Reds vs Mets Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 6th
From Citi Field in New York, the Reds and Mets face off in an NL matchup. The money line odds have the Mets at -181, while the Reds are the +150 underdog. First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.
SNY will be televising Friday’s matchup, and the Mets are currently on a seven-game winning streak. They are 76-64 overall and 2nd in the NL East. The Reds have won four straight and are 4th in the NL Central with a record of 68-73. Tonight’s pitching matchup has Fernando Cruz going for the Reds and Sean Manaea for the Mets.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Reds 1.5 (-147) | Mets -1.5 (+120)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Reds +150 | Mets -181
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Moneyline
The Reds’s offense was carried by Ty France in their most recent game vs. the Astros, a 1-0 win. France went 2/3 with a homer and scored the team’s only run. The Reds really needed a big performance from France, as the rest of their lineup only had four hits. Jake Fraley also had a good day at the plate, going 2/2 with a run scored.
Rhett Lowder got the start for the Reds, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out three. Tony Santillan got the win out of the bullpen, and Alexis Diaz picked up the save.
Cincinnati is on a four-game winning streak, and they will be looking to keep it going today on the road vs. the Mets. Currently, the Reds are 68-73 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. They trail the Brewers by 13.5 games for the division lead.
The Reds’ overall series record is 17-25-3, and they closed out their series vs. the Astros with three straight wins. This season, they are 20-28 as the road underdog, and they are an even 33-33 as the favorite. At home, the Reds are 36-39 compared to 32-34 on the road.
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with an 8-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Mets responded with four runs of their own. New York went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Mets was Tylor Megill, who picked up the win. He went four innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits. Jesse Winker had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Mets scored four runs in the inning.
The Mets will be hosting the Reds today with an overall record of 76-64, and they are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York has been playing well, as they have won seven straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with three straight wins. So far, they are 22-17 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 38-33 this year and 38-31 on the road. New York has won four straight games as the home team. This season, the Mets have been the favorite in 84 games, going 49-35, and they are 27-29 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 24-16-8, and they have won three straight series.
Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Over/Under
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the New York Mets with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 66-68. The average over/under line for Reds games this season is 9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Reds have an over/under record of 8-10. For the season, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs or lower in just 4.3% of Reds games.
Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as his 63 RBIs are 2nd on the team and he is also leading the team with 22 home runs. De La Cruz is batting .263 for the season and has an on-base percentage of .344. Spencer Steer has also been a solid run producer for the Reds, as his 86 RBIs are the best on the team and 12th in the league. Steer has 19 homers and is batting just .234.
Over his last 10 games, Ty France has been on fire for the Reds, going 16/35 with one homer and five RBIs. Jonathan India has also homered twice in his last nine games, but is batting just .235 in that stretch. Will Benson has also homered twice in his last seven games but is just 3/15 in that stretch.
The Mets are at home today against the Reds, with the Over/Under line set at 7.5. Their combined run average is 9.2, and their over/under record is 70-66. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs. In games with a line set at 7.5, they are 16-15. Overall, 70.0% of their games have had lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 5th in the league in home runs and are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per contest. Both their home and road scoring averages are among the top 11 in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is the 9th best mark in the league.
Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets, batting .375 over his last six games, with two homers and five RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs (84) while also being 2nd on the team with 30 homers. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, with 31, but has struggled of late, going just 4/24 in his last six games.
Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Spread
When it comes to the run line, the Reds have been a solid bet this season, going 76-65 overall. They’ve been especially good on the run line on the road, going 41-25, and they’ve been on a run line tear as the underdog, covering the run line in eight straight games. They’ve been outscoring their opponents by an average of 0.7 runs per game on the road, compared to -0.3 runs per game at home.
Cincinnati is sending right-hander Fernando Cruz to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made 63 appearances this season and has a record of 3-8 with a 4.99 ERA. Cruz has made two starts and 29 appearances on the road, coming in with a record of 2-4 and 6.67 ERA on the road. For the season, he has allowed a total of seven home runs. Cruz most recently pitched on August 31st, where he went two innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
When the Mets are favored, they are 37-47 against the run line, but when they are underdogs, they are 33-23. Their average run margin is 0.4, and they have a run line record of 70-70. The Mets are 31-40 against the run line at home, but they have won their last three run line bets at home. Their average run margin in wins is 3.6, while it is -3.5 in losses.
New York is sending left-hander Sean Manaea to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 11-5 with a 3.35 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts. Manaea’s most recent outing came on September 1st vs. the White Sox, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and not allowing a run. He gave up just two hits in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Manaea has been especially good on the road, coming in with a record of 6-2 and 3.25 ERA compared to 5-3 with a 4.44 ERA at home.
Reds vs. Mets Pick: Reds ML +150
Our predicted score for this Reds vs. Mets matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Reds, which is why we are recommending taking the Reds on the money line at +150. At +150, we see a lot of value in picking up the Reds to win this one on the road.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Fernando Cruz going deeper into the game than Sean Manaea, and we have Cruz finishing with more strikeouts. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair Cruz’s strikeout total with a Reds win to increase your payout.
