Yankees vs Mariners Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 17th

The Yankees and Mariners are set to face off in an AL matchup at 9:40 PM ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Yankees are currently 1st in the AL East with a record of 87-63, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West at 77-73. New York is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -119 compared to the Mariners at +101.

Seattle will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak, but they are the underdog heading into Tuesday’s matchup. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and the game will be televised on YES. Luis Gil is starting for the Yankees, and he is facing off against Bryan Woo.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Mariners 1.5 (-176)
• Total: 7
• MoneyLine: Yankees -119 | Mariners +101

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Moneyline

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with three runs of their own. New York went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.

Carlos Rodon put together a good start for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. New York’s bullpen closed things out with 2 2/3 innings of scoreless baseball. Tommy Kahnle picked up the save.

The Yankees come into today’s road matchup vs. the Mariners with an overall record of 87-63, which has them leading the AL East by three games over the Orioles. New York is 25-24 in divisional games and are 3-1 in their last series, which came against the Red Sox.

So far, the Yankees have been a good team to bet on as the favorite, going 69-56, and they are 18-7 as the underdog. New York has been really good on the road this year, going 45-30 compared to 42-33 at home. The Yankees’ overall series record is 28-16-4, and they have won three straight series.

Mitch Garver had a big game at the plate in the Mariners’s 7-0 win over the Rangers to close out their series. Garver went 3/5 with three RBIs and a homer. The Mariners really broke things open with a three-run 1st inning and added another three runs in the 4th.

George Kirby started for the Mariners, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out three. Seattle’s offense was carried by Randy Arozarena, who went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

Seattle is 77-73 overall and is 4.0 games behind the Astros in the AL West. They have won three straight games, and this came after taking three of four from the Rangers. So far, they have gone 25-18 in divisional games.

At home, the Mariners are 45-30 this season compared to a 32-43 mark on the road. As the home underdog, the Mariners are 9-6 this season, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Seattle is 56-47 when favored this year, and they are 21-26 as the underdog.

Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Over/Under

Despite the New York Yankees’ combined run average of 9.1, the over/under line for their game against the Seattle Mariners is set at just 7 runs. The over/under record for the Yankees this season is 79-66, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. However, when the line has been set at 7 runs, the over has hit in both games, and only one game all season has had a lower line than 7 runs.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 1st in the league in runs scored. They are averaging 5 runs per game and have been even better on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249 and have the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto.

Judge is batting .321 for the season and has gone 6/20 with two homers over his last six games. He also comes into the game as the league’s top run producer, with 132 RBIs. Gleyber Torres has also homered twice in his last six games, going 7/26 in that stretch.

Seattle’s games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and the over/under record is 70-71. The Mariners have gone over the total in 64.0% of their games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7 runs, Seattle’s over/under record is 15-19-7. The over has hit in four straight games for the Mariners.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts per game. The Mariners are batting just .222 as a team and have an OPS of .681, which is 21st in the league. However, they do have four hitters with at least 20 homers, including Cal Raleigh, who leads the team with 30 homers and is 13th in the league with 93 RBIs.

Julio Rodriguez and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well for the Mariners, with Rodriguez batting .311 over his last 10 games and Raley hitting .353 in that stretch. Raley also has three homers in his last 10 games, as does Rodriguez. Randy Arozarena comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and is 2nd on the team with 20 homers.

Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Spread

When it comes to the run line, the Yankees have been a better bet on the road than at home this season, going 44-31 compared to 33-42. They’ve been a favorite in most games, going 56-69 against the run line, but they’ve been a strong bet as an underdog, going 21-4. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game, and they’ve been outscored by an average of 3.6 runs per game in their losses.

New York is sending right-hander Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made 26 starts this year and has a record of 13-6 with an ERA of 3.18. Gil’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. Out of his 26 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 10.35 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gil finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .177 off Gil this season.

Seattle is 64-86 against the run line this season, including a 32-43 mark at home. The Mariners have an average run differential of +0.4 runs per game, and their average run differential in wins is +3.6 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog and are 23-24 against the run line in that role this season.

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 8-2 with a 2.38 ERA. Woo’s WHIP for the season is .82, and opponents are batting .197 off him this year. In his last outing, Woo picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings vs. the Padres and giving up two earned runs. Looking back over his last four outings, he has allowed two earned runs in three of them. Woo has been especially tough at home, coming in with a record of 5-0 and a 1.61 ERA.

Yankees vs. Mariners Pick: Mariners ML +101

Our predicted final score for the Yankees and Mariners matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Mariners. With the Mariners being the underdogs, we really like their value on the money line at +101.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryan Woo finishing with five strikeouts compared to Luis Gil with six. However, Woo’s chances of picking up a win are slightly better than Gil’s.

Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with 8 hits compared to the Mariners with 8. However, we have the Yankees finishing with more home runs. But with the payout for a Yankees win being -119, we would recommend sticking with the Mariners on the money line.