Rockies vs Braves Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 3rd
There are 11 games on the MLB schedule for Tuesday, and one of them is an NL matchup between the Rockies and Braves. This one gets started at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -397. The Rockies are +315 on the money line, and they will be looking to pull off the upset with Kyle Freeland on the mound. Atlanta is starting Chris Sale.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the under is paying out at -115 compared to -107 for the over. Colorado is just 51-87 this season, and they are 5th in the NL West, while the Braves are 74-63 and 2nd in the NL East. BSSO will be televising this matchup.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rockies 1.5 (+135) | Braves -1.5 (-161)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Rockies +315 | Braves -397
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rockies vs. Braves Prediction: Moneyline
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Orioles scored four runs in the top of the 4th. Colorado was the +160 underdog at home going into the game.
Ty Blach got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up five earned runs on five hits. Michael Toglia had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.
With an overall record of 51-87, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 32 games. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional matchups. Colorado has really struggled on the road this year, going 19-50 compared to 32-37 at home.
Colorado has really struggled in day games this year, going 15-35. As the underdog, the Rockies are 49-85 this season compared to 2-2 as the favorite. Heading into today’s matchup vs. the Braves, the Rockies are 10-30-4 in series this year.
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the bottom of the 9th before the Phillies scored a run to pick up the win. Atlanta was the +109 underdog on the money line going into the game.
Spencer Schwellenbach put together a good start for the Braves, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out two. However, the Braves couldn’t close things out, and Aaron Bummer took the loss out of the bullpen. The Braves also wasted a big game from Michael Harris II, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/5.
With a record of 74-63, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves lost two straight games to close out their series vs. the Phillies. So far, they are 23-21 in divisional games.
At home, the Braves are 36-28 this year and 38-35 on the road. Atlanta has won two straight games when favored, and they are 62-47 as the favorite this year. As for their record as the underdog, the Braves are 12-16. So far, their overall series record is 24-16-5.
Rockies vs. Braves Prediction: Over/Under
When the Rockies are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 10.1 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Rockies is 69-66, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-4. The average over/under line for Rockies games this season has been set at 10 runs, and 86.2% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7.5-run line.
So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the majors. However, they have been a much better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Rockies are batting .245, and they have the 15th ranked home run total in the league. One thing to keep an eye on is their team strikeout numbers, as they are 29th in the league in this category.
Both Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle have been solid for the Rockies this season, with Doyle leading the team with 66 RBIs and 22 homers. Tovar is batting .270 and has 21 homers. Doyle is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Rodgers hitting .286 with three homers in his last seven games and McMahon going 9/33 in his last eight games.
The Braves have played in 102 games with over/under lines of 7.5 runs or more, and the over has hit in 51 of those contests. Their combined run average in those games is 8.2 runs per game. The under has hit in two straight games, and their overall over/under record is 51-81 on the season.
Marcell Ozuna has been a key run producer for the Braves this season, as his 98 RBIs are 5th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 4th in the league with 37 homers. Ozuna has also hit for a strong batting average of .306. Matt Olson has also been a solid power threat for the Braves, as his 25 homers are 2nd on the team and 12th in the league, but he has struggled a bit in the batting average department, hitting just .234.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a good home run hitting team this season. They have been a bit better on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Over his last seven games, Olson has gone 11/30 with three homers and 11 RBIs.
Rockies vs. Braves Prediction: Spread
When the Rockies win, they do so by an average of 2.9 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 4.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 68-70, and they are 32-37 on the run line on the road. They are 1-3 on the run line as the favorite and 67-67 as the underdog.
Kyle Freeland will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Marlins. In that start, he went six innings and gave up two earned runs. Looking back over his last three outings, Freeland has given up at least two homers in each start. His overall record is 4-6, and his ERA is 5.51. Freeland’s WHIP for the season is 1.47. Out of his 16 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.09 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Freeland has allowed 14 homers and is much better at home, with an ERA of 4.13 compared to 10.94 on the road.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Atlanta Braves, it’s been a mixed bag. They are just 65-72 on the run line this season, but they have covered in two straight games. They are 26-38 on the run line at home, compared to 39-34 on the road. Their average run margin is +0.4 runs per game, but they are just 17-11 on the run line as an underdog.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 15-3 and an ERA of 2.58. So far, he has made 25 starts and 15 of them have been quality starts. Sale’s ERA for the season at home is 3.37, and he is 8-0 at home. The left-hander has been tough to beat on the road as well, going 7-3 with a 2.42 ERA. In his last outing, Sale gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. He finished with six strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in back-to-back starts.
Rockies vs. Braves Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -107
Our prediction for the Braves vs. Rockies matchup is that the Braves will come away with a 6-5 win. However, with the payout for a Braves win being just -397, we recommend taking the over, with the line being set at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Chris Sale finishing with nine strikeouts and picking up the win. As for Kyle Freeland, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts.
Offensively, our projections have the Rockies finishing with nine hits compared to the Braves, who we have finishing with nine hits.
If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look to take Sale to finish with the most strikeouts in today’s games, as we have him finishing with the highest strikeout total among all starters.
