Yankees vs Cubs Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 6th
From Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have the Cubs and Yankees facing off in an interleague matchup. The money line odds have the Yankees as the favorites, with their line sitting at -144 compared to the Cubs at +122. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 7 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 2:20 PM ET, and MARQ will be televising it. Luis Gil is starting for the Yankees, and the Cubs are going with Jordan Wicks. The Yankees are 80-60, while the Cubs are 72-68, and the money line odds are from Bovada.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Yankees -1.5 (+116) | Cubs 1.5 (-141)
- Total: 7
- MoneyLine: Yankees -144 | Cubs +122
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: Moneyline
New York closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a 10-6 loss on the road. This was especially tough, as the Yankees held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rangers scored four runs in the bottom of the 9th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were the slight favorite at -113 on the money line.
Marcus Stroman had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on nine hits and issuing three walks. The Yankees also wasted a big game from Juan Soto, who went 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
The Yankees come into today’s road matchup vs. the Cubs having dropped two straight games, and they trail the Orioles by just a half-game in the AL East. So far, the Yankees are 22-23 in AL East matchups. New York is 80-60 overall and has gone 37-31 at home compared to 43-29 on the road.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 62-53 this season and 18-7 as the underdog. New York lost the series finale vs. the Rangers and are 4-6 across their last 10 games. The Yankees’ overall series record is 25-16-4, but they have dropped three straight series.
Dansby Swanson had a big game at the plate in the Cubs’s 12-0 win over the Pirates to close out their series. Swanson went 3/5 with three RBIs and a homer. The Cubs really broke things open with a seven-run 2nd inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Cubs were at -213 at home.
Shota Imanaga started for the Cubs, going seven innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out seven Pirates batters. Chicago’s offense was carried by Pete Crow-Armstrong, who went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Chicago is nine games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and are 72-68 overall. The Cubs are 21-28 against other teams in the NL Central. Chicago will host the Yankees today with an overall home record of 37-31.
The Cubs have won three straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 20-22-3 this year. As the home underdog, the Cubs have gone 13-8 this year, and they are 34-35 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Cubs are 38-33 this year.
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: Over/Under
Today, the New York Yankees are on the road against the Chicago Cubs. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than the Yankees’ season average of 9.4 runs per game. The over/under record for the Yankees this season is 78-58, and their current over streak is at six games.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also 2nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees have the league’s best OPS and are 2nd in both on-base percentage and slugging. The team’s top two hitters this season have been Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, who are 1st and 2nd in home runs for the Yankees, respectively.
Over his last eight games, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has gone 13/30, but he has just one home run during that stretch. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the Yankees’ top home run hitters, and they are also the league’s top two leaders in RBIs. Judge is batting .323 for the season, and Soto comes in at .295.
With an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game, the Chicago Cubs have seen their games go over the set total in 65 of their 135 games this season. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, they have gone over the total in 4 games, under in 5, and pushed in 1. Overall, 91.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s total of 7 runs.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Cubs are batting .241, which is 14th in the league, and they are also 16th in home runs. Chicago is one of the better teams in terms of drawing walks and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the league.
Ian Happ and Isaac Paredes come into the game with 19 homers apiece, which is the top mark on the team. Happ has also been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .419 over his last 10 games. Nico Hoerner and Seiya Suzuki are also having solid seasons at the plate, with Hoerner batting .261 and Suzuki at .277.
Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: Spread
The Yankees have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 73-67 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 42-30 against the run line. They have been a much better bet as an underdog, going 21-4 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.2, while it drops to -3.6 in losses.
New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 3.39. So far, he has made 24 starts, nine of which were quality starts. In his last outing, Gil finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .179 off Gil this season, and his strikeout per nine innings figure is 10.4. This year, he has allowed a total of 12 home runs. Gil’s ERA at home is 6.18 compared to 4.11 on the road.
When betting on the Cubs this season, you’ve been better off taking them on the run line when they’re on the road. They’re 43-29 against the run line away from Wrigley Field, compared to just 26-42 at home. They’re also 46-23 against the run line as the underdog, compared to 23-48 as the favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.8, while it’s -3.2 in losses.
Jordan Wicks is coming off a strong outing for the Cubs, as he picked up the win in his last start. Against the Nationals on September 1st, he went five innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Wicks has made seven starts and one of them was a quality start. His record for the season is 2-2, and he has an ERA of 3.82. For the year, Wicks has a WHIP of 1.36 and is averaging 8.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Wicks has been better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.29 compared to 4.43 on the road.
Yankees vs. Cubs Pick: Cubs ML +122
Our predicted final score for this Yankees vs. Cubs matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Cubs. Given that the Cubs are the underdogs in this one, we really like them at +122 on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jordan Wicks finishing with seven strikeouts for the Cubs and Luis Gil with six for the Yankees. However, we have Wicks finishing with a better ERA than Gil, and he is also a better pick to get the win.
