Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Bills vs Texans Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 5

ByUSA Wager

The Texans are the slight underdog in their week five matchup against the Bills, which kicks off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th at NRG Stadium in Houston. Buffalo is favored on the road with a money line of -118, and their point spread is -1. The Texans’ money line odds are -103, and the over/under line is set at 47.5 points. This AFC matchup is being televised on CBS.

Prediction at a Glance for Texans vs Bills

  • We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 23 to 21
  • Not only do we have the Bills winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Bills -1 | Texans +1
  • Total: 47.5
  • MoneyLine: Bills -118 | Texans -103

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Bills vs. Texans Prediction: MoneyLine

Buffalo’s offense struggled to move the ball in their 35-10 loss to the Ravens, managing just 12 first downs and 155 total yards. The running game was limited to 81 yards on 23 attempts, and the passing game couldn’t find the endzone, with Josh Allen throwing for just 180 yards and failing to throw any touchdowns.

Allen was sacked three times and finished with a passer rating of 73. Khalil Shakir led the team with 62 receiving yards, 52 of which came on a single catch. On the ground, James Cook was the leading rusher with 39 yards.

The Texans’ offense put up 334 yards passing in their 24-20 win over the Jaguars, with C.J. Stroud throwing for 345 yards and two touchdowns. Houston had 26 first downs and converted 53.8% of their third down attempts. Stroud completed 67% of his passes and had a passer rating of 110.

Nico Collins led the team with 151 yards receiving and a touchdown. Houston struggled to get the running game going, finishing with just 101 yards on 26 attempts. Cam Akers was the leading rusher with 53 yards.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Bills -118 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Texans Prediction: Total

In their 35-10 loss to the Ravens, the Bills’ defense gave up a massive 271 rushing yards on just 34 attempts, including a long 72-yard touchdown run by Lamar Jackson. Despite this, they limited Baltimore to 156 passing yards on 8.2 yards per attempt. The Ravens finished with 427 total yards.

Buffalo allowed two passing touchdowns and struggled to get off the field, as the Ravens converted 55.6% of their third down attempts. The Bills did manage to sack Jackson once and had one more tackle for loss than the Ravens.

The Texans’ defense gave up 158 rushing yards to the Jaguars in their most recent game, despite coming out with a 24-20 win. Jacksonville finished with 313 yards of total offense, but Houston’s defense made it tough on them in the passing game, allowing just 155 yards through the air. The Texans’ defense held the Jaguars to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

Even though they allowed 158 rushing yards, the Texans’ defense held the Jaguars to 4.7 yards per attempt in the passing game. They also had one sack in the game, while Jacksonville had three more QB hits and one more tackle for loss than Houston.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 47.5 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Texans Prediction: Spread

The Buffalo Bills are now 3-1 after a 35-10 loss to the Ravens in their most recent game. Buffalo fell behind early, as Derrick Henry’s 87-yard touchdown run gave Baltimore a 7-0 lead. The Bills managed to add a field goal, but the Ravens dominated the rest of the game, scoring three touchdowns in the 2nd quarter and leading 28-3 at halftime.

Buffalo did find the endzone in the 3rd quarter when Josh Allen connected with Khalil Shakir for a 52-yard touchdown. However, Baltimore also scored in the 3rd quarter and put the game out of reach. The Bills’ defense struggled to contain Lamar Jackson and the Ravens’ offense, giving up big plays throughout the game.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Buffalo have gone 2-1. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.

The Texans are now 3-1 on the season after a 24-20 win over the Jaguars. Houston fell behind early, with the Jaguars leading 10-7 after the first quarter. However, the Texans rallied and took a 17-13 lead at halftime and held on for the win. Houston’s record is now 3-1, and they are in a good position in the AFC South.

In the 4th quarter, C.J. Stroud connected with Dare Ogunbowale for a touchdown, putting the Texans ahead for good. Stroud had a strong game, throwing for multiple touchdowns, including one to Nico Collins with 22 seconds left in the 4th. The final score of this one was 24-20 in favor of the Texans.

  • Through their last three games, the Texans have a record of 3-0. However, they have only gone 1-2 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 1-2.
  • Across the Texans last five home games, the team averaged 17 points per game while allowing 26. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 3-2 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Bills -1 (Bet Now)

Bills vs. Texans Pick: Bills Moneyline (-118)

For this week five matchup between the Bills and Texans, we have the Bills coming out on top by a score of 23-20. Even though the point spread is close, we are going with the Bills to cover as road favorites.

As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 47.5 points, we like the under, projecting a combined score of 43 points.

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