Reds vs Twins Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 14th
At 7:10 PM ET, the Reds and Twins face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Reds are 72-77 compared to the Twins, who are 78-69.
On the money line, the Twins are the favorites, with their odds sitting at -153, while the Reds are at +128. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and Nick Martinez gets the start for the Reds, while the Twins are starting Simeon Woods Richardson. This game will be televised on MLBN.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Reds 1.5 (-167) | Twins -1.5 (+137)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Reds +128 | Twins -153
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Reds vs. Twins Prediction: Moneyline
Cincinnati cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 7th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only four runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +200 on the money line.
Julian Aguiar pitched well for the Reds in this one, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Bailey Ober struggled on the mound for the Twins, giving up five earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.
TJ Friedl and Elly De La Cruz each homered for the Reds, while Byron Buxton went deep for the Twins. Friedl, Jonathan India, and Spencer Steer each had two RBIs for Cincinnati’s offense.
Cincinnati is 72-77 overall this season, and they are 14.0 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division and have gone 21-25 in divisional games this year. The Reds took the first game of their series vs. the Twins and have an overall series record of 18-27-3 this year.
At home, the Reds are 36-39 this year, and they are one game above .500 at 36-38 on the road. As the underdog, Cincinnati has gone 39-44 this year compared to an even 33-33 mark as the favorite. Heading into today’s game, the Reds have gone 6-4 over their last 10.
Minnesota is 78-69 overall this season, and they are 5.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 28-20 in AL Central matchups. The Twins have lost seven games, with three of those coming as the favorite. At home, the Twins are 41-32 this year.
Minnesota has dropped seven of their last ten games and are looking to bounce back today at home. So far, they are an even 37-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 62-40 this year and 34-25 when favored at home. This season, their overall series record is 26-17-4.
Reds vs. Twins Prediction: Over/Under
When the Reds are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. Overall, the Reds have gone 68-74 against the over/under line this year, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the Reds have gone 17-15. This season, 48.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 30.2% have had lower lines.
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top hitters this season, batting .259 with a team-leading 24 home runs. His 69 RBIs are also the 2nd most on the team. However, he has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .222 over his last 10 games. The Reds will also be looking for a better performance from Spencer Steer, who is batting just .231 for the season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been an average home run hitting team this season and have the 12th most walks in the league. Currently, the Reds are 20th in team batting average and are one of the league’s worst teams in terms of striking out.
Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-67. Their games have gone over the 8.5-run line 22 times and under 8.5 runs 89 times. The over is on a three-game streak.
Carlos Santana has been one of the Twins’ top power threats this season, as he leads the team with 21 homers and 63 RBIs. However, he is batting just .239. Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards, with 20 homers and 61 RBIs, but he is batting just .230. Willi Castro is batting .248 for the season and has gone deep 11 times.
Minnesota has a few players coming into the game on solid hitting streaks, as Carlos Santana and Carlos Correa are both on four-game hitting streaks. Kyle Farmer has a five-game hitting streak and has gone 7/14 in his last seven games.
Reds vs. Twins Prediction: Spread
The Reds have been a solid play on the run line overall this season, going 81-68. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 46-28. They have also been a good bet on the run line as the underdog, going 54-29. Their average run differential in all games is +0.1 runs per game.
Cincinnati is sending right-hander Nick Martinez to the mound today vs. the Twins. Martinez has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with a 3.46 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Martinez has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.21 strikeouts per nine innings. In his 13 starts, he has only walked 1.32 batters per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Martinez went seven innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Minnesota has been a solid run-line bet this season, going 68-79 overall. They have been particularly strong at home, where they are 31-42 against the run line. The Twins have a run differential of +0.3 runs per game this season, with an average scoring margin of +0.5 runs per game at home and +0.1 runs per game on the road. They have been a better run-line bet as the underdog this season, going 23-22, compared to 45-57 as the favorite.
Through 25 starts, Simeon Woods Richardson has a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 3.96. He has made seven quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that start, he gave up three walks and three hits. Before that outing, he had given up a home run in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 4.72 compared to 4.00 at home. Opponents are batting .228 this year off Woods Richardson.
Reds vs. Twins Pick: Twins ML -153
Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line at -153. We have the Twins winning this one by a score of 5-4. The payout for the Twins on the money line is a good value, and we recommend locking in this bet.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Simeon Woods Richardson is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he ranks 15th among starters in terms of K’s. As for Nick Martinez, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts.
