Red Sox vs Mets Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 2nd

The Red Sox and Mets are facing off in an interleague matchup at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field in New York, NY. The money line odds have the Mets favored at -127, while the Red Sox are sitting at +107. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Boston will be looking to end a two-game losing streak, as they are 70-67 and 3rd in the AL East. The Mets have won four straight and are 73-64, which is good for 3rd in the NL East. SNY will be televising Monday’s matchup.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Red Sox 1.5 (-206) | Mets -1.5 (+168)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Red Sox +107 | Mets -127

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction: Moneyline

Boston closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-1 loss on the road. The Red Sox were the slight favorite at -108 on the money line. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 5th inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Tigers scored two runs in the bottom of the 5th to take the lead and added another two runs in the 6th to put things out of reach. Boston’s offense scored their only run on a single by Romy Gonzalez, who went 2/3.

Cooper Criswell got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up three earned runs. Rich Hill pitched two innings of relief and was charged with the other run. The Red Sox also wasted a big game from Romy Gonzalez, who went 2/3 with a run scored.

Boston is on the road today to take on the Mets, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Currently, the Red Sox are 70-67, putting them nine games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they are 18-18 in divisional games.

At home, the Red Sox are just 31-38 this year but have gone 39-29 on the road. As the underdog, Boston is 24-24 this year and 37-31 when favored. Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox’ series record is 21-17-6, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.

Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Mets closed out the series with a 2-0 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the heavy favorite at -182. Offensively, the Mets only scored two runs but did so on seven hits. Francisco Lindor had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Mets scored another run in the 4th inning.

Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five White Sox batters. The Mets’s bullpen closed things out with Edwin Diaz picking up the save.

The Mets are currently eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East and are 73-64 overall. They have won four straight games, and this came after sweeping the White Sox in a three-game series. So far, they have gone 22-17 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Mets are 35-33 this year and have been good on the road at 38-31. As the favorite, the Mets are 46-35 this year and 27-29 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 23-16-8, and they have won two straight series.

Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction: Over/Under

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is the lowest line set for a Red Sox game since August 18th, when the line was also set at 8 runs. Boston’s over/under record for the season is 70-60, and their average over/under line is set at 9 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in 12 games, the under has hit in 7 games, and there have been 3 pushes.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 8th in the MLB in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.

Over his last 10 games, Jarren Duran has gone 12/38 with three homers and is batting .316. For the season, he is batting .295 with 21 homers. Tyler O’Neill has also been swinging a hot bat of late, but he is hitting just .253 for the season and has gone just 4/26 in his last seven games.

The Mets have been playing in high-scoring games recently, with a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 68-65, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 14 times and under 6 times. Overall, 56.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, and they have hit the under in their last four games.

Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/43 in his last 10 games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .269 with 29 homers and 80 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been a big power threat for the Mets, as he has 30 homers this season and is batting .241.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. Overall, they are batting .249, which is good for 10th in the MLB. The Mets are also one of the better teams in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction: Spread

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have a run line record of 40-28, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. They are 24-45 against the run line at home, with an average run margin of -0.7 runs per game. The Red Sox have a run line record of 24-44 as the favorite and 40-29 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9 runs, while it is -4.0 runs in losing games.

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 4.66. Bello’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his last outing, he pitched brilliantly, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Bello has a batting average allowed of .252 and has turned in 10 quality starts this year.

When the Mets are favored, they are 34-47 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 33-23. Their average run differential is +0.3 runs per game, and their run line record is 67-70. They have won three straight run line bets and are 39-30 on the run line on the road, compared to 28-40 at home.

Luis Severino is looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Diamondbacks on August 28th, he gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had won two straight starts. This included a complete-game shutout against the Marlins on August 17th. Severino’s record for the season is 9-6, and his ERA is 3.96. Opponents are batting .233 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has one complete game and one shutout.

Red Sox vs. Mets Pick: Red Sox ML +107

Our recommended bet for this Red Sox and Mets matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +107. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with six strikeouts, and for Luis Severino, we have him finishing with six as well. However, we have Bello going 1.2 more innings than Severino.

Offensively, we have the Red Sox finishing with 12 strikeouts, which is the most in the league today. And for the Mets, they are projected to finish with eight, which is the seventh most.