Rockies vs Braves Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 4th
There are two National League teams facing off in Wednesday’s Rockies vs. Braves matchup. This one is getting started at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -284. The money line odds for a Rockies win are currently at +233, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak.
Wednesday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the forecast for the game in Atlanta calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 80s. Bradley Blalock is starting for the Rockies, and the Braves are set to go with Charlie Morton. In the NL West, the Rockies are 5th with a record of 51-88, while the Braves are 2nd in the NL East at 75-63.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rockies 1.5 (+106) | Braves -1.5 (-128)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Rockies +233 | Braves -284
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rockies vs. Braves Prediction: Moneyline
The most recent game o of this Braves vs. Rockies series came right down to the end, as the Rockies rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -378 on the money line.
Chris Sale pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Kyle Freeland had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss.
At the plate, the Rockies actually outhit the Braves in the game 6 to 7. Brendan Rodgers and Hunter Goodman each had two hits and an RBI for Colorado. Gio Urshela did the most damage for the Braves, going 2/3 with a run scored and an RBI.
With an overall record of 51-88, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, 33 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL West teams, going 15-28 this year. The Rockies have dropped two straight games, and they are just 4-6 over their last 10.
At home, the Rockies are 32-37 compared to 19-51 on the road. This season, the Rockies have really struggled in day games, going 15-36. As the underdog, the Rockies are 49-86 this year and 2-2 when favored. Colorado’s overall series record is 10-30-4, and they are losing their current series vs. the Braves.
With an overall record of 75-63, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta took the first game of their series vs. the Rockies and have an NL East division record of 23-21 this season. So far, they have gone 37-28 at home compared to 38-35 on the road.
As the favorite, the Braves have put together a record of 63-47 this season, and they are 12-16 as the underdog. Atlanta has won three straight games as the favorite, and their overall series record is 24-16-5 this season. Over their last ten games, the Braves are 6-4.
Rockies vs. Braves Prediction: Over/Under
The Rockies are on the road against the Braves today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, Colorado’s games have averaged 10.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 69-67. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-9. Overall, 59.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Colorado’s offense has been a lot better at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is the 5th best mark in the league. Overall, they are 19th in the league at 4.3 runs per contest. The Rockies have been a good home run hitting team this season, but they do strike out a lot and don’t walk much. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 12th in the league.
Both Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle have been good for the Rockies this season, with Tovar batting .270 and Doyle at .271. Doyle’s 22 homers lead the team and is 15th in the MLB. Brendan Rodgers has been hot of late, going 10/28 with three homers over his last seven games. Ryan McMahon is on a four-game hitting streak, while Sam Hilliard has a three-game streak.
The Braves are at home today against the Rockies, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.1, and their over/under record is 51-82. When the line is set at 8.5, their record is 13-22. The under has hit in their last three games, and 31.9% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than today’s line.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .306 with 37 homers and 98 RBIs. His 98 RBIs are 5th best in the league. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 25 homers this season and has gone 11/33 (.333) over his last eight games.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in the league in homers and have the 7th best isolated power figure in the league. Heading into today’s game, Gio Urshela has the longest active hitting streak at 11 games.
Rockies vs. Braves Prediction: Spread
Colorado’s run line record is 68-71, and they have gone 36-33 against the run line at home. The Rockies’ average run margin is -1.5 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 32-38 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.9, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.1. Colorado has failed to cover the run line in each of their last two road games.
Bradley Blalock and the Rockies are on the road to take on the Braves. Blalock has been solid in his first two starts, going 5 2/3 innings in each and picking up a win in his last outing. He has 9 strikeouts in 11 innings of work, but in his last start, he took the loss to the Marlins, giving up 6 earned runs.
Atlanta is 27-38 against the run line at home this season, but they have covered in three straight games overall and are 39-34 on the run line on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3. They are 49-61 against the run line as the favorite and 17-11 as the underdog.
Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today and is coming off a start in which he didn’t give up a home run. Against the Phillies on August 29th, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Morton has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with a 4.26 ERA. Looking at his home/away splits, Morton has an ERA of 5.23 on the road compared to 5.22 at home. His ERA for the season is 4.26.
Rockies vs. Braves Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -110
Our prediction for the Braves vs. Rockies matchup is that the Braves will pick up a 6-5 win. However, we don’t see a ton of value in the money line, as the Braves are -284 to win.
Instead, we like the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our projections have the Braves combining for 15 hits and the Rockies with 14, so there is some room for error on the line.
