Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Broncos vs Buccaneers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 3

ByUSA Wager

The over/under line is set at 39.5 points as the Buccaneers, favored at -6.5, host the Broncos at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 22nd at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. The Buccaneers are -317 on the money line, and the game will be televised on FOX. This non-conference matchup sees the Broncos as +252 underdogs on the money line.

Prediction at a Glance for Buccaneers vs Broncos

  • We have the Broncos winning this one by a score of 20 to 15
  • Not only do we have the Broncos winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 39.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Broncos +6.5 | Buccaneers -6.5
  • Total: 39.5
  • MoneyLine: Broncos +252 | Buccaneers -317

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Broncos vs. Buccaneers Prediction: MoneyLine

Bo Nix, the Broncos’ quarterback, threw for 246 yards in their 13-6 loss to the Steelers. Nix completed 20 of 35 passes, but failed to get into the endzone and threw two interceptions. Denver’s offense struggled to sustain drives, finishing with just 13 first downs and going 3-of-18 on third down.

Josh Reynolds was the leading receiver with 93 yards, while Nix also led the team in rushing with 25 yards, aided by a 13-yard run. The running game struggled, with only 64 yards on 19 attempts. Nix was sacked twice in a game where the Broncos failed to capitalize on their offensive opportunities.

Despite gaining just 70 yards on the ground, the Buccaneers pulled out a 20-16 win over the Lions in their most recent game. Baker Mayfield led the way with 185 passing yards on 12 completions, including one touchdown. Tampa Bay’s offense struggled on third down, converting only 20% of their chances, and Mayfield was sacked five times.

Mayfield also led the team in rushing with 34 yards and a touchdown. Chris Godwin was the top receiver, with 117 yards and a touchdown. The Buccaneers finished with 463 total yards in the game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Broncos +252 (Bet Now)

Broncos vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Total

In their 13-6 loss to the Steelers, the Broncos’ defense allowed just 110 yards passing on 13 completions. However, they struggled against the run, giving up 141 yards on 36 attempts. Denver’s defense limited Pittsburgh to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down and recorded two sacks.

Despite their strong play in the passing game, the Broncos allowed one passing touchdown and lost the tackle for loss and QB hit differentials in the game.

Despite giving up 139 rushing yards on 27 attempts, the Buccaneers’ defense held the Lions to 16 points in their 20-16 win. The Bucs allowed 324 passing yards on 35 completions and 463 total yards. Even though they didn’t record any sacks, they did come away with two interceptions.

Opposing offenses are converting on 41.2% of their third down attempts against Tampa Bay. In the passing game, the Buccaneers are giving up 5.8 yards per attempt. They also finished with a +5 advantage in quarterback hits but had a -3 disadvantage in tackles for loss.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 39.5 (Bet Now)

Broncos vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Spread

The Broncos are still looking for their first win of the season after a 13-6 loss to the Steelers. Denver is now 0-2 on the season. The Broncos’ defense played well, keeping the Steelers to just 13 points, but their offense struggled, failing to score until the 4th quarter. Denver went into the game as +2.5 point underdogs, and with the low-scoring affair, the game’s total points of 19 was well below the over/under line of 36.5 points.

Despite the tough defensive performance, the Broncos were down 10-0 at halftime. In the 4th quarter, Bo Nix found Courtland Sutton for a 26-yard touchdown and later connected with Josh Reynolds for another touchdown, giving the Broncos a brief 13-10 lead. However, the Steelers tied the game at 13 before Denver kicked a field goal with 1:56 remaining in the 4th to secure the win.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Denver has a record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.

Tampa Bay is now 2-0 after their 20-16 win over the Lions. The Buccaneers were +7.5 point underdogs heading into the game, giving them a straight-up and ATS win. The combined 36 points was well below the O/U line of 52 points. Tampa Bay led 13-6 at halftime and added a touchdown in the 3rd quarter, with Baker Mayfield finding Jalen McMillan for a 10-yard score. The Buccaneers’ defense held Detroit scoreless in the 4th quarter to secure the win.

Jahmyr Gibbs gave the Lions a scare in the 4th quarter with two touchdowns, but the Buccaneers managed to hold on. After the first quarter ended 6-3 in favor of Tampa Bay, the Buccaneers added another field goal early in the 2nd quarter before Jake Bates tied things up at 6-6. Chase McLaughlin’s 55-yard field goal put Tampa Bay back in the lead, and they didn’t trail after that.

  • Tampa Bay will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 1-2 in those same games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 23 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Broncos +6.5 (Bet Now)

Broncos vs. Buccaneers Pick: Broncos Moneyline (+252)

Our prediction for this week three matchup between the Broncos and Buccaneers is a 19-15 win for the Broncos. With the Broncos coming in as 6.5-point road underdogs, we like them to not only win but also cover the spread.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at just 39.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with our projected combined score being 34 points.

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