White Sox vs Orioles Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 4th
The Orioles are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as their odds are sitting at -343 compared to the White Sox, who are +275. This AL matchup is set for 6:35 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are 81-59, while the White Sox are 31-109, which has them in 5th place in the AL Central.
Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against a White Sox team that has lost 12 straight games. Chicago is starting Jonathan Cannon. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and MASN is carrying this game on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: White Sox 1.5 (+129) | Orioles -1.5 (-155)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: White Sox +275 | Orioles -343
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
White Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Moneyline
Baltimore cruised to an easy 9-0 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the White Sox, they had their best chance to score in the 5th, but left the bases loaded.
Cade Povich started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going 7 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Nick Nastrini got the start for the White Sox and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work.
Anthony Santander and Eloy Jimenez each had two hits and two RBIs for the Orioles’ offense. Jacob Amaya was the only White Sox hitter to have more than one hit.
With a record of 31-109, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central, 49.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. This season, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-38. The White Sox have dropped 12 straight games, and they are 2nd in the majors in losses.
Chicago has really struggled on the road this season, going 13-55 compared to 18-54 at home. The team has really struggled as the underdog this season, going 26-106, and they have dropped 17 straight series.
Baltimore is 81-59 overall and leads the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. The Orioles have won three straight games, and they are 28-15 against other teams in the AL East. Baltimore has taken the first two games of this series vs. the White Sox.
As the home team, the Orioles are 41-30 this year and 40-29 on the road. Baltimore has been favored in 110 of their games, going 66-44 in those games. As for their time as the underdog, the Orioles are 15-15. At home, they are 37-27 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 24-13-7 this year.
White Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Over/Under
The Chicago White Sox are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The White Sox and their opponents have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 60-72. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 16-21. In 33 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 23.6% of their games.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are last in home runs and are averaging just 3 runs per game. This is the worst mark in the league and they have been just as bad at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting just .219, which is 21st in the league, and their on-base percentage of .277 is also the worst in the MLB.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are tied for the team lead with 15 home runs, but Vaughn is batting just .236 for the season, and Benintendi is even worse at .218. However, Benintendi has been hot of late, going 10/31 in his last 10 games with two homers. Martín Maldonado and Paul DeJong are both on five-game hitting streaks.
The Baltimore Orioles have played in 44 games this season where the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs. In those games, the over has hit 23 times and the under has hit 18 times. Overall, the Orioles have a 75-54 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game.
As a team, the Orioles are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Baltimore’s offense has been one of the best power-hitting teams in the league this season, as they are 2nd in home runs and have the league’s top isolated power figure. Overall, they are batting .252, which is 8th in the league.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been swinging the bat well of late, with Santander hitting .400 over his last five games and Henderson going 5/20 in this stretch. Santander comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .242, but his 39 homers are 3rd in the league. Henderson is batting .277 for the season with 34 homers.
White Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Spread
Chicago has been a run line loser this season, going 56-84. They are 27-41 on the road and have failed to cover in their last two games. The White Sox have been favored in eight games and have covered in five of them.
Jonathan Cannon gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. This year, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 2-9. Cannon’s ERA is 4.70, and he has a WHIP of 1.41. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.21 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Cannon gave up four earned runs in five innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had given up five earned runs in three straight starts. Cannon has taken the loss in each of his last four outings.
The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 77-63. They have been even better on the road, going 42-27, compared to 35-36 at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.8 runs per game. They have been a run line favorite in 110 games, going 56-54, and a run line underdog in 30 games, going 21-9. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8 runs per game, while it is -3.4 runs per game in losing games.
Through 19 starts, Albert Suárez has a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.14 for the Orioles. He has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 7.02 strikeouts per nine innings. Suárez’s most recent outing came against the Rockies, where he picked up the win after going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had gone six innings without giving up a run in back-to-back outings. Suárez has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.25 ERA compared to 4.88 on the road.
White Sox vs. Orioles Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -105
The best way to play the money line in this White Sox vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Orioles, giving us plenty of cushion on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Albert Suarez is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Jonathan Cannon, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which ranks 18th.
Offensively, the Orioles are actually projected to finish with the second-most home runs in the league today. As for the White Sox, they are projected to finish with the third-fewest runs and are the worst in terms of home runs.
At the plate, the Orioles are projected to finish with 11 strikeouts compared to the White Sox at nine.
