Bears vs Packers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 18
The Bears and Packers will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th at Lambeau Field. This week 18 NFC North matchup is being televised on FOX. The Packers are heavily favored, with a money line of -480 and a point spread of -10. Chicago’s money line odds are +362, and the over/under line is set at 41 points.
Prediction at a Glance for Packers vs Bears
- We have the Packers winning this one by a score of 26 to 11
- Not only do we have the Packers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -10
- We see this game finishing below the line of 41 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Bears +10 | Packers -10
- Total: 41
- MoneyLine: Bears +362 | Packers -480
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Bears vs. Packers Prediction: MoneyLine
Heading into week 18, the Bears rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.9, and they sit last in the league in yards per game with 287.2. Chicago is 13th in passing attempts but only 29th in passing yards per game, with 184.1. On the ground, they are 19th in rushing attempts and 25th in rushing yards per game, averaging 103.2. The Bears have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 31.8% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the NFL. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 2nd in the league with a 44.4% conversion rate.
Caleb Williams threw for 122 yards in week 17, completing 16 of 28 passes with one interception and no touchdowns. He was sacked 7 times in the loss to Seattle. D’Andre Swift led the team with 53 rushing yards on 12 carries, and DJ Moore had 6 catches for 54 yards. The Bears were shut out in the 1st, 3rd, and 4th quarters, scoring only 3 points in the 2nd quarter.
Heading into week 18, the Packers are 8th in our offensive power rankings. They are also 8th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.4 points per game, and 7th in yards per game with 370.7. Green Bay has relied heavily on the run game, ranking 6th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards per game, with 144.6. They are 29th in passing attempts, but Jordan Love has been efficient, throwing for 185 yards (19/30) and a touchdown in week 17 without an interception.
On 3rd down, the Packers rank 11th in the NFL, converting 40% of their attempts. They are 27th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 3rd in red zone attempts. In week 17, they scored 15 points in the 4th quarter and converted 8 of 14 3rd downs, while going 3/4 in the red zone. Josh Jacobs had 69 rushing yards on 17 carries, and Romeo Doubs led the team with 58 receiving yards on 7 catches.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Packers -480 (Bet Now)
Bears vs. Packers Prediction: Total
In a 6-3 loss to the Seahawks, the Bears’ defense held Seattle to just 143 passing yards. Despite a strong effort, Chicago’s defense was let down by the offense, as the Bears managed only 3 points in the game. The Bears’ run defense allowed 122 yards on 25 attempts, with Seattle averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. Chicago did record three sacks in the game and held Seattle to a 38.5% third-down conversion rate.
In their 27-25 loss to the Vikings, the Packers’ defense gave up 372 passing yards and allowed three passing touchdowns. They also struggled to get off the field, as Minnesota converted on 50% of their third down attempts. Despite winning the tackles for loss battle, Green Bay managed just one sack and allowed the Vikings to complete 76.7% of their passes.
On the ground, the Packers fared better, giving up only 69 rushing yards on 26 attempts. However, the Vikings found success through the air, racking up 441 total yards in the game.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 41 (Bet Now)
Bears vs. Packers Prediction: Spread
Heading into week 18, the Bears are on a 10-game losing streak, dropping their record to 4-12. This includes a 6-3 loss to the Seahawks in week 17, where they covered the spread as 4-point underdogs. Chicago is now 8-7-1 against the spread, with a scoring margin of -3.9 points per game.
With the Bears out of playoff contention, they are 23rd in our power rankings. They are 0-7 on the road this season and 4-5 at home. In division games, Chicago is 0-5, and they are 2-9 against NFC opponents.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Chicago has a record of 0-3. In these contests, the team went just 1-2 against the spread, while going 1-2 on the over-under.
- Across their five previous road games, Chicago has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 13 points per game.
Heading into week 18, the Packers have an 11-5 record, which gives them a 100% chance of making the playoffs. However, they have no chance of winning the NFC North, as they are just 1-4 in division games. Despite that, Green Bay ranks 3rd in our NFL power rankings. They have a +7.8 scoring margin this season and are 8-7-1 against the spread.
After three straight wins, the Packers lost to the Vikings in week 17, including a 34-point win over the Saints in week 16. They covered the 14-point spread in that game but couldn’t cover as 0.5-point favorites against Minnesota. The 52 points in that game went over the 49-point line.
- Over their last three games, the Packers have gone 3-0 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
- Across the Packers last five home games, the team averaged 27 points per game while allowing 24. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-3-1, while going 3-2 straight-up.
- Free Spread Prediction Packers -10 (Bet Now)
Bears vs. Packers Pick: Packers -10
For this week 18 matchup between the Bears and Packers, we have the Packers coming out on top by a score of 27-12. Despite this, the point spread has the Bears as 10-point favorites. If you are looking to bet this game, we would recommend taking the Packers to cover as home favorites.
As for the over/under line, with the line sitting at 41 points, we have a slight lean towards the under, with our projected score being 27-12 in favor of the Packers.
