Rockies vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 8th

From American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have a Rockies vs. Brewers matchup. First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 2:10 PM ET. BSWI is carrying the Rockies on the money line, and they are the heavy favorite at -273 compared to the Brewers at +223. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Colorado comes in with a record of 53-90 and they are 5th in the NL West, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 82-60. Kyle Freeland is starting for the Rockies, and he is facing off against Freddy Peralta for the Brewers.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Rockies 1.5 (-102) | Brewers -1.5 (-120)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Rockies +223 | Brewers -273

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Rockies vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline

Despite coming in as the heavy -298 favorites on the road, the Brewers picked up a 5-2 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. Milwaukee got to Colorado starter Ty Blach, who gave up five earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work and took the loss.

Tobias Myers put together a good outing for the Brewers, getting the win after going six innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts and allowed just one hit. Devin Williams closed things out for Milwaukee.

Ryan McMahon and Sam Hilliard were the only two Rockies hitters to have more than one hit. McMahon hit the game’s only home run. As for the Brewers, William Contreras and Willy Adames each had two hits and an RBI.

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers, the Rockies are 53-90, putting them 5th in the NL West, 32.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Overall, they are 15.5 games out of 4th place, which is currently held by the Giants. The Rockies have really struggled vs. other NL West teams, going 15-28 this year.

So far, the Rockies have really struggled as the road underdog, going 21-53. At home, they are 32-37 this year. Colorado’s overall series record is 10-31-4, and they have dropped two straight series. They are also just 4-6 across their last 10 games and are 1-1 in their series vs. the Brewers.

Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central by 10 games over the Cardinals, and their overall record is 82-60. The Brewers will take on the Rockies today at home, and they are 2 games up on the Braves for the 2nd spot in the NL.

As the favorite, the Brewers have gone 48-35 this year and 33-19 as the favorite at home. They have an overall series record of 25-16-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.

Rockies vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under

Colorado is on the road in Milwaukee today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Rockies have played in 103 games with over/under lines higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 72.0% of their games this season. Their combined run average is 9.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 69-71 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-10-1, and they have an under streak of 6 games.

So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. However, they have been a much better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Rockies are batting .242, which is 12th in the league, and they have the 16th most home runs in the league. One thing to note is that the Rockies have been striking out at a high rate this season, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of walks.

Michael Toglia has struggled at the plate for the Rockies this season, batting just .218, and he has gone 3/16 in his last five games. However, he does lead the team with 23 homers. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are both batting .268 this season, with Doyle leading the team with 66 RBIs.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 74-59, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-11-4. The over has hit in 55.6% of their games this season, and they are currently on a three-game under streak.

For the season, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 6th best batting average at .251. Milwaukee’s offense has been led by Willy Adames, who is 3rd in the league with 101 RBIs and has gone deep 30 times this season.

Adames has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/33 with 5 homers in his last 8 games. He has also driven in 10 runs over that stretch. Catcher William Contreras comes into the game batting .278 and is 2nd on the team with 82 RBIs. First baseman Rhys Hoskins has 23 homers but is batting just .208 for the season.

Rockies vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread

The Rockies have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 70-73. Their average run differential is -1.5 runs per game. They have been a slightly better bet on the road, going 34-40 against the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 69-70 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.8, while it is -4.1 in losing games.

Left-hander Kyle Freeland gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 4-7 with an ERA of 5.30. So far, Freeland has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One area of concern for Freeland is his ERA on the road, which is 9.93 compared to 4.13 at home.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a run line record of 34-36 at home, with an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game. They have a run line record of 33-50 as the favorite and 40-19 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.7 runs per game.

Freddy Peralta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Cardinals and picked up the win. In that September 2nd start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and he had three strikeouts. Looking back over his last four outings, Peralta has allowed two homers in three of those starts. For the season, he has a record of 10-7, an ERA of 3.75, and he has pitched much better at home, coming in with a 4.16 ERA compared to 3.88 on the road.

Rockies vs. Brewers Pick: Rockies ML +223

With the Rockies coming in at +223 on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the value in this matchup. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Rockies, giving us a lot of confidence in this pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Freddy Peralta finishing with more strikeouts than Kyle Freeland, but Peralta is still projected to finish with a high total of eight K’s. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Rockies with the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.