White Sox vs Padres Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 20th
San Diego is the heavy favorite heading into Friday’s matchup vs. the White Sox, with their money line odds sitting at -243 compared to the White Sox at +202. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the forecast calls for 70-degree temperatures with scattered clouds.
Joe Musgrove is starting for the Padres, while the White Sox are going with Garrett Crochet. The White Sox are 36-117 this season, putting them in 5th in the AL Central, while the Padres are 2nd in the NL West. NBCS will be televising this interleague matchup.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: White Sox 1.5 (-112) | Padres -1.5 (-107)
- Total: 7
- MoneyLine: White Sox +202 | Padres -243
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
White Sox vs. Padres Prediction: Moneyline
The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Angels with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the bottom of the 9th before the Angels scored a run to pick up the win. Chicago was the +123 underdog on the road going into the game.
Jared Shuster put together a good start for the White Sox, going three innings and not giving up a run. However, Chicago’s offense could only score three runs, and all of them came in the 4th inning. Andrew Vaughn hit a homer for the White Sox but went just 1/5.
Chicago is 36-117 overall, putting them 5th in the AL Central, 52.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-41 this year. The White Sox have dropped two straight games, and they lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Angels.
At home, the White Sox are just 20-58 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road, coming in with a record of 16-59. As the underdog, Chicago is 31-114 this year and 5-3 as the favorite. The White Sox’ overall series record is 7-41-2 this year.
Manny Machado had a big game for the Padres in their most recent outing, going 2/4 with two homers and two RBIs. The Padres really broke out the bats in their json vs. the Astros, picking up a 4-0 win. San Diego was the slight favorite at -110 on the money line going into the game.
Dylan Cease started for the Padres, going 8 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out five Astros batters. The Padres’ bullpen closed things out, and Tanner Scott picked up the save.
With an overall record of 87-66, the Padres are four games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. San Diego will host the White Sox today, and they are 24-22 against other teams in the NL West. The Padres have won two straight series and closed out their series vs. the Astros with a win.
At home, the Padres are 42-36 this season and have been really good on the road at 45-30. As the favorite, the Padres are 57-42 this season and 35-28 when favored at home. San Diego’s overall series record is 30-15-6 this season.
White Sox vs. Padres Prediction: Over/Under
The Chicago White Sox are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The O/U line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for White Sox games this season is 8.2 runs. Their O/U record for the season is 65-80. When the O/U line is set at 7 runs, their record is 5-5-2. The average O/U line for their games this season is set at 8 runs. So far this season, 90.2% of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 7 runs. They have had just 3 games with O/U lines set lower than 7 runs. Their current O/U streak is 2 games to the under.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are last in the league in runs per game at just 3.1. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the worst team batting average in the league at .222. However, Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are tied for the team lead in homers, and Vaughn is the team’s leading hitter with 67 RBIs and a batting average of .247.
Benintendi has been hot of late, going 8/25 in his last six games with three homers and seven RBIs. Lenyn Sosa is also swinging a hot bat, going 9/23 in his last six games. Heading into today’s game, MartÃn Maldonado and Andrew Vaughn are both on five-game hitting streaks.
San Diego Padres games have had an average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 80-70. The over/under line for today’s game against the Chicago White Sox is set at 7 runs. The Padres have played 136 games with over/under lines higher than 7 runs, which is 88.9% of their games this season. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 11-3-2, and their games have gone under the total in their last four contests.
San Diego has the league’s best team batting average at .265 and also have the fewest strikeouts in the league. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, coming in 9th in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, with Machado’s 29 homers leading the team and Merrill’s 24 homers coming in at 2nd. Machado also leads the team in RBIs with 104, which is 8th in the MLB. Over his last seven games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone 10/28 with four homers and six RBIs.
White Sox vs. Padres Prediction: Spread
When it comes to the run line, the White Sox have been a team to avoid this season, as they are just 62-91 overall. They have been a little better at home, going 31-47, but on the road, they are just 31-44. The White Sox have been an underdog in most games this season, going 57-88 against the run line. They have been outscored by an average of 2.0 runs per game this season, with an average run differential of -2.3 on the road.
White Sox starter Garrett Crochet is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Athletics, where he took the loss. In that start, he went 4 innings and gave up 1 earned run. Looking at his last three outings, Crochet has taken the loss in each one. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 6-12 with a 3.78 ERA. Opponents are batting .218 off Crochet this season, and his WHIP is 1.09. Crochet has turned in 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 12.72 strikeouts per nine innings.
San Diego is a team that has been a good bet on the run line this season, going 78-75 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 47-28. However, they have not been a good bet at home, going just 31-47 on the run line. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game, and they have been a better bet on the run line when they are the underdog, going 37-17.
Joe Musgrove will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that outing vs. the Giants, he went six innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has made 17 starts, and his ERA is 4.22. For the season, he is 6-5 and has a WHIP of 1.23. Musgrove has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 8.86 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has given up 13 homers. At home, Musgrove’s ERA is 5.0 compared to 5.16 on the road.
White Sox vs. Padres Pick: Over 7 Runs -112
Our prediction for the White Sox vs. Padres matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Padres, giving us some wiggle room if you want to take the Padres on the money line.
If you are looking for a starting pitcher to pick up a win, Joe Musgrove is a good option. We have Musgrove finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today.
Looking at the White Sox starter, Garrett Crochet, we have him finishing with six strikeouts and giving up four earned runs. If you are looking for a White Sox player to hit a home run, they are projected to finish with the 21st most in the league today.
