Yankees vs Cubs Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 8th
At 2:20 PM ET, the Yankees and Cubs face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, and the Yankees are the favorites on the money line (-161). The Cubs’ money line odds are sitting at +137, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak.
New York has won two straight and is 82-60 overall, putting them first in the AL East. Chicago is 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 72-70. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees, while the Cubs are going with Jameson Taillon.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Yankees -1.5 (-103) | Cubs 1.5 (-119)
- Total: 9
- MoneyLine: Yankees -161 | Cubs +137
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: Moneyline
New York picked up a 2-0 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees offense only had four hits but still picked up a win thanks to a good outing from Clarke Schmidt, who went just 4 2/3 innings but didn’t give up a run. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -144 on the money line.
Javier Assad got the start for the Cubs and gave up just one run in 5 2/3 innings of work. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. Nestor Cortes got the win out of the bullpen for the Yankees.
Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Yankees got the game’s final run in the 6th. As for the Cubs, they had their best chance to score in the 7th but left the bases loaded.
The Yankees are 82-60 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. They hold a half-game lead over the Orioles for the top spot in the division. New York has won two straight games, and they are closing out the series vs. the Cubs today. So far, they are 25-16-4 in series this year.
At home, the Yankees are 37-31 this year, and they have gone 45-29 on the road. As the road favorite, the Yankees are 28-24 this year, and they are 64-53 when favored overall. New York’s two-game road winning streak has come as the favorite. Their overall record is 18-7 as the underdog this year.
With a record of 72-70, the Cubs are 3rd in the NL Central, and they trail the Brewers by 10 games for the division lead. The Cubs have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Yankees 0-2. So far, they have gone just 21-28 in divisional games.
Chicago has been playing well lately, as they are 6-4 across their last 10 games. At home, the Cubs are 37-33 this season and 35-37 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs are 34-37 this season, and they are 38-33 when favored. The Cubs have won three straight series on the road.
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: Over/Under
The Yankees are on the road against the Cubs today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.3, and their over/under record is 78-60. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 11-15-2. Overall, 21 of their games have had over/under lines set above 9 runs, which accounts for 14.8% of their games this season. Their under streak is currently at 2 games.
So far, the Yankees have been the league’s best home run hitting team, and they are also 1st in the league in team OPS and 2nd in team slugging percentage. Overall, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. The Yankees have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.
Both Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been big run producers for the Yankees this season, with Judge leading the league with 125 RBIs and Soto’s 98 RBIs being 6th best. Judge also has the top batting average in the league at .321 and is 1st in home runs (51). Giancarlo Stanton has two homers in his last eight games but is batting just .185 over that stretch.
The Chicago Cubs are at home today against the New York Yankees, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Cubs have played to an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-72. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 6-12-3. Overall, the Cubs have played to an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season, and 72.5% of their games have had lower lines than today’s 9-run total. The under has hit in their last two games.
So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Cubs are batting .239, which is 15th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .315 is 11th in the MLB. Chicago comes into the game with the 16th best slugging percentage in the league and have the 17th most home runs in the league.
Over his last seven games, Dansby Swanson has gone 11/27 for the Cubs with two homers and six RBIs. Heading into today’s game, Cody Bellinger is on a five-game hitting streak. Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki are the Cubs’ top power threats, with Happ leading the team with 23 homers and Suzuki right behind him at 19. Happ also leads the team with 81 RBIs.
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: Spread
When the Yankees are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 44-30. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 21-4. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
New York is sending Gerrit Cole to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 6-3 and an ERA of 3.65. So far, Cole has made 13 starts and five of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Cole has given up a combined three earned runs. The right-hander has been pitching well lately, as he has only given up more than two earned runs once in his last seven starts.
When betting the run line on the Cubs, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. They are 43-29 against the run line on the road, compared to just 26-44 at home. They have been favored in 71 games this season, but have covered the run line in just 23 of those games. They are 46-25 against the run line as the underdog this season.
Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today and will be facing his former team, the Yankees. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 9-8 with a 3.66 ERA. Taillon’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and not giving up a run to the Pirates. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Taillon has allowed four earned runs in each of his last two starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.86 strikeouts and just 1.73 walks.
Yankees vs. Cubs Pick: Cubs ML +137
With the Cubs at +137 on the money line, we see a lot of value in taking them to pick up a win over the Yankees. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Cubs, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Gerrit Cole is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for Jameson Taillon, he is predicted to finish with five K’s, which has him 17th.