Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 14th
At 1:05 PM ET, the Red Sox and Yankees will face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -188 compared to the Red Sox at +158. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Boston will be looking to end a two-game losing streak, as they are 74-74 overall. The Yankees are currently on a three-game winning streak, and their record of 86-62 has them first in the AL East. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees, while the Red Sox are sending Brayan Bello to the mound. MLBN will be televising Saturday’s matchup.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Red Sox 1.5 (-137) | Yankees -1.5 (+113)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Red Sox +158 | Yankees -188
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline
New York picked up a 5-4 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 7th inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored two runs in the 6th and added two more in the 7th but couldn’t complete the comeback.
Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. He didn’t factor into the decision, as Mark Leiter Jr. got the win out of the bullpen. Luke Weaver got the save. Richard Fitts only went five innings for the Red Sox, giving up two earned runs on two hits.
Trevor Story and Masataka Yoshida each homered for the Red Sox, while Aaron Judge went deep for the Yankees. Judge finished the game 2/3 with four RBIs.
Boston is at an even 74-74 overall but are 12 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Yankees 0-2. So far, they have gone 20-21 in AL East games.
At home, the Red Sox are 35-40 this year and 39-34 on the road. As the underdog, Boston has dropped seven straight games, and they are 33-41 as the underdog overall. They have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 22-18-6 this year. Boston’s record is 41-33 when favored.
The Yankees have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Red Sox and lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles. New York comes into today’s game at 86-62 overall, and they are 24-23 in divisional matchups. The Yankees have won three straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Yankees are 41-32 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 45-30. As the favorite, the Yankees are 68-55 this year and 18-7 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 27-15-4, and they have won two straight series.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today facing the New York Yankees. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 9.5 runs, and their O/U record is 74-66. The average O/U line for their games is 9 runs, and their O/U record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 25-15. So far this season, 63 of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 42.6% of their games, while 45 games have had lower O/U lines, making up 30.4% of their games.
One of the best home run hitting teams in the league, the Red Sox are also one of the top offensive clubs in the league in terms of batting average and on-base percentage. They are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the majors, and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .255, which is 5th in the league, and have the top BABIP in the league.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the top power bats in the Red Sox lineup this season, with Devers leading the team with 81 RBIs and O’Neill’s 30 homers pacing the club. Devers is also 14th in the league in home runs. O’Neill has been swinging a hot bat of late, batting .278 with five homers over his last 10 games. Jarren Duran is also having a strong season, with a batting average of .288 and 21 homers.
When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to average 9.2 runs per game. The over/under record for the Yankees this season is 79-64, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Yankees have gone over the total in 32 of 52 games, which accounts for 34.5% of their games. Overall, 51 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8.5 runs, while 45 games have had lines set below that mark.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. Not only are they 1st in home runs, but they also have the league’s top offense in terms of RBIs. The Yankees are also one of the league’s most disciplined teams at the plate, as they lead the league in walks and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear for the Yankees, as he is hitting .321 for the season and has gone 7/24 in his last seven games. During this stretch, he has one home run and five RBIs. Juan Soto is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as he has 101 for the season to go along with 39 homers.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread
When the Red Sox are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, with a 42-31 record. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 42-32 as the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.9 runs per game.
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 13-7 with an ERA of 4.70. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.39, and opponents are batting .251 off the right-hander this year. In his 27 appearances, Bello has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Bello picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts.
When the Yankees win, they do so by an average of 4.0 runs per game. They have a run line record of 76-72 on the season, and they are 32-41 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 55-68 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 21-4.
Gerrit Cole will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he gets the start for the Yankees vs. the Red Sox today. In that start, which came on September 8th, Cole took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Cole has alternated between wins and losses. His record for the season is 6-4, and he has an ERA of 3.36. Opponents are batting .229 off Cole this season. Out of his 14 appearances, Cole has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Pick: Red Sox ML +158
Our pick for today’s Red Sox vs. Yankees game is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout sitting at +158. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Brayan Bello with five. Cole is projected to go five innings, while Bello is projected to go nine, but we have him finishing with fewer strikeouts.
Offensively, the Red Sox are projected to finish with 10 total strikeouts, which is the sixth most in the league. As for the Yankees, they are projected to finish with eight, which is the seventh fewest.
