Royals vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th
The forecast for Wednesday’s matchup between the Royals and Yankees calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s. This one is getting started at 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are favored on the money line (-143). The money line odds for a Royals win are sitting at +122.
Kansas City is 2nd in the AL Central with a record of 80-66, while the Yankees lead the AL East at 83-62. Luis Gil will start for the Yankees, and he will face off against Cole Ragans for the Royals. BSKC will be televising this one.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Royals 1.5 (-178) | Yankees -1.5 (+147)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Royals +122 | Yankees -143
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Royals vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline
Thanks to a good outing from Seth Lugo, the Royals picked up a 5-0 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were at +122 on the money line.
Lugo went seven innings for the Royals, giving up just three hits and striking out 10. He picked up a win in the game, while Marcus Stroman took the loss for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Kansas City got on the board with two runs in the 3rd and added three more in the 5th. As for the Yankees, they had their best scoring chance in the 6th, loading the bases with no outs, but Lugo got out of the jam without giving up a run.
Kansas City is 80-66 overall this year, and they are 3.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Royals are 33-16 against other teams in the AL Central. This season, they are 45-30 at home compared to 35-36 on the road.
So far, the Royals have been good as the favorite, going 46-26, and they are 34-40 as the underdog. Kansas City’s overall series record is 21-23-2, and they come into today’s game vs. the Yankees with an overall record of 5-5 in their last 10 games.
With an overall record of 83-62, the Yankees lead the AL East by a half-game over the Orioles. The Yankees are 22-23 against other teams in the AL East. At home, the Yankees are 38-32 this season, and they have gone 45-30 on the road.
So far, the Yankees have been the favorite in most of their games, putting together a mark of 65-55 in those games. As for their games as the underdog, the Yankees have gone 18-7. New York’s overall series record is 26-16-4, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Royals vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under
When the Kansas City Royals are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8.8 runs per game. The Royals have played 91 games with higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 65-76. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 14-13-3.
Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been two of the Royals’ top hitters this season, with Perez leading the team with 100 RBIs and Witt Jr. not far behind at 99. Witt Jr. also has the league’s 11th best home run total this season, with 30 long balls. Perez comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 7/18 in his last five games.
As a team, the Royals are 10th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. This season, they are batting a collective .254, which is 6th best in the MLB. Overall, they are one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams and have the 3rd best home scoring offense in the league.
When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs for their game against the Royals. The combined run average for their games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 79-62. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 10-15-2. Overall, 69.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league, and they are also 2nd in the league in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250, which is 7th in the league, and they are also the top team in terms of walks. New York has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game.
Over his last 10 games, Gleyber Torres has been red hot for the Yankees, going 16/42 with six runs batted in. For the season, Torres is batting .381. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the team’s top two home run hitters, with Judge leading the league with 51 homers and Soto is 4th in the league with 38 homers.
Royals vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread
When the Royals win, they do so by an average of 4.0 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. They have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 81-65, including 43-32 at home and 38-33 on the road. As the underdog, they are 43-31 against the run line.
Kansas City is sending left-hander Cole Ragans to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 11-9 with a 3.33 ERA. Ragans’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.15, and opponents are batting .211 off him this year. In his 29 appearances, Ragans has turned in 18 quality starts and is averaging 10.97 strikeouts per nine innings. Ragans’ most recent outing was a good one, as he went six innings vs. the Twins, picking up the win and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.6. Overall, they have a run line record of 76-69, and they have been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 44-31. As the underdog, they have been especially good on the run line, going 21-4.
Luis Gil has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 13-6. His ERA for the season is 3.24, along with a WHIP of 1.16. Gil’s batting average allowed is .174, and he has turned in 10 quality starts this year. In his most recent outing, Gil didn’t give up a run in six innings of work. He gave up just one hit in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Gil’s ERA at home is 6.18 compared to 3.77 on the road.
Royals vs. Yankees Pick: Yankees ML -143
Getting the Yankees at -143 on the money line is a great value, as we have them winning this one 6-5. With the payout for a Yankees win on the money line, we would recommend sticking with that, as opposed to taking the over or under.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Gil is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him 14th among starters. As for Cole Ragans, his projected strikeout total is five, which has him 17th. The Yankees are projected to finish with eight team strikeouts, with the Royals ending the game with seven.