Yankees vs Mariners Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 18th
At 9:40 PM ET, the Yankees and Mariners will square off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (+101). The money line odds have the Yankees at -120, and they are currently on a two-game winning streak.
New York comes in with a record of 88-63, while the Mariners are 77-74. Nestor Cortes will start for the Yankees, while the Mariners are sending Bryce Miller to the mound. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and RSNW is carrying the game on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Yankees -1.5 (+142) | Mariners 1.5 (-172)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Yankees -120 | Mariners +101
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Moneyline
New York cruised to an easy 11-2 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 2nd inning, scoring nine of their eleven runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -112 on the money line.
Luis Gil only went five innings for the Yankees but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Marcus Stroman came out of the bullpen for the save. Bryan Woo had a rough outing for the Mariners, taking the loss.
Juan Soto and Jasson Dominguez each homered for the Yankees, while Gleyber Torres went 3/4 with an RBI. Aaron Judge also had a two-hit game and drove in four runs.
The Yankees are 88-63 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. They hold a four-game lead over the Orioles for the top spot in the division. The Yankees have picked up two straight wins and closed out the series with the Orioles with a win. Their record vs. other AL East teams is 25-24 this year.
At home, the Yankees are 42-33 this season, and they have gone 46-30 on the road. As the road favorite, the Yankees are 29-25 this season, and they are 70-56 as the favorite overall. New York’s overall series record is 28-16-4, and they have won three straight series.
Seattle is 77-74 overall and trails the Astros by five games in the AL West. So far, they have gone 25-18 against other teams in the division. The Mariners are hosting the Yankees today, and they are 45-31 at home this year.
The Mariners are 21-27 as the underdog this year and 9-7 as the underdog at home. As for their overall record, they are 56-47 when favored. Seattle has an overall series record of 21-23-4, and they are currently losing their series vs. the Yankees.
Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Over/Under
The New York Yankees are on the road today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The Yankees have played 133 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 88.1% of their games this season. Their over/under record for the season is 80-66.
Not only are the Yankees the top home run hitting team in the league, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. This season, they are averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and have the 3rd best team slugging percentage in the league. As a team, the Yankees are batting .250, which is 7th in the league.
Both Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been swinging the bat well for the Yankees coming into the game. Judge has gone 10/28 in his last eight games, with two homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .323 with a league-leading 136 RBIs. Right behind him in the Yankees lineup is Juan Soto, who has 40 homers and 103 RBIs this season. However, he has struggled a bit of late, batting just .214 in his last eight games.
The Mariners have been playing in high-scoring games lately, as their combined run average is 7.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 71-71, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 20-22. Their over streak is at five games, and they have played in 54 games this season where the over/under line was set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 35.8% of their games.
Seattle’s offense comes into the game averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .222, which is the worst mark in the league, and they are also last in the league in strikeouts. However, they have been good at drawing walks and have the league’s 12th best on-base percentage.
Julio Rodriguez and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well of late, with Rodriguez going 13/36 in his last eight games and Raley going 9/25 with three homers in that stretch. Raley also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, Raley is 2nd on the team with 21 homers, and Rodriguez is 4th with 16 homers.
Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Spread
When betting the run line, the Yankees have been a strong play on the road this season, going 45-31. They have a run differential of +1.3 runs per game away from Yankee Stadium. They have been a profitable run line bet as an underdog, going 21-4, but have been a losing proposition as a favorite, going 57-69.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 9-10 with an ERA of 3.90. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.15, and he has turned in 12 quality starts. In his last outing, Cortes finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on three hits vs. the Red Sox. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Cortes has been much better at home this season, coming in with a 5-5 record and 3.73 ERA compared to 4-5 with a 5.15 ERA on the road.
Seattle has been a strong play on the run line this season, going 64-87 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 32-44. The Mariners have been a better play as the underdog, going 23-25. Their average run differential this season is +0.3 runs per game.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 11-8 with a 3.12 ERA. Overall, Miller has made 29 appearances and has a WHIP of .99. Opposing batters are hitting .203 this season off Miller. In his 29 starts, he has turned in 16 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Miller finished with a no-decision vs. the Rangers, going six innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. He has given up just one earned run in each of his last two outings.
Yankees vs. Mariners Pick: Mariners ML +101
Our pick for this Yankees vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +101. With this payout, we see this as a great value pick, as we have the Mariners winning this game by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryce Miller finishing with five strikeouts compared to Nestor Cortes, who we have finishing with six. However, we have Cortes going just three innings, which will limit his fantasy upside.
