Red Sox vs Mets Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 4th

From Citi Field in New York, we have the Red Sox and Mets facing off in an interleague matchup. Wednesday’s forecast in New York calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. SNY will be televising this one, and the Mets are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -108 vs. the Red Sox at -110. The over/under line is at 8 runs.

Wednesday’s matchup between the Red Sox and Mets is set to get started at 7:10 PM ET. Boston is currently on a four-game losing streak, and they are 70-69 overall. The Mets have won six straight and are 75-64, with their odds to win the NL East sitting at +225. The Red Sox are +148 to cover on the run line, and the Mets are -181. Tonight’s pitching matchup features Tanner Houck for the Red Sox and Tylor Megill for the Mets.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+148) | Mets 1.5 (-181)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Red Sox -110 | Mets -108

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction: Moneyline

The Mets cruised to a 7-2 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. New York had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -135 on the money line.

David Peterson pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts but issued one walk. Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 1/4 with three RBIs. Lindor, Alonso, and Vientos each scored twice for New York’s offense.

Boston will be on the road for today’s matchup vs. the Mets, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, as they have dropped the first two games of this series. Currently, they are 10.5 games out of the AL East lead, with an overall record of 70-69. The Red Sox are 18-18 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Red Sox are 31-38 compared to 39-31 on the road. As the road favorite, Boston has gone 15-5 this year and 37-31 as the favorite overall. Their overall series record is 21-17-6, and they have gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

The Mets are hosting the Red Sox today with an overall record of 75-64, which has them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 7.5 games in the division. New York has won six straight games and is 8-2 across their last 10.

At home, the Mets are 37-33 this year and have gone 38-31 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 48-35. As the underdog, the Mets are 27-29 this season. New York’s overall series record is 23-16-8, and they have won two straight series.

Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction: Over/Under

Today, the Boston Red Sox are on the road to face the New York Mets, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 71-61. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 12-8-3. Overall, 68.3% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.

The Red Sox come into today’s game as one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Boston’s offense has also been tough to strike out, as they are 28th in the league in strikeouts.

Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/24 in his last six games, and is currently on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .294 and is 3rd on the team with 21 homers. Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat, with 28 homers and a team-high 80 RBIs. Devers is also batting .279 for the season.

When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games is 69-66, and when the line is set at 8 runs, the over has hit at a 14-7 clip. In 55.4% of their games, the over/under line has been set at over 8 runs, while in 29.5% of their games, the line has been set at under 8 runs.

Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets, as he comes into today’s game on a 14-game hitting streak and has gone 7/19 with two homers over his last five games. For the season, he is batting .273 with 30 home runs and 84 RBIs. Pete Alonso also has 31 homers this season, but he is batting just .242 overall and hit only .200 in his last five games.

As a team, the Mets are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 10th best batting average.

Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction: Spread

The Red Sox have a run line record of 64-75 this season, including a 40-30 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight road games but are just 24-45 at home. As the underdog, they have a run line record of 40-31, compared to 24-44 as the favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.9, while it drops to -4.0 in losses.

Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with an ERA of 3.12. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Tigers. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Houck has one complete game shutout this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.82 strikeouts and 2.51 walks.

The Mets have been a solid run line bet this season, going 69-70 overall. They are 30-40 against the run line at home, but have been much better on the road, going 39-30. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 33-23 as an underdog this season.

New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he has made 10 starts this year. Megill’s record is 3-5, and he is coming off a solid outing vs. the White Sox in which he got the win. In that start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking back across his last four outings, Megill has finished with a no-decision in three of them. His ERA for the season is 4.82, along with a WHIP of 1.40. Per nine innings, Megill is averaging 10.49 strikeouts compared to 3.96 walks.

Red Sox vs. Mets Pick: Red Sox ML -110

Our prediction for this Red Sox and Mets matchup is to take the Red Sox to win straight up. You can get the Red Sox at -110 on the money line, and we have them winning by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at some potential player props, Tanner Houck is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and Tylor Megill is predicted to finish with six. If you’re looking at the over/under, the line is sitting at eight runs, and we would take the over if you’re looking to go that route.