Reds vs Cardinals Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th
At 7:45 PM ET, the Reds and Cardinals face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Reds are on a three-game winning streak, which has them 71-75 overall. The Cardinals are 72-72 and they are the slight money line favorite for tonight’s game (-136).
Wednesday’s forecast in St. Louis is clear, with temperatures reaching the low 90s. Brandon Williamson is starting for the Reds, and he will be facing off against Lance Lynn for the Cardinals. BSOH is carrying this game on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Reds 1.5 (-192) | Cardinals -1.5 (+155)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Reds +114 | Cardinals -136
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction: Moneyline
Cincinnati picked up a 3-0 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds offense only had two more hits than the Cardinals and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +114 on the money line.
The Reds got on the board with three runs in the 5th inning, and that was all the scoring in the game. As for the Cardinals, they had their best scoring chance in the 7th inning when they loaded the bases with no outs, but could not push across a run.
Rhett Lowder started for the Reds and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed five hits. Emilio Pagán got the save. Andre Pallante had a rough outing for the Cardinals, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits.
Cincinnati is 71-75 overall this season, and they trail the Brewers by 13 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division, just two games behind the Cardinals for the 3rd spot in the division. Cincinnati has won three straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Reds are 36-39 this year, and they are just above .500 at 35-36 on the road. As the road underdog, the Reds are 23-30 this season, and they have won three straight as the underdog overall. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 18-26-2, and they are currently winning their series vs. the Cardinals.
St. Louis is at an even 72-72 overall, and they are 11 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals lost the first two games of this series, and they are 21-25 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Cardinals are 37-35 this year compared to a 35-37 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 33-35 this year, and they are 39-37 as the underdog. St. Louis has dropped two straight at home, and their overall series record is 23-19-4. The Cardinals have won three straight series on the road.
Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction: Over/Under
When the Reds are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 67-72. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 16-15. This season, 49.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. Their current under streak is at four games.
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top home run hitter this season, but he has struggled of late, hitting just 3/17 in his last five games. Overall, he is batting .260 with a team-leading 65 RBIs. Spencer Steer has also struggled this season, hitting just .231, but his 86 RBIs are the best on the team and 15th in the league. Jeimer Candelario is 2nd on the team in homers but is batting just .225.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the MLB. Their team batting average of .233 is 18th in the league, and they are also below average in terms of on-base percentage and slugging. Cincinnati’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts.
Today’s game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds has an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Cardinals have played 47 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their over/under record in those games is 29-18. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 69-71.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals offense is averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and walks. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 9th in the league. Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/36 in his last nine games with one home run.
St. Louis has a few players with good home run numbers this season, as Alec Burleson and Paul Goldschmidt are tied for the team lead with 21 homers. Burleson is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 73. Brendan Donovan and Masyn Winn are also having good seasons at the plate, with Donovan batting .270 and Winn at .273.
Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction: Spread
The Reds have been a solid run-line team this season, going 79-67 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 44-27 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 52-28 against the run line as an underdog this season. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7, while it’s -3.2 in losses.
Brandon Williamson will be making his first start of the season for the Reds, as he has made two appearances out of the bullpen so far. He went 4 2/3 innings in his first outing, and then went 3 1/3 in his second outing. In his first start, he struck out 5 batters but gave up a home run.
When the Cardinals win, they do so by an average of 2.7 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. They have a run line record of 71-73 overall, and they are 35-37 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 49-27 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 22-46.
Lance Lynn gets the start for the Cardinals today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Rangers. In that start, he went 5 innings, picking up the win and giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Lynn has made 21 starts and has a record of 6-4. His ERA for the season is 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.36. Lynn’s batting average allowed is .243, and he has a total of six quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.21 strikeouts and 3.47 walks.
Reds vs. Cardinals Pick: Reds ML +114
We see the Reds taking this one on the road against the Cardinals, and with the Reds at +114 on the money line, that is the way we recommend playing this one. Offensively, the Reds lineup is projected to have a big day, as they are projected to finish with 11 hits, which is the third most in the league today.
As for the Cardinals, they are projected to finish with just nine hits and are lineup is projected to finish with the 20th most runs in the league today. If you’re looking at Lance Lynn’s strikeout total, we have him finishing with six, which has him as the 11th highest projected starter today.
