Yankees vs Mariners Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 19th
Thursday’s matchup between the Yankees and Mariners is set to get started at 4:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA. The Yankees are currently on a three-game winning streak and are 89-63, while the Mariners have lost two straight and are 77-75. New York is first in the AL East, while the Mariners are second in the AL West.
New York comes into the game as the slight money line favorite, and the odds have them at -110 compared to the Mariners at -108. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on YES.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Yankees -1.5 (+154) | Mariners 1.5 (-187)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Yankees -110 | Mariners -108
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Moneyline
The most recent game o of this Yankees vs Mariners series came right down to the end, as the Yankees rallied late for a 2-1 win. New York scored one run in the 8th inning to tie the game and then scored the game-winning run in the 10th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -119 on the money line.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Bryce Miller, as he gave up just one run in six innings of work for the Mariners. Collin Snider took the loss. Nestor Cortes Jr. got the win for the Yankees out of the bullpen, as he went six innings and didn’t give up a run.
Offensively, the Yankees were led by Anthony Rizzo, who had two hits and scored both of New York’s runs. Justin Turner hit the game’s only home run for the Mariners, going 2/4.
The Yankees are on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the AL East by five games over the Orioles. So far, they have gone 25-24 in divisional games. New York’s overall record is 89-63, and they have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Yankees are 42-33 this year, and they have gone 47-30 on the road. As the road favorite, the Yankees have gone 30-25 this year, and they are 71-56 when favored overall. New York’s series record is 28-16-4, and they have won three straight series.
Seattle is five games behind the Astros in the AL West, and overall, they are 77-75 heading into today’s game vs. the Yankees. The Mariners have dropped two straight games, with both coming in this series vs. the Yankees. So far, they are 5-5 in their most recent 10 games.
At home, the Mariners are 45-32 this season compared to 32-43 on the road. Seattle has been the underdog in two straight games, and as the underdog overall, they are 21-28 this year. As for their record as the favorite, the Mariners are 56-47 this season.
Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Over/Under
The Yankees have had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 80-67, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Mariners is set at 7.5 runs. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-8. Overall, 87.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 7th in team batting average. The Yankees have been patient at the plate this season, leading the league in walks while also having the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the top two hitters for the Yankees this season, with Judge leading the team in batting average and on-base percentage, while also being the league’s top home run hitter. Soto is 2nd on the team in batting average and has 40 homers this season. However, Soto has hit just .214 over his last eight games, while Judge has gone 8/27 (.296) over that stretch.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-72. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 20-23. Overall, 54 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 35.5% of their games. On the other hand, 55 games have had lower over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 36.2% of their games.
Seattle’s offense comes into the game averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.7 runs per game. The Mariners are also the league’s worst team in terms of batting average and have the most strikeouts per game in the league.
Julio RodrÃguez and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well for the Mariners of late, with Rodriguez hitting .311 over his last 10 games and Raley batting .310 over that stretch. Raley has also gone deep three times in his last 10 games. Cal Raleigh has been a key power bat for Seattle, as his 30 homers are 12th in the league, and he is also 1st on the team with 93 RBIs.
Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction: Spread
The Yankees have been a solid run line team this season, going 78-74 overall. They have been better on the road, going 45-32, compared to 33-42 at home. As the favorite, they are just 57-70 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 21-4. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game, but that number jumps to +1.3 on the road.
New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with an ERA of 2.41. So far, Schmidt has made two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow an earned run. Against the Red Sox on September 13th, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, five hits, and one homer. Schmidt’s ERA on the road is 1.46, compared to 3.85 at home.
Seattle has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have a run line record of 65-87. They have been slightly better at home, going 33-44 against the run line, compared to 32-43 on the road. Their average run margin for the season is just +0.3 runs per game, but they have been better at home, with a +0.6 run differential.
Through 30 starts, Logan Gilbert has a record of 7-11 and an ERA of 3.24. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is .89. In his 30 appearances, he has turned in 22 quality starts and has a total of 198 strikeouts. Gilbert’s last outing came against the Rangers, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up four earned runs on six hits in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings. The right-hander has been much better at home this year, coming in with an ERA of 2.73 compared to 5.25 on the road.
Yankees vs. Mariners Pick: Mariners ML -108
Our prediction for the Yankees vs. Mariners game is to take the Mariners on the money line at -108. We have the Mariners winning this one by a final score of 6-5, which would put the over/under at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitcher, Logan Gilbert is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. As for Clarke Schmidt, his projected strikeout total is seven, which ranks fourth among all starters.
