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Bears vs Lions Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 13

ByUSA Wager

The Lions are heavily favored at -590 on the money line as they host the Bears at 12:30 ET on Thanksgiving Day. The Bears are +433 on the money line and +10.5 on the point spread. This week 13 NFC North matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 48.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Lions vs Bears

  • We have the Lions winning this one by a score of 33 to 20
  • Not only do we have the Lions winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -10.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 48.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Bears +10.5 | Lions -10.5
  • Total: 48.5
  • MoneyLine: Bears +433 | Lions -590

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Bears vs. Lions Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 13, the Bears rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They sit 21st in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.1, and are 26th in yards per game with 298.9. Despite ranking 12th in passing attempts, they are 29th in passing yards per game, averaging 187.1. On the ground, they rank 15th in rushing attempts and 22nd in rushing yards per game with 111.8. Chicago ranks 29th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage but is 7th in red zone conversion percentage.

Caleb Williams is coming off a 340-yard performance in week 12, where he completed 32 of 47 passes and threw 2 touchdowns without an interception. In week 11, he threw for 231 yards, and in week 10, he had 120 passing yards. DJ Moore led the Bears in receiving in week 12 with 7 catches for 106 yards and a touchdown.

Heading into week 13, the Lions are 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 32.7 points per game, and rank 2nd in total yards per game with 394.3. Despite being 27th in passing attempts, they are 6th in passing yards, averaging 243.5 per game. On the ground, they are 3rd in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards, with 150.8 per game. Detroit ranks 4th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage at 46.8%.

Jared Goff threw for 269 yards in week 12, completing 26 of 36 passes without a touchdown or interception. He was sacked 3 times after not being sacked in weeks 10 and 11. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team with 90 rushing yards on 21 carries, while Jameson Williams had 5 catches for 64 yards. Amon-Ra St. Brown, who had 161 yards in week 11, is questionable with a knee injury.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Lions -590 (Bet Now)

Bears vs. Lions Prediction: Total

In their 30-27 overtime loss to the Vikings, the Bears gave up 452 yards and allowed Minnesota to convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts. Chicago’s defense allowed 328 passing yards and 124 rushing yards (4.6 yards per attempt). They gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed the Vikings to average 9.4 yards per pass attempt.

Chicago’s defense did manage to sack the quarterback three times and had a +5 advantage in quarterback hits, but they lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -3.

Indianapolis managed just 11 completions for 172 yards through the air against the Lions in their most recent game, with Detroit coming away with a 24-6 win. The Lions’ defense was tough on third down, allowing only a 25% conversion rate, and they held the Colts to 39.3% completions. However, they didn’t come up with any sacks and had a -6 differential in tackles for loss.

The Lions defended the run with 96 yards allowed on 21 attempts. Overall, Detroit gave up just 268 total yards in the game.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 48.5 (Bet Now)

Bears vs. Lions Prediction: Spread

Chicago enters week 13 looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes a 30-27 loss to the Vikings in week 12. The Bears are now 4-7 on the season, with all four of their wins coming at home. They rank 24th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs.

Despite their negative scoring margin, the Bears are 6-4-1 against the spread. They are 3-1 as favorites and 3-3-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-7, with their games averaging 39.8 points per game.

  • Chicago has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-1-1 and an over-under mark of 1-2.
  • Through their last five road contests, the Bears offense has averaged 12 points per game while allowing an average of 20. Chicago posted an overall record of 0-5 while going 1-4 ATS.

Heading into week 13, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 9-game winning streak, putting their record at 10-1. After a narrow 26-23 win over the Texans in week 10, Detroit bounced back with two comfortable victories, beating the Jaguars 52-6 in week 11 and the Colts 24-6 in week 12. The Lions were 7-point favorites against Indianapolis and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 9-2 this season.

With their recent run, the Lions have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 84.4% chance of winning the NFC North. They are 2-0 in division games and 6-1 in conference play. Detroit has a +16.1 scoring margin and is 8-2 ATS as a favorite and 1-0 as an underdog. Their O/U record is 5-5-1, with their games averaging 49.4 points this season.

  • Detroit has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. This also includes going 3-0 ATS and an over-under mark of 3-0.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Lions -10.5 (Bet Now)

Bears vs. Lions Pick: Lions -10.5

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Lions to cover as 10.5-point favorites at home in this week 13 matchup against the Bears. Even though the Bears are the heavy underdogs at +10.5, we have the Lions winning by a score of 33-21.

For an over/under pick, we like taking the over, with a projected combined score of 54 points and the O/U line sitting at 48.5 points.

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