Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Broncos vs Seahawks Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 1

The Seahawks are the heavy favorite in their week one matchup against the Broncos. The game, set for 4:05 ET on Sunday, September 8th, is the first of the season for both teams. The Seahawks are -252 on the money line, and the over/under line is 42 points. CBS is handling the television coverage of this non-conference game, which is being played at Lumen Field in Seattle. The Seahawks are favored by -6 on the point spread.

Prediction at a Glance for Seahawks vs Broncos

  • We have the Seahawks winning this one by a score of 21 to 17
  • Even though we like the Seahawks to win, our ATS pick is to take the Broncos at +6
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 42 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Broncos +6 | Seahawks -6
  • Total: 42
  • MoneyLine: Broncos +207 | Seahawks -252

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Broncos vs. Seahawks Prediction: MoneyLine

The Broncos finished last season with an average of 191.9 passing yards per game, ranking 24th in the league. They averaged 106.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 19th in the league. Overall, Denver’s offense averaged 21 points per game, ranking 20th in the NFL, and 298.4 total yards per game, which was 26th in the league.

Denver struggled to move the ball consistently, averaging only 5 yards per play and 36.8% on third down conversions. They also had the 2nd lowest percentage of first downs from passing plays, showing a lack of big plays in the passing game.

Denver’s passing game was more efficient than their overall yardage numbers would suggest, as they ranked 11th in passing yards per attempt. However, they were only 24th in passing yards per game, averaging 191.9 yards per contest. The Broncos finished the season averaging 21 points per game, placing them 20th in the league. Their total yardage per game was 298.4, which was 26th overall.

On the ground, the Broncos averaged 106.5 yards per game, ranking 19th in the league. They struggled to sustain drives, finishing 27th in passing attempts per game. Despite that, they were 8th in the percentage of first downs coming from rushing plays.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Seahawks -252 (Bet Now)

Broncos vs. Seahawks Prediction: Total

Denver’s defense was tough in the red zone last season, allowing a 57.6% scoring percentage, which was 20th in the NFL. However, they gave up 24.3 points per game, ranking 27th in the league. On the road, they struggled even more, giving up 29.6 points per game, which was 29th compared to being 13th in the league at home.

The Broncos’ defense was 21st in the NFL last season. They were good at taking the ball away, ranking 6th in the league with 26 takeaways. But they struggled to defend the pass, giving up 370.8 yards per game, which was 29th. Opponents also converted on 46.8% of their third down attempts against Denver.

Denver’s defense was effective at creating turnovers last season, finishing 6th in takeaways with 26. However, they struggled to defend the pass, giving up 370.8 yards per game, which ranked 29th in the league. Overall, they allowed 24.3 points per game, placing them 27th in the NFL.

The Broncos’ inability to pressure the quarterback was a key issue, as they were below average in both sacks and quarterback hits. Opposing offenses took advantage of this on the road, where they scored 29.6 points per game against Denver, the 2nd highest figure in the league.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 42 (Bet Now)

Broncos vs. Seahawks Prediction: Spread

The Broncos finished the 2023 season with an 8-9 record, placing 3rd in the AFC West and 12th in the AFC overall. Within their division, they went 3-3, and they were tough as favorites, going 5-4. However, they struggled as underdogs, going 3-5. Denver’s road record was 3-5, while they were above .500 at home, going 5-4.

Against the spread, the Broncos were 6-10-1, including a 4-5 mark at home and a 2-5 record on the road. When favored, they went 3-5-1 ATS, and as underdogs, they went 3-5 ATS. Their over/under record was 8-9, and their games averaged 45.3 points per game.

  • The Broncos have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Across these games, their ATS record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
  • Through their last five road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 19 points per game.

The Broncos went 4-5 vs. the spread at home and 2-6-1 ATS against below .500 teams last season. Overall, Denver finished the 2023 season with an 8-9 record, placing them 3rd in the AFC West and 12th in the AFC. Within their division, they went 3-3, and they were tough against above .500 teams, going 4-4 straight-up, but struggled against weaker opponents, going 4-5 vs. below .500 teams.

The Broncos’ games had an average combined scoring of 45.3 points last season, and their over/under record was 8-9. Their ATS record for the season was 6-10-1. At home, they were 4-4 vs. the spread against above .500 teams and 2-1 vs. the spread vs. below .500 teams.

  • Across Seattle’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Against the spread, Seattle went 1-2 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Seattle has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 21 points per game while allowing 24. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-1-1.
  • Free Spread Prediction Broncos +6 (Bet Now)

Broncos vs. Seahawks Pick: Broncos +6

Our pick against the spread is to take the Broncos to cover as road underdogs in this week one matchup between the Broncos and Seahawks. Even though the Seahawks are currently 6-point favorites, we have the Broncos covering with a final score prediction of 23-19 in favor of the Seahawks.

As for the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 42 points. If you are looking to make a play on the over/under line, which is currently sitting at 42 points, we would recommend taking the under.

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