Twins vs Royals Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 7th

From Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, we have an AL Central matchup between the Twins and Royals. The forecast for Saturday calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Minnesota is 76-65, while the Royals are 77-65.

The money line odds have the Twins at -141 compared to the Royals at +120, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. FOX will be televising this one, and the first pitch is set for 7:15 PM ET. Saturday’s starting pitching matchup is Bailey Ober for the Twins and Alec Marsh for the Royals.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Twins -1.5 (+121) | Royals 1.5 (-146)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Twins -141 | Royals +120

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Twins vs. Royals Prediction: Moneyline

Thanks to a six-inning, four-hit performance from Cole Ragans, the Royals cruised to a 5-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -141 on the money line.

Ragans finished the game with seven strikeouts and didn’t give up a run or a home run. He issued just one walk and got plenty of run support, as the Royals offense scored five of their eight runs in the 5th and 6th innings.

Michael Massey went 3/3 with a home run and an RBI, while Hunter Renfroe also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. Tommy Pham scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4.

Minnesota is 76-65 overall this season, and they are five games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 28-18 in divisional games. The Twins are currently 3rd in the AL Central.

At home, the Twins have gone 39-30 this season, and they are just above .500 at 37-35 on the road. This year, they have been really good as the favorite, going 60-37. As the road favorite, the Twins are 28-14 this year. Minnesota’s overall series record is 24-16-4, but they are currently down 0-1 in this series vs. the Royals.

Kansas City is 77-65 overall and 4.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Royals have gone 31-16 in divisional games this year and have won two straight games overall. Kansas City took the series opener vs. the Twins and will look to pick up another win today.

The Royals have an overall series record of 20-22-2 this year, and they have dropped two straight series. At home, the Royals have been the underdog in 27 games, and they are 14-13 in those games. Kansas City’s overall record as the underdog is 32-39, and they are 45-26 as the favorite.

Twins vs. Royals Prediction: Over/Under

Minnesota is on the road against the Royals today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-65. Their average over/under line for the season is also 8 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 12-17-4. Overall, 39.0% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 37.6% have had lower lines.

Over his last 10 games, Carlos Santana has gone 7/32 with two home runs and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .236 with a team-high 20 home runs and 60 RBIs. Ryan Jeffers is also tied for the team lead with 20 homers and is 2nd on the team with 59 RBIs. He is batting just .237 for the season. Byron Buxton is 2nd on the team with 16 homers and is batting .275 for the season.

As a team, the Twins are 11th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They are also a top 10 home run hitting team and have the 8th best team batting average in the league. Currently, the Twins have three players with at least 20 homers.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right around the average for Kansas City Royals games this season, as their games have averaged 8.9 runs per contest. The Royals have played 88 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 62.0% of their games this season. Their over/under record for the season is 64-73, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they are 14-12-3.

For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and they are also one of the best teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts.

Over his last seven games, Bobby Witt Jr. is batting just .192, but he does have two home runs in that span. For the season, he is hitting .337 with 30 homers and 97 RBIs. Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino are also near the top of the league in RBIs, with 94 and 97, respectively. Perez is batting .271, and Pasquantino is hitting .262.

Twins vs. Royals Prediction: Spread

Minnesota has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 66-75 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 37-35 against the run line, compared to 29-40 at home. The Twins have been a favorite in most games this season, going 43-54 against the run line, compared to 23-21 as an underdog. Their average run margin this season is +0.3 runs per game.

Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.95. Opposing batters are hitting .207 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.02. Ober’s last outing came on September 1st vs. the Blue Jays, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went six innings and gave up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings. Ober has one complete game and 16 quality starts this season.

Kansas City has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 78-64 overall. They are 41-32 at home and 37-32 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 37-34 as the favorite this season. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while it drops to -3.4 in losses.

The Royals are starting right-hander Alec Marsh vs. the Twins today. Marsh has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 7-8 with a 4.70 ERA. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.11 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Marsh took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Astros. Before that, he had gone 4 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run. Marsh has made 11 starts at home, going 4-3 with a 4.73 ERA.

Twins vs. Royals Pick: Royals ML +120

Our pick for today’s Twins vs. Royals game is to take the Royals on the money line at +120. We actually have the Royals winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the payout at +120, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Alec Marsh is projected to go seven innings, while Bailey Ober is projected to go six. However, we have Marsh finishing with more strikeouts than Ober, with Marsh finishing with five and Ober with five.