Twins vs Rays Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 4th
Minnesota comes into this one with a record of 75-63 and they are 2nd in the AL Central, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East with an overall record of 68-70. Cole Sulser is starting for the Rays, and he is facing off against Ronny Henriquez for the Twins.
The money line odds have the Twins at -115 compared to the Rays at -105, and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs. BSSUN is carrying this game on TV. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 6:50 PM ET.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Twins -1.5 (+143) | Rays 1.5 (-176)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Twins -115 | Rays -105
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Twins vs. Rays Prediction: Moneyline
Tampa Bay picked up a 2-1 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a good chance to win by more than one run, as they only scored one run in the first inning and the Twins could only muster one run in the 4th inning. Heading into the game, the Rays were favored at -112 on the money line.
Jeffrey Springs started for the Rays and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Twins, David Festa got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.
Carlos Santana was the only player in the Twins lineup to have more than one hit, as he went 2/3 with a home run. Tampa Bay’s two runs came on six hits, and they struck out 12 times as a team.
With a record of 75-63, the Twins are 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 28-17 in divisional games. The Twins will be on the road today, facing the Rays, and they are 39-30 at home and 36-33 on the road.
Minnesota has been good as the favorite this year, going 59-36 and 27-13 as the favorite on the road. They have dropped two straight games as the favorite. The Twins have an overall series record of 25-16-3 this year and are currently 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Tampa Bay is 68-70 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East, 12 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they are 17-23 against other teams in the AL East. The Rays will be at home today, where they are 36-37 compared to 32-33 on the road.
The Rays have dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games overall. So far, they have been the underdog in 73 of their games, and they are 33-40 in those games. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 35-30 this year, and their overall series record is 21-18-5.
Twins vs. Rays Prediction: Over/Under
The Minnesota Twins have an over/under record of 70-64 this season, with an average combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-21. So far this season, 60.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 8.5 runs.
Willi Castro has been a solid run producer for the Twins this season, as his 52 RBIs are 3rd on the team, and he is also 6th on the team with 11 home runs. Castro is batting .251 for the season and comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana have been the Twins’ top power threats, with Jeffers leading the team with 20 homers and Santana right behind him at 19. Jeffers also has a team-high 59 RBIs.
Minnesota’s offense has been very good this season, as they are 7th in the league in runs scored and have the 6th best OPS in the league. As a team, they are batting .251 and have the 6th best isolated power figure in the league. The Twins are also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts.
When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Rays’ games have had an average combined run total of 8.2 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Tampa Bay is 62-69, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Rays’ record is 17-16. So far this season, 12 of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 8.7% of their games.
For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .230, and their team on-base percentage of .306 is 15th in the league. Tampa Bay’s team slugging percentage of .368 is also one of the worst marks in the league.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ top offensive player this season, leading the team with 59 RBIs and batting .274. He also has 12 homers, which is the 4th best mark in the lineup. Over his last seven games, he has gone 8/26 with two homers. Jonny DeLuca and Josh Lowe have also been swinging the bat well of late, with DeLuca batting .367 over his last nine games and Lowe at .361 over his last 10 games.
Twins vs. Rays Prediction: Spread
When it comes to run line betting, the Twins have been a solid play this season, going 66-72 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 37-32 against the run line. Their average run differential on the road is +0.2 runs per game, compared to +0.5 runs per game at home. They have been a better play as the underdog, going 23-20 against the run line, compared to 43-52 as the favorite.
Ronny Henriquez is getting the start for the Twins today and has made nine appearances out of the bullpen this season. He currently has a record of 1-0 and an ERA of 2.46. Opponents have a batting average of .227 off Henriquez this season. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.18 and has allowed just one home run this year. Henriquez’s last outing came on September 2nd, where he went one inning out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Henriquez has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four appearances.
When the Tampa Bay Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.7 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.5 runs per game. This has led to an overall run line record of 69-69 on the season, with a run line record of 45-28 as the underdog. Their overall run line record at home is 32-41, while their run line record on the road is 37-28.
Cole Sulser has made six appearances this season and has yet to make a start. His most recent outing came on September 1st against the Padres, where he went 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen. In that outing, he didn’t give up a run, coming away with a no-decision. Looking at his overall numbers, Sulser has an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP of 1.56. Opposing batters are hitting .250 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has a record of 0-0 and has issued 6.48 walks per nine innings compared to 10.8 strikeouts.
Twins vs. Rays Pick: Twins ML -115
We see the Twins taking this one on the road against the Rays with a final score prediction of 5-4. Given that the Twins are -115 on the money line, this is the best way to go about betting this one.
Looking at the lineups, we have the Rays finishing with just eight hits compared to the Twins with eight. However, the Rays are projected to finish with 10 strikeouts compared to the Twins with nine.
