Royals vs Braves Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 27th
From Truist Park in Atlanta, the Braves and Royals face off in an interleague matchup. The forecast calls for light rain and temperatures in the low 70s. First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET.
Max Fried is starting for the Braves, while the Royals are going with Brady Singer. Atlanta is 86-71 and favored on the money line at -196, while the Royals are +164 and have won three straight. This game can be seen on BSKC.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Royals 1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Royals +164 | Braves -196
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Royals vs. Braves Prediction: Moneyline
To close out their series vs. the Nationals, the Royals picked up a 7-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -177. Offensively, the Royals scored their seven runs on eight hits and only hit one home run. It was a big 3rd inning for the Royals, as they scored three runs in the inning. Kansas City’s bullpen was also impressive, as they didn’t give up a run after Michael Wacha was pulled in the 5th.
Wacha got the start for the Royals, going five innings and giving up three earned runs, and got the win. Kansas City’s offense was carried by Hunter Renfroe, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Kansas City is currently seven games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Royals are 33-19 against other teams in the division and have an overall record of 85-74. They come into today’s road matchup vs. the Braves having won three straight games.
The Royals have won three straight on the road, and they are 40-38 away from home this year. At Kauffman Stadium, they have gone 45-36. As the underdog, the Royals are 35-43 this year and 50-31 as the favorite. Kansas City’s overall series record is 23-26-2, and they have won two straight series on the road while dropping two straight at home.
Heading into their last game vs. the Mets, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -145. Offensively, the Braves scored their five runs on json0 hits and only hit two home runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach put together a good start for the Braves, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Michael Harris II, who went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
With an overall record of 86-71, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta is 3rd in the NL East and just picked up a game on the Mets, who are in 2nd place, six games behind the Phillies. The Braves have gone 27-23 against other teams in the NL East this season.
Atlanta has won three straight games, and they closed out their series with the Mets with a win. This season, the Braves are 43-33 at home compared to 43-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 73-53 this season, and they are 41-29 as the favorite at home. Atlanta’s overall series record is 29-17-7, and they have won three straight series.
Royals vs. Braves Prediction: Over/Under
When the Kansas City Royals are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the Royals and their opponents have combined to average 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Kansas City games this season is 69-85, with the average line set at 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 4-15. This season, 81.8% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs.
For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a good home hitting team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 7th in the league, and are also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts. The Royals are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, as he is batting .332 with a league-leading 109 RBIs and 32 home runs. He has also been hot of late, going 9/25 in his last seven games. Salvador Perez is also having a great season, with 27 homers and a batting average of .273.
With a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game, the Atlanta Braves have seen the over hit in 58 of their 93 games this season. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has gone 13-20. Overall, 73.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 115 of their games this season.
Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have been a strong 1-2 punch for the Braves this season, as Ozuna is batting .310 with a team-high 39 homers, and Olson is batting .246 with 29 homers. Ozuna’s 102 RBIs are also the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. Over his last eight games, Michael Harris II has been on fire, hitting 5 homers and driving in nine runs while batting .486.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road than at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Braves are 4th in the league in home runs and have the league’s 5th best isolated power mark.
Royals vs. Braves Prediction: Spread
When betting the run line on the Kansas City Royals this season, it’s been a profitable endeavor. The Royals have a run line record of 87-72, and they’ve been especially good on the road, going 44-34. They’ve covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run differential of +0.6 runs per game overall. They’ve been even better on the road, where their average run differential is +0.7 runs per game. As an underdog, they’ve been especially good, going 46-32 against the run line.
Brady Singer gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Braves on the road. This year, he has made 31 starts and has a record of 9-12. Singer’s ERA is 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.28. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .252 this year. In his 31 appearances, Singer has turned in 12 quality starts. Coming into the game, he has a BB/9 figure of 2.64 and a K/9 mark of 8.55. Singer has lost each of his last three outings and has given up at least two homers in two of those starts.
When the Braves are favored, they are 57-69 on the run line. In games they win, they have an average run differential of 3.8 runs per game. They are 32-44 on the run line at home and 43-38 on the run line on the road.
Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 10-10 and an ERA of 3.42. So far, he has made 28 starts and has pitched well at home, going 3-4 with a 4.73 ERA. Fried has made 15 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.53 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Fried picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20.
Royals vs. Braves Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -109
Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Braves, which would give us the payout of -196 on the money line. However, we are actually recommending that you take the over at 7.5 runs. You can get this at -109, and we have the Braves winning by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Max Fried finishing with more strikeouts than Brady Singer. Fried is projected to finish with six K’s, compared to Singer at five.
