing yards per game, averaging 88.2. They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 27% of their attempts, which ranks last in the league. However, they lead the NFL in red zone conversion percentage at 66.7%.

In week 12, the Browns scored 14 points in the 4th quarter to beat the Steelers 24-19. Jameis Winston threw for 219 yards on 18/27 passing, with 1 interception. Nick Chubb had 20 carries for 59 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jerry Jeudy led the team with 6 catches for 85 yards. Cleveland struggled on 3rd down, converting only 1 of 10 attempts, but they scored on 3 of their 4 red zone trips.

Heading into week 13, the Broncos sit 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 22 points per game, and rank 23rd in total yards with 313.5 per game. Denver is 22nd in passing yards (201.9) and 23rd in rushing yards (111.6), with 33.5 pass attempts per game (13th) and 26.4 rush attempts (19th). On 3rd down, they convert 37.3% of the time, which ranks 21st, and they are 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 7th in red zone attempts.

Bo Nix has been impressive, throwing for 273 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12, following a 307-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 11. He has not thrown an interception in his last three games. Courtland Sutton had 8 catches for 97 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12. Denver scored 13 points in the 4th quarter against the Raiders after scoring 10 in the 4th quarter in week 11.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Browns +197 (Bet Now)

Browns vs. Broncos Prediction: Total

In their 24-19 win over the Steelers, the Browns’ defense allowed 368 yards, including 248 yards through the air on 21 completions. Despite giving up 120 rushing yards on 34 attempts, they limited Pittsburgh to 3.5 yards per attempt. Cleveland also recorded four sacks and held the Steelers to a 43.8% third-down conversion rate.

Cleveland’s defense pressured the quarterback effectively, coming out ahead in both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. Although the Steelers found some success moving the ball, the Browns made key plays to keep them out of the end zone and secure the victory.

In their 29-19 win over the Raiders, the Broncos’ defense allowed just 16 rushing attempts, but they still gave up 300 passing yards on 31 completions. Las Vegas finished with 369 total yards, but Denver’s defense limited them to a 28.6% third-down conversion rate. The Broncos also came away with five sacks and an interception, while holding the Raiders to 69 rushing yards.

Denver’s defense was tough on the Raiders’ quarterbacks, winning the QB hit differential by +8. Despite allowing some yardage through the air, they kept Las Vegas out of the endzone for the most part, giving up just one passing touchdown.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 42 (Bet Now)

Browns vs. Broncos Prediction: Spread

With a 3-8 record, the Browns have just a 1% chance of making the playoffs and rank 21st in our NFL power rankings. They are 2-1 in the AFC North but sit in 4th place. Against the spread, Cleveland is 4-7, including 0-4 as favorites and 4-3 as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is -7.4 points per game.

In week 12, the Browns snapped a three-game losing streak by beating the Steelers 24-19, covering the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. The combined 43 points went over the 36.5-point line, marking the second straight over in Cleveland’s games.

  • Cleveland has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Across their five previous road games, Cleveland has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 15 points per game.

With back-to-back wins, the Broncos now sit at 7-5 on the season, giving them a 63.1% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. Denver is currently 3rd in the AFC West with a 2-2 division record and is 4-3 on the road and 3-2 at home. In week 12, they defeated the Raiders 29-19, bouncing back from a week 10 loss to the Chiefs with a 32-point win over the Falcons in week 11.

Heading into week 13, the Broncos are 9-3 against the spread, including three straight ATS wins. They covered the 5.5-point spread against the Raiders and are 5-0 as favorites this season. Their O/U record is 7-5, with their games averaging 38.8 points compared to an average line of 40.4.

  • The Broncos have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Browns +5.5 (Bet Now)

Browns vs. Broncos Pick: Browns Moneyline (+197)

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Browns to cover as 5.5-point road underdogs in this week 13 matchup between the Browns and Broncos. We have the Browns pulling out a 21-20 win, making them a good pick to cover.

For this week’s over/under pick, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 41 points, just below the O/U line of 42 points.

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