Twins vs Guardians Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 17th
The forecast from Cleveland on Tuesday calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 70s. The Guardians are currently on a three-game winning streak and are 87-64, putting them first in the AL Central. The Twins are 3rd in the division at 79-71.
Minnesota comes into the game as the slight money line underdog (+110), while the Guardians are favored at -129. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and BSGL will be televising this one starting at 6:40 PM ET.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Twins 1.5 (-197) | Guardians -1.5 (+161)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Twins +110 | Guardians -129
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction: Moneyline
Cleveland picked up a 4-3 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th. As for the Twins, they scored three runs in the 3rd and didn’t score another run the rest of the game.
Matthew Boyd only went 2 2/3 innings for the Guardians but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Andrew Walters got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save. Pablo Lopez had a good outing for the Twins, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
Kyle Manzardo hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with two RBIs. Angel Martinez also had a three-hit game for Cleveland. Jose Ramirez scored two runs and drove in a run while going 2/4.
Minnesota is 79-71 overall this season, and they are 7.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 28-21 in divisional games. The Twins are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of this series vs. the Guardians.
At home, the Twins have gone 42-33 this season, and they are just above .500 at 37-38 on the road. As the underdog, the Twins are 9-22 on the road this season compared to 16-29 overall. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-17-4 this year.
Cleveland is hosting the Twins today with an overall record of 87-64, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians are currently five games ahead of the Royals in the division. They have won three straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games overall.
So far, the Guardians have gone 28-21 against other teams in the AL Central. At home, they are 46-27 this year and have gone 41-37 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland is 61-32 this year and 26-32 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 26-15-6 this season.
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction: Over/Under
Minnesota is on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.2 this season, and their over/under record is 76-68. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 24-22. Overall, only 9.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .310 over his last eight games with two homers. He has also scored six runs during this stretch. Santana has a team-high 22 homers this season and is also the Twins’ leader in RBIs, with 65. Willi Castro has also been swinging a good bat of late, as he is currently on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .249 for the season.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season, which is 11th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and are also among the league leaders in isolated power. Currently, they have the league’s 8th best team batting average.
The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 66-74 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.4 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 20-20, and they have played 29 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs. Their current under streak is at 5 games.
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late for the Guardians, going 11/36 in his last nine games with one home run. For the season, he is batting .273 and is 7th in the league with 35 homers. Ramirez also has a team-high 107 RBIs. Josh Naylor is 2nd on the team with 29 homers and is batting .245 for the season.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the 16th best batting average in the league. Cleveland is 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction: Spread
Minnesota is 69-81 against the run line this season, with a 32-43 mark at home and a 37-38 record on the road. The Twins have failed to cover the run line in six straight road games and are just 2-5 in their last seven games as the run line favorite.
Right-hander Zebby Matthews gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 7.11. Opposing batters are hitting .322 this season off Matthews, and his WHIP is currently 1.66. In his most recent outing, Matthews finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings. Matthews has allowed a total of eight home runs this season.
The Guardians are 36-37 against the run line at home this season, but they have covered in three straight games at Progressive Field. Overall, they are 77-74 against the run line this season, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game.
Gavin Williams gets the start for the Guardians today vs. the Twins and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays. In that September 12th start, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Williams has finished with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 5.24. Williams’ overall record for the season is 3-9, and he has an ERA of 5.24. Opposing batters are hitting .245 off Williams this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.51 strikeouts and 3.86 walks.
Twins vs. Guardians Pick: Twins ML +110
Our predictions for this Twins vs. Guardians matchup have the Twins coming out on top by a score of 5-4. With the Twins being the underdogs on the money line at +110, this is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Gavin Williams of the Guardians has the highest projected strikeout total at seven. However, his chances of picking up a win are lower than Zebby Matthews, who is projected to finish with five K’s.
Offensively, the Twins have a higher projected home run total than the Guardians, and they also have a higher predicted hit total. If you’re looking at the over/under line, we would take the over at 8.5 runs.
