Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 13th
At 7:05 PM ET, the Red Sox and Yankees will face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -148. The money line odds for a Red Sox win are at +125.
New York comes into the game with a record of 85-62 and they have won two straight, while the Red Sox are 74-73 overall. APLTV will be televising Friday’s game.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Red Sox 1.5 (-171) | Yankees -1.5 (+141)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Red Sox +125 | Yankees -148
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline
New York picked up a 2-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a chance to win in regulation, but the Red Sox scored the game-tying run in the 5th, and both offenses went silent until the Yankees scored the game-winning run in the 10th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -193 on the money line.
Nestor Cortes started for the Yankees, going five innings while giving up one run and striking out nine. He did not factor in the decision, as Clay Holmes got the win out of the bullpen. Cooper Criswell only went 5 1/3 innings for the Red Sox, giving up one run on four hits.
Danny Jansen hit the game’s only home run while going 1/2 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Gleyber Torres went 1/5 with an RBI for the Yankees.
Boston is 74-73 overall, and they are 11.0 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox lost the series opener vs. the Yankees, and they are 20-20 in AL East games this year. So far, they are 39-33 on the road compared to 35-40 at home.
As the underdog, the Red Sox are 33-40 this year, and they have lost six straight when favored. Boston’s overall series record is 22-18-6 this year, and they have won two straight series.
The Yankees are 85-62 overall and lead the AL East by two games over the Orioles. New York has won two straight games, and they are 23-23 in divisional matchups this year. The Yankees took the first game of their series vs. the Red Sox and have an overall series record of 27-15-4 this year.
At home, the Yankees are 40-32 this year and 45-30 on the road. New York has been good as the favorite this year, putting together a record of 67-55. As for their record as the underdog, the Yankees are 18-7 this year. At home, they are 39-30 as the favorite.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under
When the Red Sox are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Boston is 74-66, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 25-15. This season, 42.2% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and 30.6% have had lines set lower than 8.5 runs. Currently, the under has hit in three straight games for Boston.
As a team, the Red Sox are 8th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Boston has been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams this season and also have the league’s best team BABIP. The Red Sox have been striking out a lot this season, as they are 28th in the league in strikeouts.
Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top run producer this season, as his 81 RBIs are the best mark on the team. He is also 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is batting .277. Tyler O’Neill has been on a tear of late, going 10/32 in his last nine games with five homers and nine RBIs. His 30 homers this season leads the team and is 11th in the league.
When the New York Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Yankees this season is 79-64, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 32-20, and 34.0% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs. The under has hit in their last three games.
For the season, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 2nd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, the Yankees are batting .250, which is 8th in the league, and have the best team on-base percentage in the league. New York’s team OPS of .765 is 3rd in the MLB.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the top two hitters in the Yankees lineup this season, with Judge leading the team in batting average (.319) and home runs (51) and Soto batting .289 with 39 homers. However, Soto has struggled of late, going just 3/21 in his last six games. Gleyber Torres has gone 8/26 in his last six games, including a home run.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread
When the Red Sox are on the road, they have a run line record of 41-31, covering the spread in 56.9% of their games. They have an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game in road games. As the underdog, the Red Sox have a run line record of 41-32, covering the spread in 56.2% of their games.
Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with an ERA of 3.24. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had a streak of three straight starts without giving up a home run. Houck has one complete game shutout this year and 19 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.96 strikeouts and 2.49 walks.
The Yankees have a run line record of 76-71 this season, including a 32-40 mark at home. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game, with a scoring margin of +0.5 runs per game at home and +1.2 runs per game on the road. They have gone 44-31 against the run line on the road, compared to 21-4 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1 runs per game, while it drops to -3.6 runs per game in losses.
Through 12 starts, Clarke Schmidt has a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.34. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Cubs on September 7th, Schmidt went 4 2/3 innings, giving up just two hits and a walk. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Schmidt has been better on the road this year, coming in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 1.46. At home, his ERA is 3.98, and he is 2-1.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Pick: Yankees ML -148
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Yankees. With the money line sitting at -148, we see this as a good payout for a Yankees win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Clarke Schmidt finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today. As for Tanner Houck, we have him finishing with five strikeouts.
