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Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 10

ByUSA Wager

The Chiefs are favored by -8.5 as they host the Broncos at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The game kicks off at 1:00 ET and is being televised on CBS. The Chiefs’ money line odds are -431, while the Broncos’ odds are +329. The over/under line is set at 41.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Chiefs vs Broncos

  • We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 27 to 15
  • Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -8.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Broncos +8.5 | Chiefs -8.5
  • Total: 41.5
  • MoneyLine: Broncos +329 | Chiefs -431

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 10, the Broncos rank 29th in our offensive power rankings. They are 22nd in the NFL in points per game (20.3) and 24th in total yards, averaging 308.6 per game. Denver ranks 27th in passing yards, with 187.1 per game, despite being 12th in pass attempts. On the ground, they are 15th in both rushing attempts and yards. The Broncos rank 24th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 33.6% success rate, and are 17th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 9, Denver struggled after scoring 21 points in the 2nd quarter, failing to score in the 2nd half of their 41-10 loss to the Ravens. Bo Nix threw for 223 yards, completing 19 of 33 passes, with 1 interception. Courtland Sutton led the team with 7 catches for 122 yards, while Javonte Williams had 42 rushing yards on 12 carries.

Heading into week 10, the Chiefs are 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 10th in the NFL in passing yards per game (230.1) and passing attempts per game (33.6). Kansas City has leaned on the run game, ranking 5th in rushing attempts, with Kareem Hunt rushing for 106 yards on 27 carries in week 9. The Chiefs lead the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 53.2% success rate.

Patrick Mahomes threw for 291 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 9, completing 34 of 44 passes without an interception. Travis Kelce had 14 receptions for 100 yards, while Hunt led the ground game. Kansas City scored 14 points in the 4th quarter and added 6 more in overtime against the Buccaneers.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chiefs -431 (Bet Now)

Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction: Total

In their 41-10 loss to the Ravens, the Broncos’ defense allowed Baltimore to complete 84.2% of their passes for 269 yards. Denver struggled to defend the big play, as the Ravens averaged 14.2 yards per attempt and finished with three passing touchdowns. The Broncos managed just one sack and lost the QB hit differential by -4.

On the ground, the Broncos gave up 127 rushing yards on 34 attempts, with Baltimore finishing with 396 total yards. Denver’s defense also allowed the Ravens to convert on 37.5% of their third down attempts.

In their most recent game, the Chiefs’ defense gave up 189 passing yards to the Buccaneers, with 74.2% of their passes completed. The Chiefs allowed two passing touchdowns and lost the time of possession battle, with Tampa Bay holding the ball for 35:46. The Chiefs’ defense did not allow much on the ground, giving up just 95 rushing yards on 19 attempts. However, they allowed a high 5 yards per rushing attempt.

Despite allowing 284 total yards, the Chiefs won the game 30-24 in overtime. The Chiefs struggled to get off the field on third down, allowing the Buccaneers to convert 45.5% of their third downs. Additionally, the Chiefs had just two sacks and lost the tackles for loss and quarterback hit differentials in this one.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 41.5 (Bet Now)

Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction: Spread

After three straight wins, the Broncos couldn’t keep their streak alive in week 9, falling 41-10 to the Ravens. Denver came into the game as 9-point underdogs but couldn’t keep it close, dropping their record to 5-4. They are now 3-2 on the road and 2-2 at home. The Broncos rank 7th in the AFC and 3rd in the AFC West.

Heading into week 10, our projections give Denver a 35.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.7% chance of winning the division. They rank 27th in our NFL power rankings. The Broncos have a +2.4 scoring margin and are 6-3 against the spread. Their O/U record is also 6-3, with the over hitting in five straight games.

  • Denver has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • Denver has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 19 points per game while allowing 18. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.

With an 8-0 record, the Chiefs sit atop the AFC and have a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They also have a 95.6% chance of winning the AFC West, where they currently rank 1st. Kansas City is 4-0 at home and on the road, including a 30-24 win over the Buccaneers in week 9. The Chiefs were favored by 8.5 points in that game but didn’t cover the spread. The O/U line was 45.5, and the teams combined for 54 points.

Heading into week 10, the Chiefs are 3rd in our power rankings. They have a +7 scoring margin and are 4-3-1 against the spread. They have failed to cover in two straight games. Their O/U record is 4-4, with the over hitting in two consecutive games.

  • The Chiefs have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. Across these games, they have put together an ATS mark of 1-2 as well as an over-under record of 2-1.
  • In their last five home games, Kansas City has averaged 22 points per game while allowing 15. The team’s record in this stretch was 5-0 while going 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
  • Free Spread Prediction Chiefs -8.5 (Bet Now)

Broncos vs. Chiefs Pick: Chiefs -8.5

Our pick vs. the spread in this week 10 matchup between the Broncos and Chiefs is to take the Chiefs to cover at home. Even though the point spread is 8.5 in favor of the Broncos, we have the Chiefs winning by a score of 27-17.

For the over/under line, we have a pick on the over, with a projected combined score of 44 points, surpassing the O/U line of 41.5.

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