Yankees vs Cubs Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 7th
At 2:20 PM ET, the Yankees and Cubs square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, and the forecast calls for temperatures in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies.
New York is 81-60 and they are 2nd in the AL East, while the Cubs are 72-69 and are 2nd in the NL Central. Javier Assad will start for the Cubs, and the Yankees are starting Clarke Schmidt. New York is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7 runs.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Yankees -1.5 (+121) | Cubs 1.5 (-148)
- Total: 7
- MoneyLine: Yankees -143 | Cubs +122
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: Moneyline
New York picked up a 3-0 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a three-run 3rd inning and didn’t score another run after that. As for the Cubs, they only had one hit and didn’t score a run in the game. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -122 on the money line.
Luis Gil started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Jordan Wicks got the start for the Cubs and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.
Austin Wells was the only Yankees hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/3 with two RBIs. DJ LeMahieu also had a two-hit game for New York. On the other side, Kris Bryant went 0/3 with three strikeouts for the Cubs.
With an overall record of 81-60, the Yankees are just a half-game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is 22-23 against other AL East teams this year and have dropped three straight series. Their series record is 25-16-4 this year.
At home, the Yankees are 37-31 and have been really good on the road, going 44-29. As the favorite, the Yankees are 63-53 this year and 18-7 as the underdog. New York has dropped three straight series.
The Cubs are 72-69 overall, putting them nine games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. Chicago dropped the first game of this series vs. the Yankees and is 21-28 in divisional games this year. So far, they have gone 37-32 at home compared to 35-37 on the road.
As the home underdog, the Cubs have gone 13-9 this year, and they are 38-33 as the favorite. Chicago has dropped two straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 20-22-3. Heading into today’s game, the Cubs have won three straight series on the road.
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: Over/Under
Today’s over/under line is set at 7 runs for the New York Yankees’ road game against the Chicago Cubs. The Yankees have had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 78-59, and the average over/under line for their games this season has been 9 runs. When the line has been set at 7 runs, the over has hit in both games. Overall, 97.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the MLB, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. New York also has the league’s best on-base percentage and OPS. So far, they have done a great job of avoiding strikeouts, and they are also the top-walks team in the league.
Center fielder Aaron Judge has been the league’s top power hitter this season, with 51 home runs and 125 RBIs. He is also hitting .323 for the season. Right fielder Juan Soto is 2nd on the team with 38 homers and is batting .295. DJ LeMahieu and Gleyber Torres come into the game on a 5 and 7 game hitting streak, respectively.
The Chicago Cubs have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-71. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 4-5-1. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and 91.5% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7-run line. They have had just two games with lower lines than 7 runs, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and have the 18th most home runs in the league.
Over his last nine games, Dansby Swanson has been hot for the Cubs, going 13/34 with three homers and 11 RBIs. Looking at the season as a whole, Ian Happ is the team’s top power threat, with 23 homers and 81 RBIs. Seiya Suzuki is also having a strong season, as he is batting .275 with 19 homers.
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: Spread
The Yankees have been a solid run line bet overall this season, with a record of 74-67. They have been particularly good on the road, going 43-30 against the run line, compared to 31-37 at home. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 21-4, compared to 53-63 as the favorite.
New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today as he faces the Cubs on the road. Schmidt has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 to go along with a 2.52 ERA. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.94 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Schmidt took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Schmidt’s ERA on the road is 1.71 compared to 3.98 at home.
When betting the run line on the Chicago Cubs, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 46-24 against the run line in those situations. Their overall run line record is just below .500, and they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 43-29 against the run line. They are just 26-43 against the run line at home.
Right-hander Javier Assad gets the start for the Cubs today and comes in with a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.21. Looking at his overall numbers, Assad has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .244 this season. In his 25 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.57 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Assad picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that outing, he had given up three earned runs in three straight starts.
Yankees vs. Cubs Pick: Cubs ML +122
With the Cubs being the underdogs at +122, that is the way we recommend playing this one. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Cubs, and with the payout sitting at +122, there is a lot of value in taking the Cubs on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Javier Assad is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, and he is a good option if you are looking to place a strikeout prop bet. As for Clarke Schmidt, we have him finishing with seven K’s, and he is predicted to go three innings.