Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 22nd
At 4:10 PM ET, the Rockies and Dodgers face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -352. The Rockies are +286 on the money line, and their record is 60-95, while the Dodgers are 92-63.
Antonio Senzatela is starting for the Rockies, and he will be facing off against Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the Rockies are 5th in the NL West.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rockies 1.5 (+129) | Dodgers -1.5 (-154)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Rockies +286 | Dodgers -352
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rockies vs. Dodgers Prediction: Moneyline
It was all Colorado in the last game of this series, as the Rockies took down the Dodgers by a score of 6-3. The Rockies offense only had two more hits than the Dodgers and struck out 14 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +247 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Cal Quantrill for the Rockies and Walker Buehler for the Dodgers. Quantrill only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Buehler was tagged for four homers and four runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Colorado’s two homers came from Charlie Blackmon and Ryan McMahon. Blackmon, Ezequiel Tovar, and Victor Vodnik each had two RBIs for the Rockies’ offense.
Colorado is 60-95 overall and is 32 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone just 18-30 in divisional games. The Rockies are on the road today, and they are just 24-56 on the road this season.
As the road underdog, the Rockies have a series record of 13-31-4 this year. Overall, they are 58-93 as the underdog. Colorado’s overall series record is 13-31-4, and they have won two straight series.
Los Angeles is 92-63 overall and leads the NL West by three games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 25-20 in divisional games this year. They have been really good at home, going 49-28, and they are 43-35 on the road.
So far, the Dodgers have been the favorite in most of their games, going 87-51 in such matchups. As the home favorite, they have gone 48-28 this year. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 28-18-4, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Rockies.
Rockies vs. Dodgers Prediction: Over/Under
The Rockies are on the road against the Dodgers today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Rockies games this season is 9.9 runs, and their over/under record is 75-76. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 11-11. So far this season, 58.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.
So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the MLB. However, they have been much better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Rockies are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and they have the 13th best slugging percentage in the league.
Ezequiel Tovar has been a consistent run producer for the Rockies this season, as he leads the team with 74 RBIs and 25 homers, which is also the best mark on the team. Tovar has also gone 10/42 with three homers in his last 10 games. Michael Toglia is also at 25 homers but is batting just .217 for the season.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing at home against the Colorado Rockies today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is 9.4, and their over/under record is 86-65. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 34-25. Overall, 49 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 31.6% of their games this season.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear of late, going 14/33 in his last eight games, with five homers and 18 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .297 with a league-leading 122 RBIs and 52 homers, which is also the best mark in the league. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as his 30 homers is 2nd on the team and 12th in the MLB.
As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top slugging team and have the best isolated power figure in the league.
Rockies vs. Dodgers Prediction: Spread
When betting the Rockies on the run line this season, it has been profitable to take them as the underdog. They are 76-75 against the run line as the underdog, but just 1-3 as the favorite. Overall, they are 77-78 against the run line, with an average run margin of -1.4 runs per game.
Antonio Senzatela is getting the start for the Rockies on the road against the Dodgers. In his first start of the season, he went 3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 4 hits. He did strike out 2 batters but also gave up a home run.
When betting the run line on the Dodgers this season, you’re right at .500, as they’re 78-77. They’ve been a better bet at home, going 39-38, and have a run differential of +0.8 runs per game in Los Angeles. They’ve been a favorite in 138 games, going 71-67 on the run line, and have a run differential of +3.8 runs per game in their wins.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Rockies at home. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 2.63. Yamamoto has made seven quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Braves, he went four innings and gave up just two hits. Yamamoto has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.43 strikeouts and just 2.09 walks.
Rockies vs. Dodgers Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -109
We do like the Dodgers to get the win in this one, but with the money line payout being at -352, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Dodgers, giving us some room to work with on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yoshinobu Yamamoto finishing with six strikeouts compared to Antonio Senzatela with just four. However, Yamamoto is projected to finish with a better ERA than Senzatela, and we have him picking up the win in 44% of simulations, compared to Senzatela at 27%.
