Reds vs Mets Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 8th

At 1:40 PM ET, the Reds and Mets face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -202. The money line odds for a Reds win are sitting at +169, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

Cincinnati will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 68-75 overall, while the Mets are 78-64 and have won nine straight games. Julian Aguiar will be starting for the Reds, and he will be facing off against Luis Severino. BSOH is carrying this one on TV.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Reds 1.5 (-130) | Mets -1.5 (+106)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Reds +169 | Mets -202

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Moneyline

New York picked up a 4-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense only had two more hits than the Reds and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -154 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jakob Junis for the Reds and Jose Quintana for the Mets. Junis only went five innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run. On the other side, Quintana went 6 2/3 innings and gave up just two hits and no earned runs.

Cincinnati’s best chance to score came in the 6th inning when they loaded the bases with no outs. However, Quintana got out of the jam without giving up a run. As for the Mets, they scored all four of their runs in the 2nd inning.

Cincinnati is 68-75 overall, and they are 14.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds have dropped two straight games, and they trail the Cubs by 4.5 games for the final Wild Card spot. So far, they are 20-23 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Reds are 36-39 this year and 32-36 on the road. As the road underdog, the Reds are 20-30 this season, and they are 35-42 as the underdog overall. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 17-25-3 this year.

The Mets are riding a nine-game winning streak, and they will be looking to pick up a win today at home vs. the Reds. New York is 78-64 overall, putting them seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East. This season, the Mets are 22-17 in divisional games.

At home, the Mets are 40-33 this season compared to a 38-31 mark on the road. New York has been the favorite in 86 of their games, going 51-35 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, the Mets are 27-29 this season.

Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Over/Under

When the Reds are on the road, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 67-69. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 7-10. Overall, 70.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top hitters this season, batting .261 with a team-leading 23 home runs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/19 in his last five games. Spencer Steer has also been a big power threat for the Reds, as he has 19 homers and 86 RBIs, which is 15th in the league.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Their team batting average of .233 is 19th in the league, and they are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-67 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-7. In 54.9% of their games, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, while it has been set below 8 runs in 30.3% of their games.

Francisco Lindor comes into the game as the Mets’ leading hitter this season, batting .272 with 30 home runs and 84 RBIs. Pete Alonso is also having a good season in terms of power, as he is batting .240 with 31 homers. Alonso’s 79 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. Over his last five games, Mark Vientos has three homers and is batting .400.

Overall, the Mets are the 7th highest-scoring team in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 8th best team batting average.

Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Spread

When the Reds are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 41-27. Their average run margin is +0.5 on the road, and their overall run line record is 76-67. However, they have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games and have failed to cover the run line in their last two games when they are the favorite.

Julian Aguiar will be making his third start of the season for the Reds, and it will be his first road start of the year. He has a win and two no-decisions to his name so far, and in his last start, he went 6 innings, giving up 2 runs on 3 hits. Aguiar has had a solid strikeout rate, with 8 K’s in 10 2/3 innings pitched.

Despite a run line record of 33-40 at home, the Mets have covered the run line in five straight games at Citi Field and in eight straight games overall. As the underdog, the Mets are 33-23 against the run line this season.

Luis Severino is coming off a strong outing for the Mets, as he picked up the win vs. the Red Sox on September 2nd. In that outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run on six hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Severino has made 27 starts and has a record of 10-6. His ERA for the season is 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.25. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off the right-hander this season. Severino has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.68 strikeouts and 3.05 walks.

Reds vs. Mets Pick: Reds ML +169

We see a lot of value in the Reds today, and with them being on the money line at +169, that is the way we recommend playing this one. Offensively, we have the Reds finishing with 11 hits, which is the third most in the league today.

Looking at the Mets, they are projected to finish with nine hits and five runs. If you’re looking for a home run prop, the Mets are forecasted to hit the seventh most home runs today.