Rockies vs Tigers Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th
Casey Mize and the Tigers will look to keep their three-game winning streak alive when they face the Rockies on Wednesday. This interleague matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit, and the Tigers are the heavy favorite on the money line at -183. The Rockies are +154 on the money line, and they are 5th in the NL West with a record of 54-91.
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the forecast for Wednesday’s game in Detroit calls for temperatures in the mid-80s with scattered clouds. Today’s starting pitching matchup features Tanner Gordon for the Rockies and Casey Mize for the Tigers.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rockies 1.5 (-140) | Tigers -1.5 (+115)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Rockies +154 | Tigers -183
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rockies vs. Tigers Prediction: Moneyline
Detroit cruised to an easy 11-0 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their eleven runs. As for the Rockies, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster three hits.
Keider Montero pitched a gem for the Tigers in this one, going nine innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Bradley Blalock had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss.
Parker Meadows was the only player in the game to homer, going 2/3 with three RBIs and three runs scored. Riley Greene also had a good game at the plate, going 2/3 with three RBIs.
With an overall record of 54-91, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 32 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional matchups. Colorado is on the road today, and they have gone 22-54 as the road team this year. At home, the Rockies are 32-37.
As the underdog, Colorado has gone 52-89 this year compared to 2-2 as the favorite. The Rockies’ overall series record is 11-31-4, and they are currently losing their series vs. the Tigers 0-1. Heading into today’s game, the Rockies have gone 4-6 over their last 10.
Detroit is 74-71 overall, and they are nine games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers are 24-22 against other teams in the division. Detroit has won three straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
At home, the Tigers are 36-34 this season and 38-37 on the road. As the favorite, Detroit has gone 34-23 this year and 40-48 as the underdog. Detroit has won two straight games as the favorite.
Rockies vs. Tigers Prediction: Over/Under
The Colorado Rockies are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Rockies have an over/under record of 70-72 this season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 9.9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-10-1. Overall, 71.7% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the majors. However, they have been much better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Rockies are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and they have the 12th best slugging percentage in the league. One area of concern for the Rockies is their strikeout numbers, as they are averaging 9 strikeouts per game (29th).
Michael Toglia comes into the game as the Rockies’ leader in home runs this season, but he has struggled with a batting average of just .219. Over his last 10 games, he has gone 8/36 with two homers. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are both batting over .265 for the season and have 22 homers apiece.
The Detroit Tigers are at home today against the Colorado Rockies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Tigers’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-68. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 16-18-2. Overall, 53 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, which accounts for 36.6% of their games. Their current over streak is at 2 games.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. At home, they are averaging just 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 17th in the league. Detroit’s team on-base percentage of .299 is also 22nd in the MLB. The Tigers’ offense is led by Riley Greene, who has a team-high 20 homers and 64 RBIs while batting .263.
Riley Greene has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/34 in his last nine games with a home run and eight RBIs. Colt Keith is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Matt Vierling is batting .261 for the season and is on a three-game hitting streak.
Rockies vs. Tigers Prediction: Spread
When the Rockies win, they typically win by an average of 2.8 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 71-74 overall, but they are 36-33 at home and 35-41 on the road. As the underdog, they are 70-71 on the run line, while as the favorite, they are just 1-3.
Colorado is sending right-hander Tanner Gordon to the mound today vs. the Tigers. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 0-5 with a 7.55 ERA. Gordon’s WHIP for the season is 1.58, and opponents are batting .331 off him this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Nationals. Gordon has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.26 strikeouts and just 1.74 walks.
The Tigers have been a solid team to back on the run line this season, going 76-69 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 46-29. They have also been a good bet on the run line in games they are the underdog, going 56-32. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.7, while their average run differential in losing games is -3.4.
Casey Mize is looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Padres, he gave up one homer. Mize finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back further, Mize has made 18 starts and has a record of 2-6. His ERA for the season is 4.30, along with a WHIP of 1.41. Opposing batters are hitting .277 off Mize this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.4 strikeouts and 2.3 walks. Mize has made six quality starts this season. At home, his ERA is 3.85 compared to 7.19 on the road.
Rockies vs. Tigers Pick: Over 8 Runs -115
We do see the Tigers coming away with a win in this one, and with the money line sitting at -183, there is some value there. However, our recommended pick is to take the over, as we have this one finishing with a 6-5 win for the Tigers.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Casey Mize finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for 13th among starters. As for Tanner Gordon, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is 15th among starters.
Looking at the Rockies, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which is the eighth most in the league. As for team home runs, they are projected to finish with 14th in the league.