Reds vs Guardians Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th

Cleveland is the heavy favorite on the money line for Tuesday’s interleague matchup with the Reds, with their odds sitting at -163 compared to the Reds at +139. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on BSGL.

First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the Guardians will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. They are currently 90-67 and in 1st place in the AL Central. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central with a record of 76-81. Tuesday’s starting pitching matchup features Jakob Junis for the Reds and Tanner Bibee for the Guardians.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Reds 1.5 (-157) | Guardians -1.5 (+131)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Reds +139 | Guardians -163

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Reds vs. Guardians Prediction: Moneyline

Hunter Greene will be on the mound for the Reds as they close out their series vs. the Pirates. Cincinnati is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 2-0 loss to the Pirates, Jonathan India went 2/4 with a run scored, and Hunter Greene was solid on the mound, allowing just one run and two hits in his three innings of work. The Reds also got a good outing from their bullpen, as the Pirates didn’t score a run after the 4th inning.

Despite the good performances from India and Greene, the Reds still took the loss. Cincinnati was the -110 favorite at home going into the game.

Cincinnati is 76-81 overall, and they are 13.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division, sitting between the Cardinals and Pirates. Cincinnati’s record is 23-26 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Reds are 39-42 and have gone 37-39 on the road. Cincinnati will be on the road today, taking on the Guardians. So far, they are 20-28-3 in series this year.

Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 2-1 loss. The Guardians were the +109 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Cardinals scored the tying run in the 3rd and added another run in the 6th to take the lead. Cleveland’s offense scored their only run on a single by Gavin Williams.

Williams also started for the Guardians, going 5 2/3 innings, and took the loss. He only gave up one earned run, but Cleveland’s offense couldn’t hold the lead, and he was tagged with the loss.

Cleveland is hosting the Reds today with an overall record of 90-67, and they lead the AL Central by 7.5 games. The Guardians dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Cardinals and are 6-4 across their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 30-22 in divisional games.

At home, the Guardians are 48-28 this season, and they have gone 42-39 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has put together a record of 62-34 and 28-33 as the underdog. The Guardians have been good as the home favorite, going 41-21 this season. Coming into today’s game, they have won two straight at home.

Reds vs. Guardians Prediction: Over/Under

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians with an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average in Reds games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 73-77. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Reds are 7-13. Overall, 70.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, while 16.6% have had lower lines. The under has hit in the last two Reds games.

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds of late, going 10/30 in his last seven games with six runs scored and one home run. Overall, he is batting .261 with a team-high 25 homers and 74 RBIs, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also tied for 2nd on the team with 20 homers, but both are batting below .230 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are 14th in the league in scoring at 4.4 runs per game. They have been pretty consistent, averaging the same number of runs at home and on the road. Overall, they are batting just .233 and are in the bottom half of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

When the Cleveland Guardians play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8.3 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Guardians is 68-78, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 13-20-6. This season, 43.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, while 31.2% have had lower lines.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 37 homers are 6th in the league, and Naylor’s 31 round-trippers are 10th in the MLB. Ramirez also comes into the game with the 3rd most RBIs in the league (112), while Naylor is 6th with 105 RBIs. Ramirez is batting .274 for the season, and Naylor is hitting .240.

Andres Gimenez has been swinging a hot bat for the Guardians, going 8/20 in his last five games. This stretch has included one home run and three RBIs. Overall, he is on a four-game hitting streak. As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been a better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Reds vs. Guardians Prediction: Spread

When the Reds are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 47-29. Their average run margin in those games is +0.6. They have been an underdog in 88 games and have gone 56-32 on the run line in those contests.

Cincinnati is sending right-hander Jakob Junis to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 23 appearances this season and has a record of 4-0 with a 2.61 ERA. Junis has made one quality start this year and is averaging 6.97 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his recent outings, Junis has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three starts. Most recently, he faced the Braves and gave up one earned run in six innings of work. Opponents are batting .197 this season off Junis, and he has only allowed one earned run in each of his last three outings.

When the Cleveland Guardians win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, while their losses come by an average of 3.1 runs. As a result, they are 80-77 against the run line this season, including 37-39 at home and 43-38 on the road. They are 44-52 against the run line as the favorite and 36-25 as the underdog.

Cleveland is starting right-hander Tanner Bibee today vs. the Reds, and he comes into the game with a record of 11-8 and an ERA of 3.56. Bibee has made 30 starts this season and has a WHIP of 1.13. Looking at his overall numbers, Bibee has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.72 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Bibee finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 4.78.

Reds vs. Guardians Pick: Over 8 Runs -109

Our pick for this Reds vs. Guardians matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians, meaning there is some value in taking the Guardians on the money line, but we like the over more.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tanner Bibee is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he has the Guardians finishing with nine as a team. As for Jakob Junis, he is predicted to finish with five K’s, and the Reds with eight.