Bears vs Colts Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 3

The Bears and Colts will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 22nd at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The Colts are the slight favorite with a money line of -121 and are -1.5 point favorites on the point spread. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is currently at 43 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Colts vs Bears

• We have the Bears winning this one by a score of 24 to 19
• Not only do we have the Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 43 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Bears +1.5 | Colts -1.5
• Total: 43
• MoneyLine: Bears +100 | Colts -121

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Bears vs. Colts Prediction: MoneyLine

The Bears’ offense struggled in their 19-13 loss to the Texans, managing only 134 yards passing and 71 yards rushing on 22 attempts. Chicago’s offensive line allowed seven sacks in the game, and quarterback Caleb Williams threw for 174 yards while going 23/37 (62%) passing. He did not throw any touchdowns and finished with a passer rating of 50.

Chicago’s running game was led by Williams, who scrambled for 44 yards, including a 24-yard run. DJ Moore was the Bears’ leading receiver, with six catches for 53 yards. Overall, the Bears finished with just 15 first downs and went 3.6 yards per pass attempt.

The Colts’ offense struggled in their 16-10 loss to the Packers, as they turned the ball over three times and converted only 22.2% of their third down attempts. Despite averaging 7.8 yards per attempt, they only ran the ball 18 times for 140 yards. Quarterback Anthony Richardson threw for 198 yards on 34 attempts, completing 17 passes and finishing with a passer rating of 41. He threw one touchdown and was responsible for all three of the team’s interceptions.

Jonathan Taylor rushed for 103 yards, averaging 8.6 yards per attempt, with a long run of 29 yards. Alec Pierce led the team with 56 receiving yards and one touchdown. The Colts finished with 19 first downs and 383 total yards in the game.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction Bears +100 (Bet Now)

Bears vs. Colts Prediction: Total

In their 19-13 loss to the Texans, the Bears’ defense allowed 235 passing yards on 23 completions. Despite this, they did limit Houston to a 63.9% completion percentage and held them to a 28.6% third-down conversion rate. Chicago’s run defense allowed just 75 yards on 22 attempts, giving up only 3.4 yards per attempt.

Chicago’s defense also recorded three sacks in the game. However, they struggled in generating pressure, losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials to Houston.

In their 16-10 loss to the Packers, the Colts’ defense allowed just 122 passing yards on 12 completions. However, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 261 yards on 53 attempts. Green Bay finished with 383 total yards against Indianapolis. The Colts allowed one touchdown through the air and opposing quarterbacks completed 85.7% of their passes. Indianapolis also struggled on third downs, allowing the Packers to convert 58.8% of their third down attempts. The Colts’ defense didn’t record any sacks in this game.

• Free Total Prediction OVER 43 (Bet Now)

Bears vs. Colts Prediction: Spread

The Bears are now 1-1 after losing to the Texans 19-13 in their most recent game. Chicago fell behind early, as Houston scored a touchdown in the 2nd quarter to take a 10-3 lead, and then added another touchdown early in the 2nd quarter. Chicago managed to score just before halftime with a touchdown run by Khalil Herbert, making the score 16-10 in favor of the Texans.

Chicago’s Cairo Santos added a 54-yard field goal late in the 4th quarter, but the Texans also added a late touchdown to secure the win. The Bears were +6.5 point underdogs heading into the game, and with the 6-point loss, they covered the spread. The combined 32 points fell short of the over/under line of 45.5 points.

• Over their last three regular season games, the Bears have gone 1-2 straight up. They have held up well vs the spread in these matchups, going 2-1 as well as an over-under record of 0-3.
• When looking at their past five road matchups, Chicago has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.

Indianapolis is now 0-2 after their 16-10 loss to the Packers. Favored by -2.5, the Colts didn’t cover the spread. The 26 combined points were well short of the 41.5-point total line. The Colts fell behind early, as the Packers led 10-0 after the first quarter. Indianapolis managed to kick a field goal in the 3rd quarter, and a touchdown from Jonathan Taylor narrowed the gap to 13-10. However, the Packers answered with a touchdown early in the 4th quarter.

Indianapolis had a chance to pull off the comeback, as Anthony Richardson found Alec Pierce for a 4-yard touchdown with 1:53 remaining in the 4th. The Colts then added another touchdown with 20 seconds left, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the Packers’ late lead. The Colts’ offense struggled early, and their defense gave up a big touchdown late in the 4th quarter, allowing the Packers to take the lead for good.

• Through their last three regular season contests, Indianapolis has a record of 1-2. The team’s record vs the spread was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 2-1.
• Across the Colts last five home games, the team averaged 15 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.

• Free Spread Prediction Bears +1.5 (Bet Now)

Bears vs. Colts Pick: Bears Moneyline (+100)

With the line sitting at 43 points, our best bet is to take the over for this week three matchup between the Bears and Colts. We have the Bears coming out on top by a score of 26-20, making them a good pick to cover the spread as 1.5-point road underdogs.

For the over/under line, we are leaning towards taking the over with a projected combined score of 46 points.