White Sox vs Orioles Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 2nd
At 3:05 PM ET, the White Sox and Orioles square off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -378. The White Sox, on the other hand, have a money line payout of +302, and they are 5th in the AL Central with a record of 31-107.
Chicago will be looking to snap a 10-game losing streak, and they are starting Chris Flexen. Baltimore is 79-59 overall and they have Corbin Burnes on the mound Monday. NBCS will be televising this one.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: White Sox 1.5 (+136) | Orioles -1.5 (-163)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: White Sox +302 | Orioles -378
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
White Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Moneyline
The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 2-0 loss. Chicago was the +152 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the White Sox, as Garrett Crochet struck out the side in the 1st inning but ran into trouble in the 4th, giving up a run. Chicago’s offense didn’t score a run, and the White Sox’s only had two hits.
Garrett Crochet got the start for the White Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run and issued three walks. Chicago’s offense also wasted a good performance from Crochet, as they didnjson’t score a run. The White Sox’s only had two hits, both of which were singles.
Chicago is on the road today to take on the Orioles, and they are looking to snap a ten-game losing streak, which is the longest active streak in the majors. The White Sox are 31-107 overall, and they trail the Guardians by 47.5 games in the AL Central. This season, they are just 8-38 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the White Sox are just 18-54 this season, and they have gone 13-53 on the road. So far, they are 5-3 as the favorite and 26-104 as the underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 6-37-2, and they have dropped 17 straight series.
The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 6-1 win. After allowing one run to the Rockies in the bottom of the first, the Orioles responded with a run of their own and added another four runs in the 4th inning. Baltimore went on to close things out with a 6-1 win.
Zach Eflin put together a good start for the Orioles, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Baltimore’s offense was carried by James McCann, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Baltimore is 79-59 overall and is just a half-game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. They have gone 28-15 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East and hold a nine-game lead over the Red Sox. They closed the gap on the Yankees by taking two of three from the Rockies in their most recent series.
At home, the Orioles are 39-30 this year, and they have gone 40-29 on the road. So far, they have been a good favorite, putting up a record of 64-44. As the home favorite, the Orioles are 35-27 this year. Baltimore’s overall series record is 24-13-7, and they are starting a new series today vs. the White Sox.
White Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Over/Under
Chicago’s games have gone under the total in six straight, and the White Sox have a 59-72 over/under record for the season. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 16 of 37 games. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.
Chicago is hoping that Andrew Benintendi’s recent hot streak at the plate can help get their offense going. Over his last five games, Benintendi is hitting .438 with one home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .219, but his 15 homers are tied for the team lead. Luis Robert Jr. is also near the top of the White Sox home run leaderboard, as he has 14 homers but is also batting just .219.
As a team, the White Sox are dead last in home runs and are also the worst scoring team in the league, averaging just 3 runs per game. They also have the league’s worst on-base percentage and OPS.
The Orioles have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.3. Their over/under record is 74-54, and the average over/under line for their games is 8. The over/under line for today’s game against the White Sox is set at 8.5 runs, and when the line is set at that number, their record is 23-18. Overall, 43 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 31.2% of their games this season.
Anthony Santander has been on a nice run for the Orioles, as he has gone 10/38 in his last 10 games, including two home runs. For the season, he is batting just .239, but his 39 homers are 3rd in the league and the most on the team. Gunnar Henderson has been more consistent at the plate, hitting .276 for the season, and he is 2nd on the team with 33 homers.
Baltimore’s offense is 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 2nd most powerful lineup and are also the top team in terms of isolated power. As a team, the Orioles are batting .251, which is 9th in the MLB.
White Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Spread
Chicago is 56-82 against the run line this season, including a 27-39 mark on the road. The White Sox have been favored in just eight games, going 5-3 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in losses is -3.7 runs per game.
Chris Flexen is looking to bounce back from a rough outing out of the bullpen, as he gets the start for the White Sox today. Against the Rangers on August 27th, he took the loss after giving up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Flexen has a record of 2-13 and an ERA of 5.29. Out of his 25 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Flexen has allowed 19 home runs. Per nine innings, he is giving up 3.68 walks on the road and 4.81 at home.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run differential of +3.6 runs per game. That’s why they are 75-63 against the run line this season. However, they are just 33-36 at home, where their average run differential is +0.4 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 21-9 against the run line, while as the favorite, they are 54-54.
Corbin Burnes will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers, as he gets the start for the Orioles today. In that August 28th start, he took the loss and gave up six runs (one earned) in five innings of work. Burnes has taken the loss in each of his last three outings and has given up at least five earned runs in each of those starts. His record for the season is 12-7, and he has an ERA of 3.23. Opponents are batting .214 off Burnes this season, and his WHIP is 1.13.
White Sox vs. Orioles Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -104
One bet we like for today’s White Sox vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Orioles, giving us plenty of cushion to take the over.
Looking at some potential player props, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which has him as the eighth highest among today’s starters. As for Chris Flexen, his projection is at four K’s, which is the lowest among today’s starters.
