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Browns vs Bengals Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 16

ByUSA Wager

The Browns and Bengals will kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 22nd at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati. The Bengals are the heavy favorite with a money line of -331, and the Browns’ money line sits at +262. On the point spread, the Bengals are -7 point favorites. This week 16 AFC North matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is 48 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Bengals vs Browns

  • We have the Browns winning this one by a score of 32 to 24
  • Not only do we have the Browns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 48 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Browns +7 | Bengals -7
  • Total: 48
  • MoneyLine: Browns +262 | Bengals -331

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Browns vs. Bengals Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 16, Cleveland ranks 31st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 17.1 points per game (27th) and 309.6 yards per game (22nd). They lead the NFL in passing attempts but are 17th in passing yards, with Jameis Winston throwing for 146 yards and 3 interceptions in week 15. Cleveland ranks 30th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 28.6% success rate, but they are 1st in red zone conversion percentage.

Jerry Jeudy has been a bright spot, with 11 catches for 108 yards in week 15, following a 64-yard performance in week 14 and a 235-yard game in week 13. Jerome Ford led the team in rushing in week 15, with 84 yards on 7 carries.

Joe Burrow has been impressive over his last three games, throwing for 271 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 15 against the Titans, following a 369-yard performance in week 14 and a 309-yard outing in week 13. Ja’Marr Chase just missed the 100-yard mark in week 15, finishing with 9 catches for 94 yards, after his 177-yard, 2-touchdown game in week 14. Chase Brown rushed for 97 yards on 25 carries in week 15.

Heading into week 16, the Bengals rank 5th in the NFL in points per game (28.5) and lead the league in passing yards per game with 271.4. They are 10th in total yards per game, averaging 362.5, and rank 4th in 3rd-down conversions with a 47.5% success rate.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Browns +262 (Bet Now)

Browns vs. Bengals Prediction: Total

In their 21-7 loss to the Chiefs, the Browns’ defense gave up 132 rushing yards on 35 attempts, with Kansas City finishing the game with 311 total yards. Cleveland’s defense allowed 2 passing touchdowns and failed to record any sacks. The Browns did well on third downs, allowing just a 38.9% conversion rate, but they still gave up 179 passing yards.

Cleveland’s defense also had 3 tackles for loss and won the QB hit battle with a +1 differential. The Browns will be looking to improve in the pass rush and tighten up in the secondary after allowing the Chiefs to complete 52.5% of their passes.

The Bengals’ defense gave up 291 passing yards to the Titans in their most recent game, but they also came up with four interceptions in their 37-27 win. Tennessee completed 76.3% of their passes and converted 62.5% of their third down attempts. Despite their success in the passing game, the Titans struggled to run the ball, finishing with just 83 yards on 26 attempts.

Cincinnati’s defense allowed one passing touchdown and struggled on third downs, allowing the Titans to convert 62.5% of their attempts. However, their four interceptions were key in securing the win. The Bengals also had one sack and won the tackles for loss battle.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 48 (Bet Now)

Browns vs. Bengals Prediction: Spread

With a 3-11 record, the Browns are on a three-game losing streak, including a 21-7 home loss to the Chiefs in week 15. Cleveland is 4th in the AFC North and 12th in the conference, with no playoff chances. They rank 25th in our power rankings heading into week 16.

The Browns have an average scoring margin of -8.4 and are 4-10 against the spread. They’ve failed to cover in three straight games, including week 15, when they were 4-point underdogs to Kansas City. Their O/U record is 6-8, with the under hitting in their last two games.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Browns have gone 0-3 straight up. This includes going 0-3 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Across the Browns last five road games, the team averaged 17 points per game while allowing 31. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 0-5 straight-up.

With two straight wins, the Bengals now sit at 6-8, putting them 3rd in the AFC North. After a week 13 loss to the Steelers, Cincinnati bounced back with road wins over the Cowboys and Titans, including a 10-point victory over Tennessee in week 15. The Bengals were 6-point favorites in that game, and the 64 combined points easily hit the over (46.0).

Heading into week 16, Cincinnati has a +0.9 scoring margin and is 8-6 against the spread. They rank 17th in our power rankings and have a 6% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 10-4, with their games averaging 56.1 points per game.

  • Cincinnati has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • Across their last five home contests, Cincinnati has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 29 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Browns +7 (Bet Now)

Browns vs. Bengals Pick: Browns Moneyline (+262)

Our pick for this week 16 matchup between the Browns and Bengals is to take the Browns to cover the spread. Even though they are the road underdogs at +7, we have them winning by a score of 29-24. This would make the Browns a great pick vs. the spread.

As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 48 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 53 points. This makes the over a great value pick for this Browns vs. Bengals matchup.

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